The Aztec Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Lichen Dashed
1x $4.39
Safari Print
4x $0.03
Mauve Aside
2x $0.04
Bee-Tron
1x $0.05
Crimson Batik
1x $0.10
Thermal Currents
1x $0.26
↓
Possible Outputs
Jungle Spray
5.0% $77.49
Jungle Tiger
5.0% $55.72
Calligrafaux
18.0% $0.31
Coral Paisley
18.0% $0.20
XoooM
18.0% $0.16
Picnic
18.0% $0.15
Max Win
$77.49 (+1401.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$6.84 (+32.5%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+391.8%
Cost
$5.16
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.16
Ask Price EV $6.84 (+32.5%)
Bid Price EV $6.36 (+23.3%)
Ask Profit $1.68 (+32.5%)
Bid Profit $1.20 (+23.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.47 (+9.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.68
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.20
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $77.49 (+1401.7%)
Worst Case $0.15 (-97.2%)
Volatility +391.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%
Avg Win +$61.44
Avg Loss -$4.97
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.15 (-97.2%)
Std Dev $20.22
Avg Norm Float 0.1198
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 3h 21m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SSG 08 | Lichen Dashed
—
Battle-Scarred
$4.39 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Safari Print
—
Minimal Wear
$0.03 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Safari Print
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Mauve Aside
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Mauve Aside
—
Minimal Wear
$0.05 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Bee-Tron
—
Minimal Wear
$0.05 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Safari Print
—
Factory New
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik
—
Factory New
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Safari Print
—
Factory New
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents
—
Factory New
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 22M 15S //TOTAL COST $5.16 //ASK PRICE EV $6.84 //BID PRICE EV $6.36 //ASK PROFIT $1.68 (+32.5%) //BID PROFIT $1.20 (+23.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $77.49 //VOLATILITY +391.8% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
5.0%
$77.49
+$72.33
+1401.7%
$70.58
+$65.42
+1267.8%
$6.91
8.9%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$55.72
+$50.56
+979.8%
$53.79
+$48.63
+942.4%
$1.93
3.5%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$0.31
-$4.85
-94.0%
$0.25
-$4.91
-95.2%
$0.06
19.4%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$0.20
-$4.96
-96.1%
$0.16
-$5.00
-96.9%
$0.04
21.4%
—
NUKE THIN BID
18.0%
$0.16
-$5.00
-96.8%
$0.12
-$5.04
-97.7%
$0.04
26.6%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$0.15
-$5.01
-97.1%
$0.14
-$5.02
-97.3%
$0.01
6.7%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$0.15
-$5.01
-97.2%
$0.12
-$5.04
-97.7%
$0.03
18.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-aztec|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-aztec"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.089865,
"output_skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"realistic_value": 0.15,
"optimistic_value": 0.15,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"conservative_value": 0.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:06.295855Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.077883,
"output_skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"realistic_value": 0.20350000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 0.2,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"conservative_value": 0.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:07.946091Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.11982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2efacc35df16",
"realistic_value": 0.31,
"optimistic_value": 0.31,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux",
"conservative_value": 0.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:03.405763Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2efacc35df16.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.071892,
"output_skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"realistic_value": 0.14700000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 0.14,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:02.975981Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.071892,
"output_skin_id": "skin-674317d93e09",
"realistic_value": 0.1635,
"optimistic_value": 0.16,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | XoooM",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:04.113479Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-674317d93e09.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.1486668,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7bf3e9d7c372",
"realistic_value": 77.49000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 76.51,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Jungle Spray",
"conservative_value": 70.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-aztec",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Aztec Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:04.621787Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7bf3e9d7c372.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.1486668,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5039c3ce742f",
"realistic_value": 55.717,
"optimistic_value": 55.29,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Jungle Tiger",
"conservative_value": 53.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-aztec",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Aztec Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:01.245072Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5039c3ce742f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9dc13c6d27e79c0bc2d55079",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 4.39,
"skin_id": "skin-6f8aad60b1d5",
"listing_id": "505108692488871392",
"collection_id": "collection-set-aztec",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Lichen Dashed (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Lichen Dashed",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f8aad60b1d5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:43:58.590648Z"
},
{
"price": 0.03,
"skin_id": "skin-9a7b0a3e260f",
"listing_id": "499479989896754113",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Safari Print (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Safari Print",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a7b0a3e260f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:53:34.818750Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-9a7b0a3e260f",
"listing_id": "509613036859876251",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Safari Print (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Safari Print",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a7b0a3e260f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:53:34.818750Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-2f4f4e0aaa4e",
"listing_id": "492724590626599101",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Mauve Aside (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Mauve Aside",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f4f4e0aaa4e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:37:33.038607Z"
},
{
"price": 0.05,
"skin_id": "skin-2f4f4e0aaa4e",
"listing_id": "505109437007421956",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Mauve Aside (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Mauve Aside",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f4f4e0aaa4e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:37:33.038607Z"
},
{
"price": 0.05,
"skin_id": "skin-07db077aad75",
"listing_id": "507361289453127685",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Bee-Tron",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-07db077aad75.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:34:57.048472Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-9a7b0a3e260f",
"listing_id": "492724590625703277",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Safari Print (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Safari Print",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a7b0a3e260f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:44:54.998458Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-0b2ec5b2c5ef",
"listing_id": "510738989039807074",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0b2ec5b2c5ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:37:05.984517Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-9a7b0a3e260f",
"listing_id": "492724590626664045",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Safari Print (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Safari Print",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a7b0a3e260f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:44:54.998458Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-8ac8f9231892",
"listing_id": "525375635592794275",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ac8f9231892.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:45:25.245795Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-aztec:1+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Aztec Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Jungle Spray 5.0% $77.49 Jungle Tiger 5.0% $55.72 Calligrafaux 18.0% $2.97 Coral Paisley 18.0% $0.67 Picnic 18.0% $0.42 XoooM 18.0% $0.35 | $77.49 +937.3% | $7.51 +0.6% | 10.0% | +264.9% | $7.47 | — |