The Spectrum 2 Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Off World
5x $0.70
Jungle Slipstream
1x $1.32
Hunter
2x $1.34
VariCamo Blue
1x $19.39
Nitro
1x $21.36
↓
Possible Outputs
Pink DDPAT
10.0% $135.49
Road Rash
10.0% $124.10
Goo
16.0% $8.70
Phantom
16.0% $6.03
Exposure
16.0% $5.30
Tacticat
16.0% $2.29
Max Win
$135.49 (+166.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$29.85 (-41.4%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+98.3%
Cost
$50.94
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $50.94
Ask Price EV $29.85 (-41.4%)
Bid Price EV $26.28 (-48.4%)
Ask Profit $-21.09 (-41.4%)
Bid Profit $-24.66 (-48.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $3.56 (+7.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$21.09
Bid Slippage Buffer -$24.66
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $135.49 (+166.0%)
Worst Case $1.98 (-96.1%)
Volatility +98.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$78.85
Avg Loss -$46.08
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.98 (-96.1%)
Std Dev $50.09
Avg Norm Float 0.1164
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 15m
Oldest Output Price 112h 52m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Glock-18 | Off World
—
Minimal Wear
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Off World
—
Minimal Wear
$0.72 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Off World
—
Minimal Wear
$0.73 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Off World
—
Minimal Wear
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Off World
—
Minimal Wear
$0.96 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream
—
Factory New
$1.32 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Hunter
—
Minimal Wear
$1.34 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Hunter
—
Factory New
$3.62 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$19.39 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Nitro
—
Field-Tested
$21.36 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 28M 19S //TOTAL COST $50.94 //ASK PRICE EV $29.85 //BID PRICE EV $26.28 //ASK PROFIT $-21.09 (-41.4%) //BID PROFIT $-24.66 (-48.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $135.49 //VOLATILITY +98.3% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$135.49
+$84.55
+166.0%
$116.22
+$65.28
+128.2%
$19.27
14.2%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$124.10
+$73.16
+143.6%
$108.84
+$57.90
+113.7%
$15.25
12.3%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$8.70
-$42.24
-82.9%
$8.69
-$42.25
-82.9%
$0.01
0.1%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$6.03
-$44.91
-88.2%
$6.00
-$44.94
-88.2%
$0.03
0.6%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$5.30
-$45.64
-89.6%
$5.17
-$45.77
-89.9%
$0.13
2.4%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$2.29
-$48.65
-95.5%
$2.11
-$48.83
-95.9%
$0.18
7.8%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.98
-$48.96
-96.1%
$1.64
-$49.30
-96.8%
$0.34
17.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-18|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.08148699999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ba56fdaa179",
"realistic_value": 2.2875,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tacticat",
"conservative_value": 2.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:56.642078Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ba56fdaa179.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06984599999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-679351fdbe47",
"realistic_value": 8.7,
"optimistic_value": 8.7,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Goo",
"conservative_value": 8.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Goo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T09:05:46.144238Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-679351fdbe47.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06984599999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a3acd40fcd30",
"realistic_value": 6.034,
"optimistic_value": 6.02,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Phantom",
"conservative_value": 6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:19.524144Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a3acd40fcd30.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.0640255,
"output_skin_id": "skin-fe7065d1a17d",
"realistic_value": 5.296,
"optimistic_value": 5.17,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Exposure",
"conservative_value": 5.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:44.322388Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fe7065d1a17d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.08381519999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-56ee85216316",
"realistic_value": 1.9835,
"optimistic_value": 1.98,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Ziggy",
"conservative_value": 1.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:50:47.556746Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-56ee85216316.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14614339999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"realistic_value": 135.48850000000002,
"optimistic_value": 127.68,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"conservative_value": 116.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:30:55.021378Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.11641,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d7d145b204a5",
"realistic_value": 124.095,
"optimistic_value": 120,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Road Rash",
"conservative_value": 108.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Road Rash (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T21:13:15.597816Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d7d145b204a5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8f38ee9fa4af3a6d4ecdff95",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-bd5f006d65a3",
"listing_id": "492723793464200289",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Off World",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bd5f006d65a3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:15.517509Z"
},
{
"price": 0.72,
"skin_id": "skin-bd5f006d65a3",
"listing_id": "508486392199149590",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Off World",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bd5f006d65a3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:15.517509Z"
},
{
"price": 0.73,
"skin_id": "skin-bd5f006d65a3",
"listing_id": "525374890945591987",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Off World",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bd5f006d65a3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:15.517509Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-bd5f006d65a3",
"listing_id": "525375688036184659",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Off World",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bd5f006d65a3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:15.517509Z"
},
{
"price": 0.96,
"skin_id": "skin-bd5f006d65a3",
"listing_id": "500605837398771743",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Off World",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bd5f006d65a3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:15.517509Z"
},
{
"price": 1.32,
"skin_id": "skin-5c7aa5998b21",
"listing_id": "503983423969154239",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5c7aa5998b21.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:43:18.469474Z"
},
{
"price": 1.34,
"skin_id": "skin-b2c0d4a8e5c4",
"listing_id": "640216116823137911",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Hunter (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Hunter",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b2c0d4a8e5c4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:00.328497Z"
},
{
"price": 3.62,
"skin_id": "skin-b2c0d4a8e5c4",
"listing_id": "505109437004917256",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Hunter (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Hunter",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b2c0d4a8e5c4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:42:41.877851Z"
},
{
"price": 19.39,
"skin_id": "skin-3a57219a9579",
"listing_id": "496101493258480463",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a57219a9579.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:21.660304Z"
},
{
"price": 21.36,
"skin_id": "skin-11ddb95a9bd7",
"listing_id": "501730992847493381",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Nitro",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-11ddb95a9bd7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:53:53.788884Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-18:8+collection-set-overpass:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 10.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 10.0% $135.49 Tacticat 16.0% $12.44 Ziggy 16.0% $10.94 Goo 16.0% $8.70 Phantom 16.0% $6.03 | $701.51 +940.2% | $90.64 +34.4% | 20.0% | +302.9% | $67.44 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 15.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 15.0% $135.49 Tacticat 14.0% $12.13 Ziggy 14.0% $10.94 Goo 14.0% $8.70 Phantom 14.0% $6.03 | $701.51 +592.5% | $131.58 +29.9% | 30.0% | +235.8% | $101.30 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 5.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 5.0% $135.49 Tacticat 18.0% $11.87 Ziggy 18.0% $10.94 Goo 18.0% $8.70 Phantom 18.0% $6.03 | $701.51 +1640.3% | $49.56 +22.9% | 10.0% | +374.5% | $40.31 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×6+The Overpass Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 20.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 20.0% $135.49 Tacticat 12.0% $12.44 Ziggy 12.0% $10.94 Goo 12.0% $8.70 Phantom 12.0% $6.03 | $701.51 +387.9% | $172.61 +20.1% | 20.0% | +182.7% | $143.77 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×5+The Overpass Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 25.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 25.0% $135.49 Tacticat 10.0% $12.44 Ziggy 10.0% $10.94 Goo 10.0% $8.70 Phantom 10.0% $6.03 | $701.51 +242.8% | $213.59 +4.4% | 25.0% | +136.2% | $204.67 | — |