The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Trigger Discipline
1x $0.58
Red Wing
2x $0.65
MAGnitude
1x $0.78
Zubastick
1x $0.55
RMX
1x $0.94
Bock Blocks
3x $1.49
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
12.0% $19.50
Liquidation
8.0% $19.42
Firebreathing
12.0% $12.97
Galigator
12.0% $11.16
Urban Sovereign
12.0% $10.00
Cat Fight
8.0% $6.50
Max Win
$19.50 (+86.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$9.99 (-4.5%)
Win %
44.0%
Volatility
+57.1%
Cost
$10.46
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $10.46
Ask Price EV $9.99 (-4.5%)
Bid Price EV $9.22 (-11.8%)
Ask Profit $-0.47 (-4.5%)
Bid Profit $-1.24 (-11.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.76 (+7.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.47
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.24
Risk
Win Probability 44.0%
Loss Probability 56.0%
Best Case $19.50 (+86.4%)
Worst Case $0.00 (-100.0%)
Volatility +57.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 44.0%
Avg Win +$4.97
Avg Loss -$4.75
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.00 (-100.0%)
Std Dev $5.97
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 147h 23m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
AUG | Trigger Discipline
—
Minimal Wear
$0.58 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Minimal Wear
$0.65 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Minimal Wear
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | MAGnitude
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Minimal Wear
$0.55 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Minimal Wear
$0.94 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$1.49 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$1.50 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$1.62 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Factory New
$1.66 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 13M 08S //TOTAL COST $10.46 //ASK PRICE EV $9.99 //BID PRICE EV $9.22 //ASK PROFIT $-0.47 (-4.5%) //BID PROFIT $-1.24 (-11.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 44.0% //BEST CASE $19.50 //VOLATILITY +57.1% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$19.50
+$9.04
+86.4%
$17.32
+$6.86
+65.6%
$2.18
11.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$19.42
+$8.96
+85.6%
$16.07
+$5.61
+53.6%
$3.35
17.2%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$12.97
+$2.51
+24.0%
$11.57
+$1.11
+10.6%
$1.40
10.8%
—
SMALL WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$11.16
+$0.70
+6.7%
$10.78
+$0.32
+3.1%
$0.38
3.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$10.00
-$0.46
-4.4%
$9.98
-$0.48
-4.6%
$0.02
0.2%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$6.50
-$3.96
-37.9%
$6.35
-$4.11
-39.3%
$0.15
2.3%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$6.27
-$4.19
-40.1%
$6.21
-$4.25
-40.6%
$0.06
1.0%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$6.14
-$4.32
-41.3%
$6.12
-$4.34
-41.5%
$0.02
0.3%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$6.09
-$4.37
-41.8%
$6.07
-$4.39
-42.0%
$0.02
0.3%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$0.00
-$10.46
-100.0%
$0.00
-$10.46
-100.0%
$0.00
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 12.967,
"optimistic_value": 12.89,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 11.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T13:05:51.443586Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 11.1635,
"optimistic_value": 11.09,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 10.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:18.640965Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 19.4975,
"optimistic_value": 19.34,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 17.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:01:57.497142Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 0,
"optimistic_value": 0,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 0,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:21.301436Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 10,
"optimistic_value": 10,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 9.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:22:51.368933Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 6.27,
"optimistic_value": 6.27,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 6.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:18.095459Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 19.4155,
"optimistic_value": 19.37,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 16.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:11:14.220331Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 6.5005,
"optimistic_value": 6.49,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 6.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:09:09.960270Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 6.09,
"optimistic_value": 6.09,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 6.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:16.609546Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 6.1370000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 6.13,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 6.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:29.604376Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8f4bdfa56ab20ffb793b0037",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.58,
"skin_id": "skin-ab9a15ef8110",
"listing_id": "643593816553635061",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Trigger Discipline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab9a15ef8110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:09:39.737944Z"
},
{
"price": 0.65,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "514116636505205970",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:09:30.206868Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "519745391330807492",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:09:30.206868Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-e8947585ba24",
"listing_id": "519745391315593064",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8947585ba24.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:43.570613Z"
},
{
"price": 0.55,
"skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
"listing_id": "529879287552057552",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:13.829149Z"
},
{
"price": 0.94,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "527627435179257020",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:03:44.659655Z"
},
{
"price": 1.49,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "500605889842177643",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:25:27.584631Z"
},
{
"price": 1.5,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "526501587738388985",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:25:27.584631Z"
},
{
"price": 1.62,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "515242588555458097",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:25:27.584631Z"
},
{
"price": 1.66,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "517494388634456698",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:25:32.587067Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Electrum 12.0% $4.11 Liquidation 8.0% $4.01 Firebreathing 12.0% $2.79 Galigator 12.0% $2.19 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $1.86 Amberline 12.0% $1.74 | $4.11 +134.9% | $2.18 +24.8% | 56.0% | +50.9% | $1.75 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Liquidation 8.0% $7.67 Electrum 12.0% $7.00 Firebreathing 12.0% $5.02 Galigator 12.0% $3.23 Amberline 12.0% $3.17 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $3.13 | $7.67 +133.8% | $3.87 +18.1% | 32.0% | +49.7% | $3.28 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Liquidation 10.0% $7.67 Electrum 10.0% $7.00 Firebreathing 10.0% $5.02 Galigator 10.0% $3.34 Amberline 10.0% $3.17 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $3.11 | $7.67 +141.9% | $3.77 +19.0% | 40.0% | +52.9% | $3.17 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Liquidation 6.0% $7.67 Electrum 14.0% $7.00 Firebreathing 14.0% $5.02 Galigator 14.0% $3.34 Amberline 14.0% $3.17 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $3.11 | $7.67 +127.5% | $4.00 +18.6% | 34.0% | +46.7% | $3.37 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Electrum 16.0% $4.11 Liquidation 4.0% $4.01 Firebreathing 16.0% $2.79 Galigator 16.0% $2.19 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $1.90 Amberline 16.0% $1.80 | $4.11 +103.5% | $2.38 +17.7% | 52.0% | +41.7% | $2.02 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Liquidation 14.0% $7.67 Electrum 6.0% $7.00 Firebreathing 6.0% $5.02 Galigator 6.0% $3.34 Amberline 6.0% $3.17 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $3.12 | $7.67 +149.7% | $3.55 +15.7% | 44.0% | +58.6% | $3.07 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Electrum 18.0% $4.11 Liquidation 2.0% $4.01 Firebreathing 18.0% $2.79 Galigator 18.0% $2.19 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $1.89 Amberline 18.0% $1.76 | $4.11 +93.0% | $2.46 +15.4% | 56.0% | +39.8% | $2.13 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Liquidation 12.0% $7.67 Electrum 8.0% $7.00 Firebreathing 8.0% $5.02 Galigator 8.0% $3.34 Amberline 8.0% $3.17 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $3.11 | $7.67 +140.3% | $3.66 +14.8% | 36.0% | +54.4% | $3.19 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight  13.3% $35.39 Ice Coaled  20.0% $11.85 Smoking Kills  20.0% $10.58 Deathgaze  13.3% $9.87 Kintsugi  13.3% $9.49 Mirror Mosaic  20.0% $9.43 | $35.39 +225.9% | $13.67 +25.9% | 33.3% | +78.8% | $10.86 | — |