The Revolution Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
3x $0.14
Re.built
1x $0.19
Cyberforce
1x $0.34
Motorized
1x $0.18
Light Box
3x $0.21
Dark Sigil
1x $0.30
↓
Possible Outputs
Etch Lord
10.0% $4.45
Block-18
10.0% $4.19
Emphorosaur-S
10.0% $4.12
Just Smile
10.0% $3.34
Umbral Rabbit
10.0% $3.08
Sakkaku
10.0% $2.65
Max Win
$4.45 (+82.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.94 (+20.4%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+42.7%
Cost
$2.44
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.44
Ask Price EV $2.94 (+20.4%)
Bid Price EV $2.63 (+7.8%)
Ask Profit $0.50 (+20.4%)
Bid Profit $0.19 (+7.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.31 (+12.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.50
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.19
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $4.45 (+82.5%)
Worst Case $1.41 (-42.2%)
Volatility +42.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 20.0%
Avg Win +$1.06
Avg Loss -$0.81
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.41 (-42.2%)
Std Dev $1.04
Avg Norm Float 0.1488
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 153h 19m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 08M 03S //TOTAL COST $2.44 //ASK PRICE EV $2.94 //BID PRICE EV $2.63 //ASK PROFIT $0.50 (+20.4%) //BID PROFIT $0.19 (+7.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $4.45 //VOLATILITY +42.7% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$4.45
+$2.01
+82.5%
$3.77
+$1.33
+54.5%
$0.68
15.3%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$4.19
+$1.75
+71.7%
$3.88
+$1.44
+59.0%
$0.31
7.4%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$4.12
+$1.68
+68.7%
$3.56
+$1.12
+45.9%
$0.56
13.5%
—
WIN
10.0%
$3.34
+$0.90
+37.0%
$2.85
+$0.41
+16.8%
$0.49
14.8%
—
WIN
10.0%
$3.08
+$0.64
+26.3%
$2.72
+$0.28
+11.5%
$0.36
11.7%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$2.65
+$0.21
+8.8%
$2.41
-$0.03
-1.2%
$0.24
9.2%
—
SMALL WIN
10.0%
$2.65
+$0.21
+8.6%
$2.60
+$0.16
+6.6%
$0.05
1.9%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.90
-$0.54
-21.9%
$1.85
-$0.59
-24.2%
$0.05
2.9%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.58
-$0.86
-35.2%
$1.46
-$0.98
-40.2%
$0.12
7.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.41
-$1.03
-42.2%
$1.20
-$1.24
-50.8%
$0.21
14.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1488,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.65,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:31:12.204578Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.099975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.11159999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.11903999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1488,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.4535,
"optimistic_value": 4.45,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:43.241962Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.296304,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1488,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.3435,
"optimistic_value": 3.34,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:08.942639Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.08927999999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.41,
"optimistic_value": 1.41,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:31.405584Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1488,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 1.5815,
"optimistic_value": 1.55,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 1.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:39:41.781348Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.09208636799999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9044999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.88,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:32.054019Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a718ab2ce91bf462fe4d021f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "499480042828560601",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:50.570054Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "494976443342376186",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:37:21.279458Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "499479989896449373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:36:57.955490Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "658230515398900238",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:36:57.955490Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "519746241188332448",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:21.095857Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "512990841908688587",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:22.970937Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "514116741798137334",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:53.878953Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:53.878953Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:53.878953Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505109489449485524",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:36:47.550108Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:5+collection-set-community-33:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 10.0% $2.65 Etch Lord 10.0% $2.34 Analog Input 10.0% $1.90 | $4.19 +111.6% | $2.36 +19.0% | 50.0% | +43.1% | $1.98 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Just Smile 14.0% $3.34 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 6.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +78.1% | $3.09 +23.5% | 74.0% | +28.7% | $2.50 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 12.0% $2.65 Etch Lord 8.0% $2.34 Analog Input 8.0% $1.90 | $4.19 +117.1% | $2.37 +22.7% | 52.0% | +44.0% | $1.93 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 12.0% $4.46 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Just Smile 12.0% $3.34 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 8.0% $2.65 | $4.46 +72.9% | $3.01 +16.8% | 72.0% | +28.4% | $2.58 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $4.12 Just Smile 16.0% $3.34 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 4.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +64.3% | $3.16 +16.7% | 56.0% | +25.7% | $2.71 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 18.0% $4.46 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $4.12 Just Smile 18.0% $3.34 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 2.0% $2.65 | $4.46 +57.6% | $3.23 +14.3% | 58.0% | +24.0% | $2.83 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  30.0% $37.06 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Olympus  30.0% $14.33 Duality  3.3% $9.41 Wild Child  3.3% $5.49 Wicked Sick  3.3% $5.37 | $37.06 +100.1% | $20.56 +11.0% | 30.0% | +59.7% | $18.52 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Inheritance  15.0% $228.37 Temukau  35.0% $126.64 Chrome Cannon  15.0% $64.35 Head Shot  35.0% $46.53 | $228.37 +141.2% | $104.52 +10.4% | 50.0% | +65.9% | $94.68 | — |