The Spectrum 2 Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Off World

1x $0.73
Morris

4x $3.02
Hunter

3x $3.45
VariCamo Blue

1x $19.39
Nitro

1x $21.36
↓
Possible Outputs
Road Rash

10.0% $701.51
Pink DDPAT

10.0% $135.49
Tacticat

16.0% $12.13
Ziggy

16.0% $10.94
Goo

16.0% $8.70
Phantom

16.0% $6.03
Max Win
$701.51 (+940.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$90.60 (+34.3%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+307.1%
Cost
$67.45
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $67.45
Ask Price EV $90.60 (+34.3%)
Bid Price EV $67.51 (+0.1%)
Ask Profit $23.15 (+34.3%)
Bid Profit $0.06 (+0.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $23.08 (+34.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$23.15
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.06
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $701.51 (+940.0%)
Worst Case $5.30 (-92.1%)
Volatility +307.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$351.05
Avg Loss -$58.83
Bottom 5% Outcome $5.30 (-92.1%)
Std Dev $207.13
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 140h 11m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Glock-18 | Off World
—
Minimal Wear

$0.73 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Morris
—
Factory New

$3.02 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Hunter
—
Factory New

$3.45 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Morris
—
Factory New

$3.53 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Hunter
—
Factory New

$3.62 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Hunter
—
Factory New

$3.75 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Morris
—
Factory New

$4.00 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Morris
—
Factory New

$4.60 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
—
Minimal Wear

$19.39 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Nitro
—
Field-Tested

$21.36 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 20M 37S //TOTAL COST $67.45 //ASK PRICE EV $90.60 //BID PRICE EV $67.51 //ASK PROFIT $23.15 (+34.3%) //BID PROFIT $0.06 (+0.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $701.51 //VOLATILITY +307.1% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated

BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$701.51
+$634.06
+940.0%
$490.79
+$423.34
+627.6%
$210.72
30.0%
—

BIG WIN
10.0%
$135.49
+$68.04
+100.9%
$116.22
+$48.77
+72.3%
$19.27
14.2%
—

NUKE
16.0%
$12.13
-$55.32
-82.0%
$11.82
-$55.63
-82.5%
$0.31
2.6%
—

NUKE
16.0%
$10.94
-$56.51
-83.8%
$10.90
-$56.55
-83.8%
$0.04
0.4%
—

NUKE
16.0%
$8.70
-$58.75
-87.1%
$8.69
-$58.76
-87.1%
$0.01
0.1%
—

NUKE
16.0%
$6.03
-$61.42
-91.1%
$6.00
-$61.45
-91.1%
$0.03
0.6%
—

NUKE
16.0%
$5.30
-$62.15
-92.1%
$5.17
-$62.28
-92.3%
$0.13
2.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-18|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.048902,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ba56fdaa179",
"realistic_value": 12.134,
"optimistic_value": 11.91,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tacticat",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:45:49.706195Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ba56fdaa179.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.041916,
"output_skin_id": "skin-679351fdbe47",
"realistic_value": 8.7,
"optimistic_value": 8.7,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Goo",
"conservative_value": 8.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Goo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T09:05:46.144238Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-679351fdbe47.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.041916,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a3acd40fcd30",
"realistic_value": 6.034,
"optimistic_value": 6.02,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Phantom",
"conservative_value": 6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:47:28.976649Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a3acd40fcd30.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.038423000000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-fe7065d1a17d",
"realistic_value": 5.296,
"optimistic_value": 5.17,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Exposure",
"conservative_value": 5.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:35:22.206616Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fe7065d1a17d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.0502992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-56ee85216316",
"realistic_value": 10.941,
"optimistic_value": 10.92,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Ziggy",
"conservative_value": 10.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:34:56.044057Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-56ee85216316.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1116964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"realistic_value": 135.48850000000002,
"optimistic_value": 127.68,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"conservative_value": 116.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:45:35.428401Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06986,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d7d145b204a5",
"realistic_value": 701.5105,
"optimistic_value": 657.4,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Road Rash",
"conservative_value": 490.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:44:32.262681Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d7d145b204a5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8f38ee9fa4af3a6d4ecdff95",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.73,
"skin_id": "skin-bd5f006d65a3",
"listing_id": "525374890945591987",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Off World",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bd5f006d65a3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:35.734780Z"
},
{
"price": 3.02,
"skin_id": "skin-9be5df6c224c",
"listing_id": "498353924434144975",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Morris (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Morris",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9be5df6c224c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:22.096774Z"
},
{
"price": 3.45,
"skin_id": "skin-b2c0d4a8e5c4",
"listing_id": "525375635594036095",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Hunter (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Hunter",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b2c0d4a8e5c4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:32:09.039488Z"
},
{
"price": 3.53,
"skin_id": "skin-9be5df6c224c",
"listing_id": "655978715563653989",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Morris (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Morris",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9be5df6c224c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:22.096774Z"
},
{
"price": 3.62,
"skin_id": "skin-b2c0d4a8e5c4",
"listing_id": "505109437004917256",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Hunter (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Hunter",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b2c0d4a8e5c4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:32:09.039488Z"
},
{
"price": 3.75,
"skin_id": "skin-b2c0d4a8e5c4",
"listing_id": "505109489447967260",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Hunter (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Hunter",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b2c0d4a8e5c4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:32:09.039488Z"
},
{
"price": 4,
"skin_id": "skin-9be5df6c224c",
"listing_id": "796711137117794328",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Morris (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Morris",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9be5df6c224c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:22.096774Z"
},
{
"price": 4.6,
"skin_id": "skin-9be5df6c224c",
"listing_id": "796711137117794904",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Morris (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Morris",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9be5df6c224c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:22.096774Z"
},
{
"price": 19.39,
"skin_id": "skin-3a57219a9579",
"listing_id": "496101493258480463",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a57219a9579.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:56.450718Z"
},
{
"price": 21.36,
"skin_id": "skin-11ddb95a9bd7",
"listing_id": "501730992847493381",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Nitro",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-11ddb95a9bd7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:45:12.521907Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-18:8+collection-set-overpass:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash ![]() 15.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT ![]() 15.0% $135.49 Tacticat ![]() 14.0% $12.13 Ziggy ![]() 14.0% $10.94 Goo ![]() 14.0% $8.70 Phantom ![]() 14.0% $6.03 | $701.51 +591.3% | $131.61 +29.7% | 30.0% | +235.5% | $101.47 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash ![]() 5.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT ![]() 5.0% $135.49 Tacticat ![]() 18.0% $12.13 Ziggy ![]() 18.0% $10.94 Goo ![]() 18.0% $8.70 Phantom ![]() 18.0% $6.03 | $701.51 +1633.8% | $49.61 +22.6% | 10.0% | +373.1% | $40.46 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×6+The Overpass Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash ![]() 20.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT ![]() 20.0% $135.49 Tacticat ![]() 12.0% $12.13 Ziggy ![]() 12.0% $10.94 Goo ![]() 12.0% $8.70 Phantom ![]() 12.0% $6.03 | $701.51 +387.9% | $172.57 +20.0% | 20.0% | +182.7% | $143.77 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×5+The Overpass Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash ![]() 25.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT ![]() 25.0% $135.49 Tacticat ![]() 10.0% $12.13 Ziggy ![]() 10.0% $10.94 Goo ![]() 10.0% $8.70 Phantom ![]() 10.0% $6.03 | $701.51 +242.5% | $213.56 +4.3% | 25.0% | +136.1% | $204.84 | — |