The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Dark Sigil
1x $0.15
Slag
1x $0.16
RMX
2x $0.34
Bock Blocks
5x $0.39
Fusion
1x $0.59
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
16.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
16.0% $6.12
Galigator
16.0% $3.56
Amberline
16.0% $2.88
Urban Sovereign
16.0% $2.71
Etch Lord
4.0% $2.28
Max Win
$10.69 (+174.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.50 (+15.4%)
Win %
32.0%
Volatility
+77.7%
Cost
$3.90
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $3.90
Ask Price EV $4.50 (+15.4%)
Bid Price EV $3.84 (-1.6%)
Ask Profit $0.60 (+15.4%)
Bid Profit $-0.06 (-1.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.66 (+17.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.60
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.06
Risk
Win Probability 32.0%
Loss Probability 68.0%
Best Case $10.69 (+174.2%)
Worst Case $1.37 (-64.9%)
Volatility +77.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 52.0%
Avg Win +$4.51
Avg Loss -$1.24
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.44 (-63.0%)
Std Dev $3.03
Avg Norm Float 0.2949
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 13h 35m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.46 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 59M 17S //TOTAL COST $3.90 //ASK PRICE EV $4.50 //BID PRICE EV $3.84 //ASK PROFIT $0.60 (+15.4%) //BID PROFIT $-0.06 (-1.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 32.0% //BEST CASE $10.69 //VOLATILITY +77.7% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
16.0%
$10.69
+$6.79
+174.2%
$9.15
+$5.25
+134.6%
$1.54
14.4%
—
BIG WIN
16.0%
$6.12
+$2.22
+56.8%
$4.98
+$1.08
+27.7%
$1.14
18.6%
—
LOSS THIN BID
16.0%
$3.56
-$0.34
-8.6%
$2.64
-$1.26
-32.3%
$0.92
25.9%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$2.88
-$1.02
-26.1%
$2.61
-$1.29
-33.1%
$0.27
9.5%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$2.71
-$1.19
-30.6%
$2.58
-$1.32
-33.8%
$0.13
4.6%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$2.28
-$1.62
-41.4%
$2.08
-$1.82
-46.7%
$0.20
8.9%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$2.01
-$1.89
-48.5%
$1.93
-$1.97
-50.5%
$0.08
3.8%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.56
-$2.34
-60.0%
$1.43
-$2.47
-63.3%
$0.13
8.3%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.44
-$2.46
-63.0%
$1.39
-$2.51
-64.4%
$0.05
3.7%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.37
-$2.53
-64.9%
$1.24
-$2.66
-68.2%
$0.13
9.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.29489,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 6.117,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 4.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.545500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.29489,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.5645000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 3.47,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 2.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:39:26.209442Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.29489,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 10.693000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.63,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.376233Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.29489,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 2.8835,
"optimistic_value": 2.88,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:55.493135Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.29489,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 2.705,
"optimistic_value": 2.6,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 2.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.069479Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.29489,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.444,
"optimistic_value": 1.43,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:17:53.729273Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.19812921875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 2.007,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 1.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:46:05.315017Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.29489,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.284,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:15:03.044007Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.29489,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.18249562539999997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.3675,
"optimistic_value": 1.35,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:34.567927Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9b2f70c6a9323489b7bd35cb",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "521997988016510322",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:46.755158Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "526501587737921273",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:06:25.910004Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "494976443341633434",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:15.817488Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "526501587737943665",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:15.817488Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "520872141037515540",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:15.284305Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "512990789045645879",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:15.284305Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "490472790738106599",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:15.284305Z"
},
{
"price": 0.46,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "506235389470161876",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:15.284305Z"
},
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "511864723318980237",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:17:09.012928Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "643593816523454425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:15.284305Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.85 Etch Lord 4.0% $13.06 | $51.27 +206.5% | $22.56 +34.8% | 48.0% | +78.7% | $16.73 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 16.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 16.0% $10.78 Amberline 16.0% $6.42 Galigator 16.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $4.80 Etch Lord 4.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +154.3% | $7.80 +17.1% | 32.0% | +63.2% | $6.66 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 Etch Lord 6.0% $13.06 | $51.27 +229.7% | $20.82 +33.9% | 42.0% | +82.1% | $15.55 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 Etch Lord 2.0% $13.06 | $51.27 +179.7% | $24.30 +32.6% | 54.0% | +74.3% | $18.33 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.85 Etch Lord 8.0% $13.06 | $51.27 +254.3% | $19.09 +31.9% | 48.0% | +85.2% | $14.47 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 10.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 10.0% $10.78 Amberline 10.0% $6.38 Galigator 10.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $4.82 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +262.7% | $6.12 +31.1% | 50.0% | +81.1% | $4.67 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $6.38 Galigator 8.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $4.82 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +296.6% | $5.56 +30.2% | 52.0% | +83.7% | $4.27 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Amberline 6.0% $6.38 Galigator 6.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $4.80 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +332.0% | $5.00 +27.6% | 58.0% | +83.6% | $3.92 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Amberline 4.0% $6.38 Galigator 4.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 4.0% $4.82 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +385.3% | $4.45 +27.4% | 52.0% | +81.3% | $3.49 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 2.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 2.0% $10.78 Amberline 2.0% $6.38 Galigator 2.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 2.0% $4.80 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +434.3% | $3.89 +22.6% | 64.0% | +67.8% | $3.17 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  26.7% $290.04 Jawbreaker  6.7% $77.01 Black Lotus  6.7% $62.28 Kintsugi  26.7% $61.35 Deathgaze  26.7% $58.69 Olympus  6.7% $29.00 | $290.04 +218.7% | $120.57 +32.5% | 26.7% | +112.8% | $91.00 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Inheritance  5.0% $480.22 Chrome Cannon  5.0% $297.24 | $843.46 +70.0% | $636.64 +28.3% | 45.0% | +38.6% | $496.15 | — |