The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Slag
1x $0.26
Dark Sigil
1x $0.28
Motorized
2x $0.28
Hideout
2x $0.30
Pipsqueak
2x $0.42
Teal Graf
2x $0.69
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
13.3% $10.49
Sweet Little Angels
13.3% $10.29
Monster Melt
13.3% $8.69
Etch Lord
12.0% $1.72
Just Smile
12.0% $1.61
Hybrid
12.0% $1.53
Max Win
$10.49 (+140.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.80 (+10.0%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+94.6%
Cost
$4.37
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.37
Ask Price EV $4.80 (+10.0%)
Bid Price EV $4.69 (+7.4%)
Ask Profit $0.43 (+10.0%)
Bid Profit $0.32 (+7.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.11 (+2.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.43
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.32
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $10.49 (+140.0%)
Worst Case $1.10 (-74.8%)
Volatility +94.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$5.45
Avg Loss -$2.91
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.10 (-74.8%)
Std Dev $4.13
Avg Norm Float 0.1494
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 50m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 44M 29S //TOTAL COST $4.37 //ASK PRICE EV $4.80 //BID PRICE EV $4.69 //ASK PROFIT $0.43 (+10.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.32 (+7.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $10.49 //VOLATILITY +94.6% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
13.3%
$10.49
+$6.12
+140.0%
$10.47
+$6.10
+139.6%
$0.02
0.2%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.122508
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
13.3%
$10.29
+$5.92
+135.5%
$10.28
+$5.91
+135.2%
$0.01
0.1%
—
BIG WIN
13.3%
$8.69
+$4.32
+98.8%
$8.24
+$3.87
+88.6%
$0.45
5.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$1.72
-$2.65
-60.6%
$1.54
-$2.83
-64.8%
$0.18
10.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$1.61
-$2.76
-63.2%
$1.58
-$2.79
-63.8%
$0.03
1.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$1.53
-$2.84
-64.9%
$1.51
-$2.86
-65.4%
$0.02
1.5%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.33
-$3.04
-69.6%
$1.30
-$3.07
-70.3%
$0.03
2.3%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.10
-$3.27
-74.8%
$0.98
-$3.39
-77.6%
$0.12
10.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.12699,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 10.49,
"optimistic_value": 10.49,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 10.47,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:48:56.842074Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.12250799999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.29,
"optimistic_value": 10.29,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:48:57.798924Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.11205000000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.687999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 8.52,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:51:30.187477Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.1494,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.5335,
"optimistic_value": 1.53,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:59:47.946642Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.100378125,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 1.3305,
"optimistic_value": 1.32,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 1.3,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:59:24.376063Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.1494,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 1.7235,
"optimistic_value": 1.72,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 1.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:28.237938Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.1494,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.61,
"optimistic_value": 1.61,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:29.166630Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.092457684,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.1005,
"optimistic_value": 1.09,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 0.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:06:56.103934Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_97570d789ac7cd8ab9413b2c",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "523123888072362214",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:52:00.954000Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "503983537176494011",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:59:32.797131Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "496102237884868559",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:55:25.514540Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "503983589619871867",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:49:04.823690Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "509613089303862039",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:49:04.823690Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "493850490549237988",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:55:25.514540Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "517494388633440706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:47:38.485365Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "648097416147798788",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:47:38.485365Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "524249787962352003",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:36.287195Z"
},
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "516368488726379318",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:36.287195Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-33:6+collection-set-overpass-2024:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.29 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.69 Block-18 12.0% $1.33 Analog Input 12.0% $1.10 Etch Lord 12.0% $0.79 | $10.49 +193.0% | $4.50 +25.7% | 40.0% | +111.2% | $3.58 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.29 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.65 Block-18 8.0% $1.31 Analog Input 8.0% $1.08 Just Smile 8.0% $0.78 | $10.47 +111.5% | $6.26 +26.4% | 60.0% | +76.8% | $4.95 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.29 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.65 Block-18 10.0% $1.31 Analog Input 10.0% $1.08 Just Smile 10.0% $0.78 | $10.47 +146.4% | $5.37 +26.3% | 50.0% | +93.4% | $4.25 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.29 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.65 Block-18 6.0% $1.31 Analog Input 6.0% $1.08 Just Smile 6.0% $0.78 | $10.47 +82.7% | $7.14 +24.6% | 70.0% | +60.7% | $5.73 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 10.0% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 10.0% $10.29 Monster Melt 10.0% $8.65 Block-18 14.0% $1.31 Analog Input 14.0% $1.08 Just Smile 14.0% $0.78 | $10.47 +256.1% | $3.59 +22.2% | 30.0% | +129.5% | $2.94 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 6.7% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 6.7% $10.29 Monster Melt 6.7% $8.65 Block-18 16.0% $1.31 Analog Input 16.0% $1.08 Just Smile 16.0% $0.78 | $10.47 +330.9% | $2.71 +11.3% | 20.0% | +139.8% | $2.43 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Crakow!  15.0% $103.76 Dragon Snore  15.0% $77.71 Black Lotus  23.3% $12.65 Jawbreaker  23.3% $10.69 Olympus  23.3% $7.59 | $103.76 +256.7% | $34.43 +18.4% | 30.0% | +129.2% | $29.09 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  50.0% $1,312.69 Inheritance  25.0% $222.60 Chrome Cannon  25.0% $60.71 | $1,312.69 +121.4% | $727.17 +22.6% | 50.0% | +99.2% | $592.92 | — |