The Revolution Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
2x $0.34
Cyberforce
1x $0.34
Liquidation
1x $0.48
Re.built
1x $1.29
Slag
1x $0.37
Dezastre
1x $0.61
↓
Possible Outputs
Etch Lord
10.0% $13.06
Emphorosaur-S
10.0% $11.80
Just Smile
10.0% $9.31
Block-18
10.0% $8.90
Banana Cannon
10.0% $8.10
Hybrid
10.0% $7.89
Max Win
$13.06 (+72.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.63 (+0.9%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+43.3%
Cost
$7.56
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $7.56
Ask Price EV $7.63 (+0.9%)
Bid Price EV $6.74 (-10.9%)
Ask Profit $0.07 (+0.9%)
Bid Profit $-0.82 (-10.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.89 (+11.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.07
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.82
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $13.06 (+72.7%)
Worst Case $2.65 (-64.9%)
Volatility +43.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$2.28
Avg Loss -$3.25
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.65 (-64.9%)
Std Dev $3.27
Avg Norm Float 0.0698
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 154h 45m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Liquidation
—
Minimal Wear
$0.48 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$0.96 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Factory New
$1.29 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.61 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Minimal Wear
$0.76 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Factory New
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Irezumi
—
Factory New
$1.56 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 11M 01S //TOTAL COST $7.56 //ASK PRICE EV $7.63 //BID PRICE EV $6.74 //ASK PROFIT $0.07 (+0.9%) //BID PROFIT $-0.82 (-10.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $13.06 //VOLATILITY +43.3% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$13.06
+$5.50
+72.7%
$12.03
+$4.47
+59.1%
$1.03
7.9%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$11.80
+$4.24
+56.1%
$10.16
+$2.60
+34.4%
$1.64
13.9%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$9.31
+$1.75
+23.2%
$7.84
+$0.28
+3.7%
$1.47
15.8%
—
WIN
10.0%
$8.90
+$1.34
+17.7%
$7.77
+$0.21
+2.8%
$1.13
12.7%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$8.10
+$0.54
+7.1%
$6.70
-$0.86
-11.4%
$1.40
17.2%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$7.89
+$0.33
+4.4%
$7.43
-$0.13
-1.7%
$0.46
5.8%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$7.10
-$0.46
-6.1%
$6.18
-$1.38
-18.3%
$0.92
12.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$4.13
-$3.43
-45.4%
$3.76
-$3.80
-50.3%
$0.37
8.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$3.35
-$4.21
-55.7%
$3.08
-$4.48
-59.3%
$0.27
8.1%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$2.65
-$4.91
-64.9%
$2.41
-$5.15
-68.1%
$0.24
9.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 7.8895,
"optimistic_value": 7.83,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 7.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:13:57.746840Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.04687,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 8.897,
"optimistic_value": 8.89,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 7.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:53.653469Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.052320000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 7.096,
"optimistic_value": 6.97,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 6.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:45.756197Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.055808,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 11.804499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 10.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:46.328444Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 13.056999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 12.35,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 12.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.589744Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.2504608,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 9.314,
"optimistic_value": 9.23,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 7.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:13:54.948744Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.041856,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.35,
"optimistic_value": 3.35,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:34:04.361727Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 8.095,
"optimistic_value": 7.99,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 6.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:13:57.810316Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0431716736,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 4.1265,
"optimistic_value": 4.06,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 3.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:23.384975Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a718ab2ce91bf462fe4d021f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "517494441497397490",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:59.778830Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "519746241188332448",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:39:36.223788Z"
},
{
"price": 0.48,
"skin_id": "skin-d87f89df4191",
"listing_id": "527627540538513956",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Liquidation",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d87f89df4191.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:34:10.374086Z"
},
{
"price": 0.96,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "509613142168533747",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:30:50.806539Z"
},
{
"price": 1.29,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "528753440605958697",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:33:48.142181Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "515242641502660669",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:36.370297Z"
},
{
"price": 0.61,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "515241791654317225",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:34:04.424064Z"
},
{
"price": 0.76,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "622201718386433724",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:29:04.799490Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "514115891832272466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:26:02.839695Z"
},
{
"price": 1.56,
"skin_id": "skin-8c2ae17ac090",
"listing_id": "527627322002854856",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Irezumi",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8c2ae17ac090.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:55.555197Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:5+collection-set-community-33:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 10.0% $2.65 Etch Lord 10.0% $2.37 Analog Input 10.0% $1.90 | $4.19 +112.7% | $2.36 +19.7% | 50.0% | +43.3% | $1.97 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 10.0% $4.43 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Just Smile 10.0% $3.32 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 10.0% $2.65 | $4.43 +78.8% | $2.93 +18.2% | 70.0% | +29.9% | $2.48 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 12.0% $2.65 Etch Lord 8.0% $2.35 Analog Input 8.0% $1.90 | $4.19 +114.9% | $2.37 +21.4% | 52.0% | +43.5% | $1.95 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 18.0% $4.43 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $4.12 Just Smile 18.0% $3.34 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 2.0% $2.65 | $4.43 +66.1% | $3.23 +20.9% | 58.0% | +25.2% | $2.67 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Block-18 12.0% $8.90 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.43 Analog Input 12.0% $4.13 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Just Smile 12.0% $3.34 Neoqueen 8.0% $3.32 | $8.90 +167.2% | $3.99 +19.9% | 56.0% | +52.0% | $3.33 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 14.0% $4.43 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Just Smile 14.0% $3.32 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 6.0% $2.65 | $4.43 +71.9% | $3.08 +19.3% | 74.0% | +27.8% | $2.58 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $4.12 Just Smile 16.0% $3.34 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 4.0% $2.65 | $4.45 +66.8% | $3.16 +18.4% | 56.0% | +26.2% | $2.67 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  30.0% $37.06 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Olympus  30.0% $14.32 Duality  3.3% $9.41 Wild Child  3.3% $5.77 Wicked Sick  3.3% $5.37 | $37.06 +99.8% | $20.57 +10.9% | 30.0% | +59.6% | $18.55 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Inheritance  15.0% $228.37 Temukau  35.0% $126.64 Chrome Cannon  15.0% $64.35 Head Shot  35.0% $46.53 | $228.37 +142.4% | $104.52 +11.0% | 50.0% | +66.2% | $94.20 | — |