The Gallery Collection ×5+The Dust 2 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Hypnosis
2x $1.12
Tango
2x $1.70
Trail Blazer
1x $2.08
Brass
3x $0.71
VariCamo
2x $3.24
↓
Possible Outputs
Turbine
10.0% $45.05
Rapid Transit
10.0% $17.02
Hydro Strike
10.0% $14.09
Saibā Oni
10.0% $12.97
Randy Rush
10.0% $10.09
Amber Fade
50.0% $6.32
Max Win
$45.05 (+113.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$13.09 (-37.9%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+53.6%
Cost
$21.08
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $21.08
Ask Price EV $13.09 (-37.9%)
Bid Price EV $12.00 (-43.1%)
Ask Profit $-7.99 (-37.9%)
Bid Profit $-9.08 (-43.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.08 (+5.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$7.99
Bid Slippage Buffer -$9.08
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $45.05 (+113.7%)
Worst Case $6.32 (-70.0%)
Volatility +53.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$23.97
Avg Loss -$11.55
Bottom 5% Outcome $6.32 (-70.0%)
Std Dev $11.30
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 143h 26m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Minimal Wear
$1.12 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Tango
—
Minimal Wear
$1.70 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Tango
—
Minimal Wear
$1.75 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer
—
Factory New
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Factory New
$4.60 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear
$0.71 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear
$1.00 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear
$1.61 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | VariCamo
—
Factory New
$3.24 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | VariCamo
—
Factory New
$3.27 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 02M 11S //TOTAL COST $21.08 //ASK PRICE EV $13.09 //BID PRICE EV $12.00 //ASK PROFIT $-7.99 (-37.9%) //BID PROFIT $-9.08 (-43.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $45.05 //VOLATILITY +53.6% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$45.05
+$23.97
+113.7%
$44.10
+$23.02
+109.2%
$0.95
2.1%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$17.02
-$4.06
-19.2%
$16.60
-$4.48
-21.3%
$0.42
2.5%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$14.09
-$6.99
-33.2%
$13.68
-$7.40
-35.1%
$0.41
2.9%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$12.97
-$8.11
-38.5%
$11.80
-$9.28
-44.0%
$1.17
9.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$10.09
-$10.99
-52.1%
$9.91
-$11.17
-53.0%
$0.18
1.8%
—
NUKE
50.0%
$6.32
-$14.76
-70.0%
$4.79
-$16.29
-77.3%
$1.53
24.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-dust-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.5,
"output_float": 0.027952,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1faf71e7b6fe",
"realistic_value": 6.3245000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 6.23,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade",
"conservative_value": 4.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:42:33.930252Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1faf71e7b6fe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.05600308984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 14.091,
"optimistic_value": 14,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 13.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:12:42.773016Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.059398,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 45.051500000000004,
"optimistic_value": 44.81,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 44.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Turbine (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:52:56.963822Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0461208,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 12.974,
"optimistic_value": 12.96,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 11.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:11:01.195954Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.05241,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 10.0945,
"optimistic_value": 10,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 9.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:25.337105Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.05241,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 17.0245,
"optimistic_value": 16.93,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 16.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T15:51:38.983326Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a8b926b6b7176d9e2fd81686",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.12,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "559150711031336592",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:42.526883Z"
},
{
"price": 1.7,
"skin_id": "skin-3604c7754aa6",
"listing_id": "626705318027199191",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Tango (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Tango",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3604c7754aa6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:23.409527Z"
},
{
"price": 1.75,
"skin_id": "skin-3604c7754aa6",
"listing_id": "725769855353084531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Tango (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Tango",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3604c7754aa6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:23.409527Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-03f6e200c8b6",
"listing_id": "497228024530153013",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-03f6e200c8b6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:01.052110Z"
},
{
"price": 4.6,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "509613089304017667",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Hypnosis (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:14:58.125152Z"
},
{
"price": 0.71,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "496102290328432643",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:59.757427Z"
},
{
"price": 1,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "507359315991156487",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:59.757427Z"
},
{
"price": 1.61,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "743787424996408847",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:59.757427Z"
},
{
"price": 3.24,
"skin_id": "skin-2d90d1532701",
"listing_id": "635712445340266039",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A1-S | VariCamo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d90d1532701.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:07:32.809649Z"
},
{
"price": 3.27,
"skin_id": "skin-2d90d1532701",
"listing_id": "660482243290627366",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A1-S | VariCamo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d90d1532701.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:07:32.809649Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-34:5+collection-set-dust-2:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×5+The Dust 2 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Amber Fade 50.0% $6.32 Turbine 10.0% $5.79 Rapid Transit 10.0% $5.23 Saibā Oni 10.0% $4.30 Hydro Strike 10.0% $3.68 Randy Rush 10.0% $2.54 | $6.32 +45.4% | $5.32 +22.2% | 70.0% | +29.8% | $4.35 | — |