The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Dark Sigil
1x $0.85
Hideout
1x $1.51
Fusion
3x $0.75
Bock Blocks
3x $0.80
RMX
2x $1.72
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
16.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
16.0% $31.66
Amberline
16.0% $18.87
Galigator
16.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
16.0% $13.85
Etch Lord
4.0% $13.06
Max Win
$51.27 (+200.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$22.56 (+32.0%)
Win %
48.0%
Volatility
+84.8%
Cost
$17.09
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $17.09
Ask Price EV $22.56 (+32.0%)
Bid Price EV $19.28 (+12.8%)
Ask Profit $5.47 (+32.0%)
Bid Profit $2.19 (+12.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $3.28 (+19.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$5.47
Bid Slippage Buffer +$2.19
Risk
Win Probability 48.0%
Loss Probability 52.0%
Best Case $51.27 (+200.0%)
Worst Case $4.10 (-76.0%)
Volatility +84.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 16.0%
Avg Win +$16.84
Avg Loss -$5.02
Bottom 5% Outcome $7.89 (-53.8%)
Std Dev $14.49
Avg Norm Float 0.0695
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 12h 21m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Factory New
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Factory New
$1.51 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.75 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.95 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Minimal Wear
$1.72 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Minimal Wear
$1.75 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.47 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.59 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$3.70 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 42M 50S //TOTAL COST $17.09 //ASK PRICE EV $22.56 //BID PRICE EV $19.28 //ASK PROFIT $5.47 (+32.0%) //BID PROFIT $2.19 (+12.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 48.0% //BEST CASE $51.27 //VOLATILITY +84.8% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$51.27
+$34.18
+200.0%
$43.51
+$26.42
+154.6%
$7.76
15.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$31.66
+$14.57
+85.2%
$29.45
+$12.36
+72.3%
$2.21
7.0%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$18.87
+$1.78
+10.4%
$12.97
-$4.12
-24.1%
$5.90
31.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$14.51
-$2.58
-15.1%
$13.05
-$4.04
-23.6%
$1.46
10.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$13.85
-$3.24
-19.0%
$11.82
-$5.27
-30.8%
$2.03
14.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$13.06
-$4.03
-23.6%
$12.03
-$5.06
-29.6%
$1.03
7.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$9.49
-$7.60
-44.5%
$7.86
-$9.23
-54.0%
$1.63
17.2%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$8.90
-$8.19
-47.9%
$7.77
-$9.32
-54.5%
$1.13
12.7%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$7.89
-$9.20
-53.8%
$7.43
-$9.66
-56.5%
$0.46
5.8%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$4.10
-$12.99
-76.0%
$3.74
-$13.35
-78.1%
$0.36
8.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 31.657,
"optimistic_value": 31.02,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 29.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.490012Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 14.512,
"optimistic_value": 14.33,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 13.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.833807Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 51.274,
"optimistic_value": 50.91,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 43.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.200704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 18.869,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 12.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:36:10.284461Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 13.847,
"optimistic_value": 13.84,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:46.348082Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 7.8895,
"optimistic_value": 7.83,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 7.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:38.223871Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.046715468749999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 8.897,
"optimistic_value": 8.89,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 7.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:53.653469Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 13.056999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 12.35,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 12.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.589744Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 9.4875,
"optimistic_value": 9.47,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 7.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:49.281836Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.04302933579999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 4.100499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 4.02,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 3.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:55.985123Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9b2f70c6a9323489b7bd35cb",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "514115891832272466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:01:32.255444Z"
},
{
"price": 1.51,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "519746022669746780",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:06:10.606899Z"
},
{
"price": 0.75,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "500605889842050059",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:57.236452Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "498354089953934779",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:51:11.856388Z"
},
{
"price": 0.95,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "492724590626343393",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:51:11.856388Z"
},
{
"price": 1.72,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "517493591317579006",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:46:22.559972Z"
},
{
"price": 1.75,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "492724538182380753",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:46:22.559972Z"
},
{
"price": 2.47,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "490472790738106563",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:03:45.251532Z"
},
{
"price": 2.59,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "499479989895893281",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:48:43.339261Z"
},
{
"price": 3.7,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "501730992863239961",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:03:45.251532Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 16.0% $6.12 Galigator 16.0% $3.56 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $3.05 Amberline 16.0% $3.01 Etch Lord 4.0% $2.27 | $10.69 +170.0% | $4.58 +15.6% | 32.0% | +69.2% | $3.96 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.85 Etch Lord 8.0% $13.06 | $51.27 +254.6% | $19.09 +32.0% | 48.0% | +85.2% | $14.46 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $13.85 Etch Lord 10.0% $13.06 | $51.27 +288.1% | $17.36 +31.4% | 50.0% | +89.4% | $13.21 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 Etch Lord 2.0% $13.06 | $51.27 +174.3% | $24.30 +30.0% | 54.0% | +72.9% | $18.69 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 Etch Lord 6.0% $13.06 | $51.27 +215.7% | $20.83 +28.3% | 42.0% | +78.6% | $16.24 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Amberline 6.0% $6.42 Galigator 6.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $4.77 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +333.1% | $5.00 +28.0% | 58.0% | +83.8% | $3.91 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $6.40 Galigator 8.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $4.72 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +287.6% | $5.56 +27.2% | 52.0% | +81.9% | $4.37 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Amberline 4.0% $6.40 Galigator 4.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 4.0% $4.77 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +381.1% | $4.44 +26.3% | 52.0% | +80.7% | $3.52 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 2.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 2.0% $10.78 Amberline 2.0% $6.42 Galigator 2.0% $5.81 Urban Sovereign 2.0% $4.85 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +434.3% | $3.89 +22.8% | 64.0% | +67.9% | $3.17 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  26.7% $290.04 Jawbreaker  6.7% $77.01 Kintsugi  26.7% $62.86 Black Lotus  6.7% $62.28 Deathgaze  26.7% $58.69 Olympus  6.7% $29.00 | $290.04 +217.1% | $120.98 +32.3% | 26.7% | +111.9% | $91.47 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Inheritance  5.0% $480.22 Chrome Cannon  5.0% $297.24 | $843.46 +68.6% | $636.64 +27.3% | 45.0% | +38.2% | $500.21 | — |