The Aztec Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New
Inputs
Jungle
1x $5.93
Crimson Batik
2x $0.03
Safari Print
2x $0.04
Bee-Tron
2x $0.04
Byproduct
1x $0.20
Thermal Currents
2x $0.24
↓
Possible Outputs
Jungle Spray
5.0% $77.49
Jungle Tiger
5.0% $55.72
Calligrafaux
18.0% $2.90
Coral Paisley
18.0% $0.67
Picnic
18.0% $0.42
XoooM
18.0% $0.34
Max Win
$77.49 (+1010.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.50 (+7.5%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+286.8%
Cost
$6.98
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $6.98
Ask Price EV $7.50 (+7.5%)
Bid Price EV $7.01 (+0.4%)
Ask Profit $0.52 (+7.5%)
Bid Profit $0.03 (+0.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.50 (+7.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.52
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.03
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $77.49 (+1010.2%)
Worst Case $0.34 (-95.1%)
Volatility +286.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%
Avg Win +$59.62
Avg Loss -$6.04
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.34 (-95.1%)
Std Dev $20.02
Avg Norm Float 0.0695
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 4h 17m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Five-SeveN | Jungle
—
Field-Tested
$5.93 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik
—
Minimal Wear
$0.03 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Safari Print
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Bee-Tron
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Bee-Tron
—
Minimal Wear
$0.05 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Safari Print
—
Factory New
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik
—
Factory New
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | Byproduct
—
Factory New
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents
—
Factory New
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents
—
Factory New
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 15M 23S //TOTAL COST $6.98 //ASK PRICE EV $7.50 //BID PRICE EV $7.01 //ASK PROFIT $0.52 (+7.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.03 (+0.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $77.49 //VOLATILITY +286.8% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
5.0%
$77.49
+$70.51
+1010.2%
$70.58
+$63.60
+911.2%
$6.91
8.9%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$55.72
+$48.74
+698.2%
$53.79
+$46.81
+670.6%
$1.93
3.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$2.90
-$4.08
-58.4%
$2.71
-$4.27
-61.2%
$0.19
6.6%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$0.67
-$6.31
-90.4%
$0.64
-$6.34
-90.8%
$0.03
4.5%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$0.42
-$6.56
-94.0%
$0.39
-$6.59
-94.4%
$0.03
7.1%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$0.34
-$6.64
-95.1%
$0.32
-$6.66
-95.4%
$0.02
6.8%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$0.34
-$6.64
-95.1%
$0.32
-$6.66
-95.4%
$0.02
5.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-aztec|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-aztec"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.05214,
"output_skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"realistic_value": 0.42,
"optimistic_value": 0.42,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"conservative_value": 0.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:55.445138Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.045188,
"output_skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"realistic_value": 0.6705,
"optimistic_value": 0.66,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:40:14.908154Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.06952,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2efacc35df16",
"realistic_value": 2.9015,
"optimistic_value": 2.87,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux",
"conservative_value": 2.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:00.460220Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2efacc35df16.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.041712,
"output_skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"realistic_value": 0.34,
"optimistic_value": 0.34,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"conservative_value": 0.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:51.551762Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.041712,
"output_skin_id": "skin-674317d93e09",
"realistic_value": 0.3435,
"optimistic_value": 0.34,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | XoooM",
"conservative_value": 0.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:48.429008Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-674317d93e09.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.1114448,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7bf3e9d7c372",
"realistic_value": 77.49000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 76.51,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Jungle Spray",
"conservative_value": 70.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-aztec",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Aztec Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:04.621787Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7bf3e9d7c372.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.1114448,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5039c3ce742f",
"realistic_value": 55.717,
"optimistic_value": 55.29,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Jungle Tiger",
"conservative_value": 53.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-aztec",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Aztec Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:01.245072Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5039c3ce742f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9dc13c6d27e79c0bc2d55079",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 5.93,
"skin_id": "skin-2cf756866c61",
"listing_id": "529879287550934604",
"collection_id": "collection-set-aztec",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Jungle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Jungle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2cf756866c61.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:32:48.539826Z"
},
{
"price": 0.03,
"skin_id": "skin-0b2ec5b2c5ef",
"listing_id": "496102290329625215",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0b2ec5b2c5ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:38:07.439332Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-9a7b0a3e260f",
"listing_id": "509613036859876251",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Safari Print (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Safari Print",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a7b0a3e260f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:43:26.348256Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-07db077aad75",
"listing_id": "490472790737594103",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Bee-Tron",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-07db077aad75.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:49:26.170067Z"
},
{
"price": 0.05,
"skin_id": "skin-07db077aad75",
"listing_id": "507361289453127685",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Bee-Tron",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-07db077aad75.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:49:26.170067Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-9a7b0a3e260f",
"listing_id": "492724590625703277",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Safari Print (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Safari Print",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a7b0a3e260f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:35:18.979165Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-0b2ec5b2c5ef",
"listing_id": "510738989039807074",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0b2ec5b2c5ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:50:41.932241Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-f9f850e1e389",
"listing_id": "506235389469552864",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New)",
"name": "FAMAS | Byproduct",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f9f850e1e389.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:50:14.798780Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-8ac8f9231892",
"listing_id": "496102290329602967",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ac8f9231892.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:35:50.154955Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-8ac8f9231892",
"listing_id": "525375635592794275",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ac8f9231892.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:35:50.154955Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-aztec:1+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Aztec Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Jungle Spray 5.0% $77.49 Jungle Tiger 5.0% $55.72 Calligrafaux 18.0% $0.31 Coral Paisley 18.0% $0.19 Banana Leaf 18.0% $0.16 Picnic 18.0% $0.15 | $77.49 +1293.7% | $6.83 +22.9% | 10.0% | +360.1% | $5.56 | — |