The Revolution Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Re.built
1x $0.14
Rebel
2x $0.14
Fragments
1x $0.26
Grip Tape
2x $0.34
The Daily Deagle
2x $0.43
Aeolian Light
2x $0.73
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
30.0% $12.25
Trace Lock
30.0% $4.51
Sakkaku
8.0% $1.44
Umbral Rabbit
8.0% $1.33
Neoqueen
8.0% $1.09
Emphorosaur-S
8.0% $0.75
Max Win
$12.25 (+178.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.45 (+24.1%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+106.6%
Cost
$4.39
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.39
Ask Price EV $5.45 (+24.1%)
Bid Price EV $5.03 (+14.5%)
Ask Profit $1.06 (+24.1%)
Bid Profit $0.64 (+14.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.42 (+9.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.06
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.64
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $12.25 (+178.9%)
Worst Case $0.65 (-85.3%)
Volatility +106.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$3.99
Avg Loss -$3.34
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.65 (-85.3%)
Std Dev $4.68
Avg Norm Float 0.1998
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 142h 14m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.46 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.73 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.81 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 51M 46S //TOTAL COST $4.39 //ASK PRICE EV $5.45 //BID PRICE EV $5.03 //ASK PROFIT $1.06 (+24.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.64 (+14.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $12.25 //VOLATILITY +106.6% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$12.25
+$7.86
+178.9%
$11.36
+$6.97
+158.8%
$0.89
7.2%
—
PAPER WIN
30.0%
$4.51
+$0.12
+2.7%
$4.10
-$0.29
-6.6%
$0.41
9.1%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.44
-$2.95
-67.2%
$1.42
-$2.97
-67.7%
$0.02
1.4%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$1.33
-$3.06
-69.7%
$1.19
-$3.20
-72.9%
$0.14
10.6%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.09
-$3.30
-75.1%
$0.93
-$3.46
-78.8%
$0.16
15.0%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.75
-$3.64
-83.0%
$0.70
-$3.69
-84.1%
$0.05
6.4%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.65
-$3.74
-85.3%
$0.62
-$3.77
-85.9%
$0.03
4.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14987250000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 12.245000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.14,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 11.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:15.007591Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.139881,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 4.5089999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 4.46,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 4.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:25.405946Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14987250000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 1.3315,
"optimistic_value": 1.3,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:59.503087Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.159864,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 0.7475,
"optimistic_value": 0.73,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 0.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T18:33:49.520496Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.3259014,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.44,
"optimistic_value": 1.44,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:14:02.751199Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.119898,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.0935000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.09,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 0.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:02.749774Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.19983,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.647,
"optimistic_value": 0.64,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:37.223807Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9910d57fdaeaedb2d316dd92",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "518619491424619600",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:14.614785Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "518619491429205748",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:39.307058Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "497228190141522857",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:14.281147Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "518620288314147664",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:16:50.108658Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "500605889841196571",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:44.720257Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "490472625090080763",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:57.071423Z"
},
{
"price": 0.46,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "491598690699020822",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:57.071423Z"
},
{
"price": 0.73,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "492724590626126853",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:01:35.251852Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "503983423970808979",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:01:35.251852Z"
},
{
"price": 0.81,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "511864888985028393",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:16:54.971728Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:4+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 30.0% $26.93 Trace Lock 30.0% $14.83 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $4.30 Neoqueen 8.0% $3.17 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $1.62 Banana Cannon 8.0% $1.61 | $26.93 +137.4% | $13.50 +19.0% | 60.0% | +84.8% | $11.34 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Breakthrough 30.0% $5.85 Trace Lock 30.0% $2.24 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $0.75 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $0.74 Neoqueen 8.0% $0.70 Banana Cannon 8.0% $0.64 | $5.85 +141.8% | $2.70 +11.7% | 30.0% | +85.8% | $2.42 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 20.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 20.0% $4.52 Sakkaku 12.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 12.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +293.7% | $3.98 +28.1% | 40.0% | +135.0% | $3.11 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 25.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 25.0% $4.51 Sakkaku 10.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 10.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +225.7% | $4.71 +25.3% | 50.0% | +116.9% | $3.76 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Achroma Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 15.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 15.0% $4.51 Sakkaku 14.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 14.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 14.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +369.2% | $3.25 +24.5% | 30.0% | +147.9% | $2.61 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 35.0% $4.48 Sakkaku 6.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $1.33 Neoqueen 6.0% $1.09 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +143.4% | $6.17 +22.6% | 35.0% | +88.9% | $5.03 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 40.0% $4.51 Sakkaku 4.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 4.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +116.0% | $6.91 +21.9% | 40.0% | +76.9% | $5.67 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 45.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 45.0% $4.52 Sakkaku 2.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 2.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +94.4% | $7.65 +21.4% | 45.0% | +66.0% | $6.30 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | The End  40.0% $27.17 Duality  20.0% $5.49 Wild Child  20.0% $5.33 Wicked Sick  20.0% $5.24 | $27.17 +121.1% | $14.08 +14.6% | 40.0% | +87.0% | $12.29 | — |