The Aztec Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Lichen Dashed
1x $4.29
Crimson Batik
3x $0.03
Byproduct
1x $0.04
Safari Print
2x $0.04
Bee-Tron
2x $0.04
Mauve Aside
1x $0.05
↓
Possible Outputs
Jungle Spray
5.0% $23.46
Jungle Tiger
5.0% $17.30
Coral Paisley
18.0% $0.19
Banana Leaf
18.0% $0.16
Picnic
18.0% $0.15
XoooM
18.0% $0.14
Max Win
$23.46 (+391.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.17 (-54.6%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+128.9%
Cost
$4.77
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.77
Ask Price EV $2.17 (-54.6%)
Bid Price EV $2.06 (-56.8%)
Ask Profit $-2.60 (-54.6%)
Bid Profit $-2.71 (-56.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.11 (+2.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$2.60
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.71
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $23.46 (+391.8%)
Worst Case $0.08 (-98.3%)
Volatility +128.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%
Avg Win +$15.61
Avg Loss -$4.63
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.08 (-98.3%)
Std Dev $6.15
Avg Norm Float 0.1746
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 54m
Oldest Output Price 4h 17m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SSG 08 | Lichen Dashed
—
Battle-Scarred
$4.29 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik
—
Minimal Wear
$0.03 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | Byproduct
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Safari Print
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Bee-Tron
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Mauve Aside
—
Minimal Wear
$0.05 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Bee-Tron
—
Minimal Wear
$0.05 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Safari Print
—
Factory New
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik
—
Factory New
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 15M 21S //TOTAL COST $4.77 //ASK PRICE EV $2.17 //BID PRICE EV $2.06 //ASK PROFIT $-2.60 (-54.6%) //BID PROFIT $-2.71 (-56.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $23.46 //VOLATILITY +128.9% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
5.0%
$23.46
+$18.69
+391.8%
$23.09
+$18.32
+384.1%
$0.37
1.6%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$17.30
+$12.53
+262.6%
$15.90
+$11.13
+233.3%
$1.40
8.1%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$0.19
-$4.58
-96.0%
$0.16
-$4.61
-96.6%
$0.03
15.8%
—
NUKE THIN BID
18.0%
$0.16
-$4.61
-96.6%
$0.12
-$4.65
-97.5%
$0.04
25.0%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$0.15
-$4.62
-96.9%
$0.14
-$4.63
-97.1%
$0.01
6.7%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$0.14
-$4.63
-97.1%
$0.12
-$4.65
-97.5%
$0.02
14.6%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$0.08
-$4.69
-98.3%
$0.07
-$4.70
-98.5%
$0.01
12.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-aztec|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-aztec"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.13091250000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"realistic_value": 0.15,
"optimistic_value": 0.15,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"conservative_value": 0.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:40:48.205426Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.11345750000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"realistic_value": 0.19,
"optimistic_value": 0.19,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"conservative_value": 0.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:40:36.984600Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.17455,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2efacc35df16",
"realistic_value": 0.08,
"optimistic_value": 0.08,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux",
"conservative_value": 0.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:40:20.414769Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2efacc35df16.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.10473,
"output_skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"realistic_value": 0.16,
"optimistic_value": 0.16,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:40:21.780595Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.10473,
"output_skin_id": "skin-674317d93e09",
"realistic_value": 0.1405,
"optimistic_value": 0.13,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | XoooM",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:47.296858Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-674317d93e09.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.189167,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7bf3e9d7c372",
"realistic_value": 23.4585,
"optimistic_value": 23.42,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Jungle Spray",
"conservative_value": 23.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-aztec",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Aztec Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:09.130406Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7bf3e9d7c372.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.189167,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5039c3ce742f",
"realistic_value": 17.2955,
"optimistic_value": 17.25,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Jungle Tiger",
"conservative_value": 15.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-aztec",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Aztec Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:01.261686Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5039c3ce742f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9dc13c6d27e79c0bc2d55079",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 4.29,
"skin_id": "skin-6f8aad60b1d5",
"listing_id": "494975741587080786",
"collection_id": "collection-set-aztec",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Lichen Dashed (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Lichen Dashed",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f8aad60b1d5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:32:40.672845Z"
},
{
"price": 0.03,
"skin_id": "skin-0b2ec5b2c5ef",
"listing_id": "496102290329625215",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0b2ec5b2c5ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:38:07.439332Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-f9f850e1e389",
"listing_id": "499479824343476497",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Byproduct (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "FAMAS | Byproduct",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f9f850e1e389.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:59:34.597823Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-0b2ec5b2c5ef",
"listing_id": "520871291151766188",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0b2ec5b2c5ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:38:07.439332Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-9a7b0a3e260f",
"listing_id": "509613036859876251",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Safari Print (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Safari Print",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a7b0a3e260f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:43:26.348256Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-07db077aad75",
"listing_id": "490472790737594103",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Bee-Tron",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-07db077aad75.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:49:26.170067Z"
},
{
"price": 0.05,
"skin_id": "skin-2f4f4e0aaa4e",
"listing_id": "511864888983963405",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Mauve Aside (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Mauve Aside",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f4f4e0aaa4e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:53:47.519558Z"
},
{
"price": 0.05,
"skin_id": "skin-07db077aad75",
"listing_id": "507361289453127685",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Bee-Tron",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-07db077aad75.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:49:26.170067Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-9a7b0a3e260f",
"listing_id": "492724590625703277",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Safari Print (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Safari Print",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a7b0a3e260f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:35:18.979165Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-0b2ec5b2c5ef",
"listing_id": "510738989039807074",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0b2ec5b2c5ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:50:41.932241Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-aztec:1+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Aztec Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Jungle Spray 5.0% $77.49 Jungle Tiger 5.0% $55.72 Calligrafaux 18.0% $0.31 Coral Paisley 18.0% $0.19 Banana Leaf 18.0% $0.16 Picnic 18.0% $0.15 | $77.49 +1293.7% | $6.83 +22.9% | 10.0% | +360.1% | $5.56 | — |
The Aztec Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Jungle Spray 5.0% $77.49 Jungle Tiger 5.0% $55.72 Calligrafaux 18.0% $2.90 Coral Paisley 18.0% $0.67 Picnic 18.0% $0.42 XoooM 18.0% $0.34 | $77.49 +1010.2% | $7.50 +7.5% | 10.0% | +283.5% | $6.98 | — |