The Revolution Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
2x $0.14
Re.built
3x $0.16
Dark Sigil
1x $0.17
Light Box
3x $0.21
Hideout
1x $0.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Block-18
10.0% $4.19
Emphorosaur-S
10.0% $4.12
Umbral Rabbit
10.0% $3.08
Sakkaku
10.0% $2.65
Etch Lord
10.0% $2.37
Analog Input
10.0% $1.90
Max Win
$4.19 (+112.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.36 (+19.7%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+55.5%
Cost
$1.97
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.97
Ask Price EV $2.36 (+19.7%)
Bid Price EV $2.14 (+8.6%)
Ask Profit $0.39 (+19.7%)
Bid Profit $0.17 (+8.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.22 (+11.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.39
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.17
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $4.19 (+112.7%)
Worst Case $0.83 (-57.8%)
Volatility +55.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$1.31
Avg Loss -$0.54
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.83 (-57.8%)
Std Dev $1.09
Avg Norm Float 0.1870
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 154h 17m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 10M 59S //TOTAL COST $1.97 //ASK PRICE EV $2.36 //BID PRICE EV $2.14 //ASK PROFIT $0.39 (+19.7%) //BID PROFIT $0.17 (+8.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $4.19 //VOLATILITY +55.5% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$4.19
+$2.22
+112.7%
$3.88
+$1.91
+97.0%
$0.31
7.4%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$4.12
+$2.15
+109.0%
$3.56
+$1.59
+80.7%
$0.56
13.5%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$3.08
+$1.11
+56.4%
$2.72
+$0.75
+38.1%
$0.36
11.7%
—
WIN
10.0%
$2.65
+$0.68
+34.7%
$2.41
+$0.44
+22.3%
$0.24
9.2%
—
WIN
10.0%
$2.37
+$0.40
+20.1%
$2.07
+$0.10
+5.1%
$0.30
12.5%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.90
-$0.07
-3.3%
$1.85
-$0.12
-6.1%
$0.05
2.9%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.56
-$0.41
-20.8%
$1.43
-$0.54
-27.4%
$0.13
8.3%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.47
-$0.50
-25.4%
$1.39
-$0.58
-29.4%
$0.08
5.4%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.40
-$0.57
-28.8%
$1.33
-$0.64
-32.5%
$0.07
5.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.83
-$1.14
-57.8%
$0.75
-$1.22
-61.9%
$0.08
9.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.187,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.47,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:31:39.969537Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.125640625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14024999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1496,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.187,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.3665,
"optimistic_value": 2.3,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:53.160842Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.31846,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.187,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1122,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.4035,
"optimistic_value": 1.4,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:36.445858Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.187,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.8315,
"optimistic_value": 0.8,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.75,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:31:13.004998Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.11572682,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9044999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.88,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:34.770098Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a718ab2ce91bf462fe4d021f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "499480042828560601",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:44.387635Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "641342016843444895",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:44.387635Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "499480042829001745",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:56.780119Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "523123091064930586",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:56.780119Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "494976443342376186",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:56.780119Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "519746241189696524",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:31:01.076812Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "514116741798137334",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:57.337503Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:57.337503Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:57.337503Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "499480042829003797",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:34:04.823090Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:5+collection-set-community-33:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 10.0% $4.43 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Just Smile 10.0% $3.32 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 10.0% $2.65 | $4.43 +78.8% | $2.93 +18.2% | 70.0% | +29.9% | $2.48 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Etch Lord 10.0% $13.06 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $11.80 Just Smile 10.0% $9.31 Block-18 10.0% $8.90 Banana Cannon 10.0% $8.10 Hybrid 10.0% $7.89 | $13.06 +72.7% | $7.63 +0.9% | 60.0% | +30.1% | $7.56 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 12.0% $2.65 Etch Lord 8.0% $2.35 Analog Input 8.0% $1.90 | $4.19 +114.9% | $2.37 +21.4% | 52.0% | +43.5% | $1.95 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 18.0% $4.43 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $4.12 Just Smile 18.0% $3.34 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 2.0% $2.65 | $4.43 +66.1% | $3.23 +20.9% | 58.0% | +25.2% | $2.67 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Block-18 12.0% $8.90 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.43 Analog Input 12.0% $4.13 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Just Smile 12.0% $3.34 Neoqueen 8.0% $3.32 | $8.90 +167.2% | $3.99 +19.9% | 56.0% | +52.0% | $3.33 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 14.0% $4.43 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Just Smile 14.0% $3.32 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 6.0% $2.65 | $4.43 +71.9% | $3.08 +19.3% | 74.0% | +27.8% | $2.58 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $4.12 Just Smile 16.0% $3.34 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 4.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +66.8% | $3.16 +18.4% | 56.0% | +26.2% | $2.67 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  30.0% $37.06 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Olympus  30.0% $14.32 Duality  3.3% $9.41 Wild Child  3.3% $5.77 Wicked Sick  3.3% $5.37 | $37.06 +99.8% | $20.57 +10.9% | 30.0% | +59.6% | $18.55 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Inheritance  15.0% $228.37 Temukau  35.0% $126.64 Chrome Cannon  15.0% $64.35 Head Shot  35.0% $46.53 | $228.37 +142.4% | $104.52 +11.0% | 50.0% | +66.2% | $94.20 | — |