The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Slag
1x $0.12
Light Box
2x $0.14
Grip Tape
2x $0.35
Aeolian Light
5x $0.47
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
35.0% $12.25
Trace Lock
35.0% $5.01
Block-18
6.0% $1.36
Analog Input
6.0% $1.06
Etch Lord
6.0% $0.79
Hybrid
6.0% $0.76
Max Win
$12.25 (+149.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$6.32 (+28.7%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+94.7%
Cost
$4.91
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.91
Ask Price EV $6.32 (+28.7%)
Bid Price EV $5.69 (+15.9%)
Ask Profit $1.41 (+28.7%)
Bid Profit $0.78 (+15.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.63 (+12.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.41
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.78
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $12.25 (+149.4%)
Worst Case $0.72 (-85.4%)
Volatility +94.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$3.72
Avg Loss -$3.97
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.72 (-85.4%)
Std Dev $4.65
Avg Norm Float 0.1981
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 151h 19m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Field-Tested
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.64 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.72 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 53M 18S //TOTAL COST $4.91 //ASK PRICE EV $6.32 //BID PRICE EV $5.69 //ASK PROFIT $1.41 (+28.7%) //BID PROFIT $0.78 (+15.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $12.25 //VOLATILITY +94.7% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
35.0%
$12.25
+$7.34
+149.4%
$11.36
+$6.45
+131.4%
$0.89
7.2%
—
PAPER WIN
35.0%
$5.01
+$0.10
+2.0%
$4.16
-$0.75
-15.3%
$0.85
16.9%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.36
-$3.55
-72.4%
$1.30
-$3.61
-73.5%
$0.06
4.2%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.06
-$3.85
-78.3%
$0.98
-$3.93
-80.0%
$0.08
7.9%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.79
-$4.12
-84.0%
$0.69
-$4.22
-85.9%
$0.10
12.3%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.76
-$4.15
-84.5%
$0.66
-$4.25
-86.6%
$0.10
13.2%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.72
-$4.19
-85.4%
$0.69
-$4.22
-85.9%
$0.03
3.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.148575,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 12.245000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.14,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 11.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:15.007591Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.13867,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 5.007,
"optimistic_value": 5,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 4.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:01.722586Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 0.76,
"optimistic_value": 0.76,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:49.025296Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1330984375,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 1.3575,
"optimistic_value": 1.34,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 1.3,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:00:38.592982Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 0.787,
"optimistic_value": 0.78,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 0.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:11:34.992907Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 0.7175,
"optimistic_value": 0.7,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 0.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:17:58.497427Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.12259616599999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.0635000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.06,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 0.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:09:13.216933Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8f6b906906ade9886a1e8111",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "636838417147903708",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:45.254992Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "490472738292831831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:17:05.179381Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "514115891842488654",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:17:05.179381Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "521998040962764762",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:13:46.375137Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "512990841908349539",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:21.023367Z"
},
{
"price": 0.64,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "518620122757210468",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:21.023367Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "509613142167999039",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:10:47.101623Z"
},
{
"price": 0.72,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "497228243055167129",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:02:41.800276Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "500605889842133939",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:10:47.101623Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "648097416149991260",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:10:47.101623Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-33:3+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Breakthrough 35.0% $5.85 Trace Lock 35.0% $2.39 Block-18 6.0% $0.77 Etch Lord 6.0% $0.72 Analog Input 6.0% $0.66 Hybrid 6.0% $0.66 | $5.85 +125.9% | $3.09 +19.4% | 35.0% | +79.2% | $2.59 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Breakthrough 35.0% $5.85 Trace Lock 35.0% $2.39 Block-18 6.0% $0.77 Etch Lord 6.0% $0.73 Hybrid 6.0% $0.71 Analog Input 6.0% $0.66 | $5.85 +125.0% | $3.10 +19.1% | 35.0% | +78.7% | $2.60 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 35.0% $26.93 Trace Lock 35.0% $14.30 Block-18 6.0% $4.18 Analog Input 6.0% $2.99 Etch Lord 6.0% $1.66 Just Smile 6.0% $1.61 | $26.93 +101.2% | $15.15 +13.2% | 70.0% | +69.6% | $13.38 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 20.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 20.0% $5.01 Block-18 12.0% $1.36 Analog Input 12.0% $1.06 Etch Lord 12.0% $0.80 Hybrid 12.0% $0.76 | $12.25 +310.9% | $4.02 +34.7% | 40.0% | +143.0% | $2.98 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 30.0% $5.01 Block-18 8.0% $1.36 Analog Input 8.0% $1.06 Etch Lord 8.0% $0.79 Hybrid 8.0% $0.76 | $12.25 +196.5% | $5.55 +34.5% | 60.0% | +108.8% | $4.13 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 40.0% $4.57 Block-18 4.0% $1.35 Analog Input 4.0% $1.06 Etch Lord 4.0% $0.80 Hybrid 4.0% $0.76 | $12.25 +124.7% | $6.91 +26.9% | 40.0% | +80.4% | $5.45 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Achroma Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 15.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 15.0% $5.01 Block-18 14.0% $1.36 Analog Input 14.0% $1.06 Etch Lord 14.0% $0.79 Hybrid 14.0% $0.76 | $12.25 +378.3% | $3.24 +26.7% | 30.0% | +153.8% | $2.56 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 25.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 25.0% $4.57 Block-18 10.0% $1.35 Analog Input 10.0% $1.02 Hybrid 10.0% $0.72 Just Smile 10.0% $0.72 | $12.25 +230.9% | $4.66 +25.8% | 50.0% | +120.6% | $3.70 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 45.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 45.0% $5.01 Block-18 2.0% $1.36 Analog Input 2.0% $1.06 Etch Lord 2.0% $0.80 Hybrid 2.0% $0.76 | $12.25 +82.8% | $7.86 +17.3% | 45.0% | +59.8% | $6.70 | — |