The Spectrum 2 Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Cracked Opal
5x $0.24
Hunter
2x $0.28
Off World
1x $0.31
VariCamo Blue
2x $16.47
↓
Possible Outputs
Road Rash
10.0% $80.19
Pink DDPAT
10.0% $59.98
Goo
16.0% $1.53
Exposure
16.0% $1.49
Tacticat
16.0% $1.48
Ziggy
16.0% $1.45
Max Win
$80.19 (+123.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$15.19 (-57.7%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+77.5%
Cost
$35.89
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $35.89
Ask Price EV $15.19 (-57.7%)
Bid Price EV $13.02 (-63.7%)
Ask Profit $-20.70 (-57.7%)
Bid Profit $-22.87 (-63.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.17 (+6.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$20.70
Bid Slippage Buffer -$22.87
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $80.19 (+123.4%)
Worst Case $1.40 (-96.1%)
Volatility +77.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$34.19
Avg Loss -$34.42
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.40 (-96.1%)
Std Dev $27.82
Avg Norm Float 0.3733
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 141h 14m
Oldest Output Price 139h 36m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Tec-9 | Cracked Opal
—
Well-Worn
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Cracked Opal
—
Well-Worn
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Cracked Opal
—
Well-Worn
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Hunter
—
Well-Worn
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Cracked Opal
—
Well-Worn
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Off World
—
Well-Worn
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Hunter
—
Field-Tested
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Cracked Opal
—
Field-Tested
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
—
Field-Tested
$16.47 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
—
Field-Tested
$17.06 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 28M 22S //TOTAL COST $35.89 //ASK PRICE EV $15.19 //BID PRICE EV $13.02 //ASK PROFIT $-20.70 (-57.7%) //BID PROFIT $-22.87 (-63.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $80.19 //VOLATILITY +77.5% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$80.19
+$44.30
+123.4%
$67.00
+$31.11
+86.7%
$13.19
16.4%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$59.98
+$24.09
+67.1%
$52.76
+$16.87
+47.0%
$7.22
12.0%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.53
-$34.36
-95.7%
$1.31
-$34.58
-96.3%
$0.22
14.4%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.49
-$34.40
-95.8%
$1.29
-$34.60
-96.4%
$0.20
13.6%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.48
-$34.41
-95.9%
$1.32
-$34.57
-96.3%
$0.16
10.6%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.45
-$34.44
-96.0%
$1.28
-$34.61
-96.4%
$0.17
11.7%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.40
-$34.49
-96.1%
$1.32
-$34.57
-96.3%
$0.08
6.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-18|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.261289,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ba56fdaa179",
"realistic_value": 1.4769999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tacticat",
"conservative_value": 1.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T07:05:15.163769Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ba56fdaa179.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.223962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-679351fdbe47",
"realistic_value": 1.53,
"optimistic_value": 1.53,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Goo",
"conservative_value": 1.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T06:22:17.245248Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-679351fdbe47.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.223962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a3acd40fcd30",
"realistic_value": 1.404,
"optimistic_value": 1.39,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Phantom",
"conservative_value": 1.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Phantom (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:07.418131Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a3acd40fcd30.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.20529850000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-fe7065d1a17d",
"realistic_value": 1.4935,
"optimistic_value": 1.49,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Exposure",
"conservative_value": 1.29,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Exposure (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T08:42:13.282631Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fe7065d1a17d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.2687544,
"output_skin_id": "skin-56ee85216316",
"realistic_value": 1.45,
"optimistic_value": 1.45,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Ziggy",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Ziggy (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:11.444246Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-56ee85216316.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.3362198,
"output_skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"realistic_value": 59.9785,
"optimistic_value": 59.94,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"conservative_value": 52.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:33.913871Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.37327,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d7d145b204a5",
"realistic_value": 80.19149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 74.91,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Road Rash",
"conservative_value": 67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Road Rash (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T05:39:29.645920Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d7d145b204a5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8f38ee9fa4af3a6d4ecdff95",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-45168379dce2",
"listing_id": "496102290328952951",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Cracked Opal",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45168379dce2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:37.746558Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-45168379dce2",
"listing_id": "518620288313450668",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Cracked Opal",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45168379dce2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:37.746558Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-45168379dce2",
"listing_id": "491598690699250574",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Cracked Opal",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45168379dce2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:37.746558Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-b2c0d4a8e5c4",
"listing_id": "516368436280626182",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Hunter (Well-Worn)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Hunter",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b2c0d4a8e5c4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:35.156728Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-45168379dce2",
"listing_id": "518620122759202492",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Cracked Opal",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45168379dce2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:37.746558Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-bd5f006d65a3",
"listing_id": "505108692504414536",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Off World (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Off World",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bd5f006d65a3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:14:46.349585Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-b2c0d4a8e5c4",
"listing_id": "491598690699569030",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Hunter (Field-Tested)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Hunter",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b2c0d4a8e5c4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:43.622971Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-45168379dce2",
"listing_id": "493850490549801532",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Cracked Opal",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45168379dce2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:43:40.111741Z"
},
{
"price": 16.47,
"skin_id": "skin-3a57219a9579",
"listing_id": "651475044035708298",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a57219a9579.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:41.506212Z"
},
{
"price": 17.06,
"skin_id": "skin-3a57219a9579",
"listing_id": "655978008938796559",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a57219a9579.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:41.506212Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-18:8+collection-set-overpass:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 10.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 10.0% $135.49 Tacticat 16.0% $12.44 Ziggy 16.0% $10.94 Goo 16.0% $8.70 Phantom 16.0% $6.03 | $701.51 +940.2% | $90.64 +34.4% | 20.0% | +302.9% | $67.44 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 15.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 15.0% $135.49 Tacticat 14.0% $12.13 Ziggy 14.0% $10.94 Goo 14.0% $8.70 Phantom 14.0% $6.03 | $701.51 +592.5% | $131.58 +29.9% | 30.0% | +235.8% | $101.30 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 5.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 5.0% $135.49 Tacticat 18.0% $11.87 Ziggy 18.0% $10.94 Goo 18.0% $8.70 Phantom 18.0% $6.03 | $701.51 +1640.3% | $49.56 +22.9% | 10.0% | +374.5% | $40.31 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×6+The Overpass Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 20.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 20.0% $135.49 Tacticat 12.0% $12.44 Ziggy 12.0% $10.94 Goo 12.0% $8.70 Phantom 12.0% $6.03 | $701.51 +387.9% | $172.61 +20.1% | 20.0% | +182.7% | $143.77 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×5+The Overpass Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 25.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 25.0% $135.49 Tacticat 10.0% $12.44 Ziggy 10.0% $10.94 Goo 10.0% $8.70 Phantom 10.0% $6.03 | $701.51 +242.8% | $213.59 +4.4% | 25.0% | +136.2% | $204.67 | — |