The Gallery Collection ×5+The Dust 2 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
27

2x $0.35
Luxe Trim

2x $0.37
Calligraffiti

1x $0.42
Damascus Steel

1x $0.25
Brass

4x $0.39
↓
Possible Outputs
Amber Fade

50.0% $6.35
Turbine

10.0% $5.79
Rapid Transit

10.0% $5.23
Saibā Oni

10.0% $4.30
Hydro Strike

10.0% $3.68
Randy Rush

10.0% $2.54
Max Win
$6.35 (+46.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.33 (+22.8%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+30.1%
Cost
$4.34
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $4.34
Ask Price EV $5.33 (+22.8%)
Bid Price EV $4.32 (-0.6%)
Ask Profit $0.99 (+22.8%)
Bid Profit $-0.02 (-0.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.01 (+23.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.99
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.02
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $6.35 (+46.3%)
Worst Case $2.54 (-41.5%)
Volatility +30.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 10.0%
Avg Win +$1.77
Avg Loss -$0.84
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.54 (-41.5%)
Std Dev $1.30
Avg Norm Float 0.1750
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 142h
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Ask-Side Flip · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
USP-S | 27
—
Field-Tested

$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | 27
—
Field-Tested

$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Luxe Trim
—
Field-Tested

$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Luxe Trim
—
Field-Tested

$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti
—
Field-Tested

$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Damascus Steel
—
Field-Tested

$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Field-Tested

$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Field-Tested

$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear

$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear

$0.71 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 12M 10S //TOTAL COST $4.34 //ASK PRICE EV $5.33 //BID PRICE EV $4.32 //ASK PROFIT $0.99 (+22.8%) //BID PROFIT $-0.02 (-0.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $6.35 //VOLATILITY +30.1% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated

WIN EDGE FLOAT
50.0%
$6.35
+$2.01
+46.3%
$4.79
+$0.45
+10.4%
$1.56
24.6%
—

WIN
10.0%
$5.79
+$1.45
+33.5%
$5.03
+$0.69
+15.9%
$0.76
13.2%
—

WIN
10.0%
$5.23
+$0.89
+20.4%
$4.80
+$0.46
+10.6%
$0.43
8.2%
—

LOSS
10.0%
$4.30
-$0.04
-1.0%
$3.77
-$0.57
-13.1%
$0.53
12.3%
—

LOSS
10.0%
$3.68
-$0.66
-15.3%
$3.46
-$0.88
-20.3%
$0.22
5.9%
—

NUKE
10.0%
$2.54
-$1.80
-41.5%
$2.15
-$2.19
-50.5%
$0.39
15.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-dust-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.5,
"output_float": 0.069996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1faf71e7b6fe",
"realistic_value": 6.350499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 6.27,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade",
"conservative_value": 4.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:19:35.458223Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1faf71e7b6fe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14024013582,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 3.6755,
"optimistic_value": 3.63,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 3.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T07:59:35.047001Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1487415,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 5.792,
"optimistic_value": 5.75,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 5.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:12:38.111356Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.11549340000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 4.298,
"optimistic_value": 4.2,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 3.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T03:48:58.343848Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1312425,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 2.5385,
"optimistic_value": 2.5,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 2.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:58:42.637439Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1312425,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 5.2275,
"optimistic_value": 5,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 4.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:39.207780Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a8b926b6b7176d9e2fd81686",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-5b2502fc6ca2",
"listing_id": "490472790737206419",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | 27 (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | 27",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5b2502fc6ca2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:19:41.213166Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-5b2502fc6ca2",
"listing_id": "507361237007854645",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | 27 (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | 27",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5b2502fc6ca2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:19:41.213166Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-f0c2d895b50d",
"listing_id": "505108692501547748",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Luxe Trim (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Luxe Trim",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0c2d895b50d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:16.898778Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-f0c2d895b50d",
"listing_id": "490472625089327607",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Luxe Trim (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Luxe Trim",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0c2d895b50d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:16.898778Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-48039a85c871",
"listing_id": "515242588553946025",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48039a85c871.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:04:11.052819Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"listing_id": "512990623223068823",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:34.825045Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "491597893783227446",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:19:20.028133Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "658230515406960386",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:19:20.028133Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "507361289453116309",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:16:36.973623Z"
},
{
"price": 0.71,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "496102290328432643",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:16:36.973623Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-34:5+collection-set-dust-2:5"
}Related
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