The CS20 Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Popdog
1x $0.28
Classic Crate
1x $0.30
Light Box
3x $0.21
Hideout
1x $0.30
Dark Sigil
2x $0.32
Motorized
1x $0.35
↓
Possible Outputs
Agent
4.0% $5.44
Buddy
4.0% $5.28
Etch Lord
16.0% $4.46
Block-18
16.0% $4.19
Inferno
4.0% $3.76
Aztec
4.0% $3.57
Max Win
$5.44 (+83.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.51 (+18.2%)
Win %
68.0%
Volatility
+33.7%
Cost
$2.97
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.97
Ask Price EV $3.51 (+18.2%)
Bid Price EV $3.09 (+4.2%)
Ask Profit $0.54 (+18.2%)
Bid Profit $0.12 (+4.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.42 (+14.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.54
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.12
Risk
Win Probability 68.0%
Loss Probability 32.0%
Best Case $5.44 (+83.3%)
Worst Case $1.95 (-34.3%)
Volatility +33.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 16.0%
Avg Win +$1.10
Avg Loss -$0.66
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.95 (-34.3%)
Std Dev $1.00
Avg Norm Float 0.1476
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 151h 22m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Popdog
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Classic Crate
—
Field-Tested
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 42M 12S //TOTAL COST $2.97 //ASK PRICE EV $3.51 //BID PRICE EV $3.09 //ASK PROFIT $0.54 (+18.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.12 (+4.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 68.0% //BEST CASE $5.44 //VOLATILITY +33.7% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
4.0%
$5.44
+$2.47
+83.3%
$4.57
+$1.60
+53.9%
$0.87
16.0%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$5.28
+$2.31
+77.9%
$4.14
+$1.17
+39.4%
$1.14
21.6%
—
BIG WIN
16.0%
$4.46
+$1.49
+50.2%
$3.75
+$0.78
+26.3%
$0.71
15.9%
—
WIN
16.0%
$4.19
+$1.22
+41.1%
$3.88
+$0.91
+30.6%
$0.31
7.4%
—
WIN
4.0%
$3.76
+$0.79
+26.6%
$3.65
+$0.68
+22.9%
$0.11
2.9%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID
4.0%
$3.57
+$0.60
+20.2%
$2.41
-$0.56
-18.9%
$1.16
32.5%
—
PAPER WIN
16.0%
$3.33
+$0.36
+12.2%
$2.85
-$0.12
-4.0%
$0.48
14.5%
—
PAPER WIN
4.0%
$3.25
+$0.28
+9.4%
$2.85
-$0.12
-4.0%
$0.40
12.3%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$2.68
-$0.29
-9.8%
$2.60
-$0.37
-12.5%
$0.08
2.9%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.95
-$1.02
-34.3%
$1.85
-$1.12
-37.7%
$0.10
5.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-24|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1476,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.678,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:24:37.563818Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.09916875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1476,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.46,
"optimistic_value": 4.46,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.75,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:24:32.113297Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1476,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.3335,
"optimistic_value": 3.33,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:12.970559Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.091343736,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.951,
"optimistic_value": 1.93,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:11.461220Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.08118000000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-31de22ad9746",
"realistic_value": 5.2835,
"optimistic_value": 5.21,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Buddy",
"conservative_value": 4.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:45.339680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-31de22ad9746.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.1107,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ca39d6a9fe2",
"realistic_value": 3.5700000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 3.5,
"output_full_name": "M249 | Aztec",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:03.249680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ca39d6a9fe2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.1476,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4ef86547d990",
"realistic_value": 5.443,
"optimistic_value": 5.17,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Agent",
"conservative_value": 4.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:04:47.554349Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4ef86547d990.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.10036800000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bcef416d83b",
"realistic_value": 3.7595,
"optimistic_value": 3.7,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Inferno",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:29:23.836740Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bcef416d83b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.11808000000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-520d7a1ce647",
"realistic_value": 3.2485,
"optimistic_value": 3.07,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Plastique",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:26:54.843693Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-520d7a1ce647.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8f2a610c423323916fa63e5f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-25cbd4e0e058",
"listing_id": "514116523133848254",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Popdog (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Popdog",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25cbd4e0e058.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:27:35.735783Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-d136bb4f23cb",
"listing_id": "517494388633386382",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Classic Crate",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d136bb4f23cb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:29.290812Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "518620288314777196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:42.138765Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:42.138765Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:42.138765Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "492724643507438085",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:35:02.381135Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "507361342334223961",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:30:00.009654Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:09.627059Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:30:00.009654Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "508486392212133206",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:24:48.765057Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-24:2+collection-set-community-33:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Buddy 4.0% $5.28 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Inferno 4.0% $3.76 Agent 4.0% $2.67 Etch Lord 16.0% $2.34 Analog Input 16.0% $1.95 | $5.28 +149.2% | $2.42 +14.1% | 44.0% | +45.8% | $2.12 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 2.0% $5.44 Buddy 2.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.46 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Inferno 2.0% $3.76 Aztec 2.0% $3.57 | $5.44 +90.3% | $3.41 +19.1% | 64.0% | +23.9% | $2.86 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 6.0% $5.44 Buddy 6.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Inferno 6.0% $3.76 Aztec 6.0% $3.57 | $5.44 +78.5% | $3.60 +17.9% | 72.0% | +23.9% | $3.05 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 8.0% $5.44 Buddy 8.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Inferno 8.0% $3.76 Aztec 8.0% $3.57 | $5.44 +67.5% | $3.69 +13.6% | 68.0% | +22.8% | $3.25 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 10.0% $5.44 Buddy 10.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.46 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Inferno 10.0% $3.76 Aztec 10.0% $3.57 | $5.44 +59.2% | $3.79 +10.7% | 60.0% | +22.0% | $3.42 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  26.7% $23.51 Hydra  6.7% $19.93 Jawbreaker  26.7% $14.90 Nostalgia  6.7% $12.46 Death by Puppy  6.7% $11.16 Olympus  26.7% $8.69 | $23.51 +71.7% | $15.46 +12.9% | 60.0% | +41.8% | $13.69 | — |