The Revolution Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted WW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn
Inputs
Re.built
2x $0.12
Fragments
1x $0.13
Rebel
1x $0.14
Aeolian Light
5x $0.25
Grip Tape
1x $0.34
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
30.0% $5.85
Trace Lock
30.0% $2.19
Emphorosaur-S
8.0% $0.75
Umbral Rabbit
8.0% $0.74
Neoqueen
8.0% $0.72
Banana Cannon
8.0% $0.64
Max Win
$5.85 (+149.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.69 (+14.4%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+91.9%
Cost
$2.35
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.35
Ask Price EV $2.69 (+14.4%)
Bid Price EV $2.36 (+0.6%)
Ask Profit $0.34 (+14.4%)
Bid Profit $0.01 (+0.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.32 (+13.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.34
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.01
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $5.85 (+149.0%)
Worst Case $0.63 (-73.3%)
Volatility +91.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$3.50
Avg Loss -$1.02
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.63 (-73.3%)
Std Dev $2.16
Avg Norm Float 0.4445
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 26m
Oldest Output Price 142h 57m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 43M 04S //TOTAL COST $2.35 //ASK PRICE EV $2.69 //BID PRICE EV $2.36 //ASK PROFIT $0.34 (+14.4%) //BID PROFIT $0.01 (+0.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $5.85 //VOLATILITY +91.9% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
30.0%
$5.85
+$3.50
+149.0%
$4.91
+$2.56
+108.9%
$0.94
16.1%
—
LOSS
30.0%
$2.19
-$0.16
-6.9%
$2.14
-$0.21
-8.9%
$0.05
2.1%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.75
-$1.60
-68.2%
$0.70
-$1.65
-70.2%
$0.05
6.4%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.74
-$1.61
-68.5%
$0.69
-$1.66
-70.6%
$0.05
6.8%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.72
-$1.63
-69.4%
$0.61
-$1.74
-74.0%
$0.11
15.3%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.64
-$1.71
-72.6%
$0.55
-$1.80
-76.6%
$0.09
14.5%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.63
-$1.72
-73.3%
$0.57
-$1.78
-75.7%
$0.06
9.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.333375,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 5.850499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 5.77,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 4.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:53.253669Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.31115,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 2.1870000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 2.18,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 2.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:40.425168Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.333375,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 0.7404999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.73,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 0.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T03:55:11.491583Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.3556,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 0.7475,
"optimistic_value": 0.73,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 0.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T18:33:49.520496Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.46781000000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 0.627,
"optimistic_value": 0.62,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 0.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T21:57:19.347681Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.2667,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 0.72,
"optimistic_value": 0.72,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 0.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:01:28.520114Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.4445,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.6435,
"optimistic_value": 0.64,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:27:26.407590Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9910d57fdaeaedb2d316dd92",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "505109489449123436",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:59:46.395592Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "505109437007393480",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:43.535098Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "518619491424619600",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:59:46.395592Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "492724538183077569",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:53:43.744732Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "526501587737062601",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:12:48.662374Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "516368488724825018",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:12:48.662374Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "508487136897723158",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:12:48.662374Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "493850490550151956",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:12:48.662374Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "516368488725919454",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:45.793783Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "499479989896498261",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:15:23.546908Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:4+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 30.0% $4.28 Sakkaku 8.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 8.0% $1.07 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +184.8% | $5.38 +25.0% | 30.0% | +104.8% | $4.30 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 30.0% $26.93 Trace Lock 30.0% $14.71 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $4.30 Neoqueen 8.0% $3.17 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $1.62 Banana Cannon 8.0% $1.61 | $26.93 +127.0% | $13.46 +13.5% | 60.0% | +81.1% | $11.86 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 20.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 20.0% $4.52 Sakkaku 12.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 12.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +293.7% | $3.98 +28.1% | 40.0% | +135.0% | $3.11 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 35.0% $4.52 Sakkaku 6.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 6.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +146.9% | $6.18 +24.7% | 35.0% | +90.0% | $4.96 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 25.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 25.0% $4.28 Sakkaku 10.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 10.0% $1.07 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +227.4% | $4.65 +24.4% | 50.0% | +117.8% | $3.74 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 45.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 45.0% $4.52 Sakkaku 2.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 2.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +94.4% | $7.65 +21.4% | 45.0% | +66.0% | $6.30 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Breakthrough 40.0% $5.85 Trace Lock 40.0% $2.18 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $1.01 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $0.74 Neoqueen 4.0% $0.66 Banana Cannon 4.0% $0.65 | $5.85 +109.7% | $3.36 +20.5% | 40.0% | +72.7% | $2.79 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Achroma Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 15.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 15.0% $4.29 Sakkaku 14.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 14.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 14.0% $1.07 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +355.2% | $3.21 +19.4% | 30.0% | +143.3% | $2.69 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Achroma Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | The End  30.0% $44.73 Duality  23.3% $9.79 Wicked Sick  23.3% $8.89 Wild Child  23.3% $8.35 | $44.73 +135.1% | $19.73 +3.7% | 30.0% | +86.1% | $19.03 | — |