The CS20 Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Popdog
1x $0.28
Classic Crate
1x $0.30
Motorized
2x $0.16
Slag
2x $0.17
Hideout
2x $0.19
Light Box
2x $0.21
↓
Possible Outputs
Buddy
4.0% $5.28
Block-18
16.0% $4.19
Inferno
4.0% $3.76
Agent
4.0% $2.67
Etch Lord
16.0% $2.31
Analog Input
16.0% $1.95
Max Win
$5.28 (+149.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.42 (+14.1%)
Win %
44.0%
Volatility
+53.5%
Cost
$2.12
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.12
Ask Price EV $2.42 (+14.1%)
Bid Price EV $2.19 (+3.4%)
Ask Profit $0.30 (+14.1%)
Bid Profit $0.07 (+3.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.23 (+10.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.30
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.07
Risk
Win Probability 44.0%
Loss Probability 56.0%
Best Case $5.28 (+149.2%)
Worst Case $1.37 (-35.5%)
Volatility +53.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$1.31
Avg Loss -$0.50
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.42 (-32.8%)
Std Dev $1.13
Avg Norm Float 0.2198
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 26m
Oldest Output Price 152h 9m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Popdog
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Classic Crate
—
Field-Tested
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 31M 06S //TOTAL COST $2.12 //ASK PRICE EV $2.42 //BID PRICE EV $2.19 //ASK PROFIT $0.30 (+14.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.07 (+3.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 44.0% //BEST CASE $5.28 //VOLATILITY +53.5% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
4.0%
$5.28
+$3.16
+149.2%
$4.14
+$2.02
+95.3%
$1.14
21.6%
—
BIG WIN
16.0%
$4.19
+$2.07
+97.7%
$3.88
+$1.76
+83.0%
$0.31
7.4%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$3.76
+$1.64
+77.3%
$3.65
+$1.53
+72.2%
$0.11
2.9%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID
4.0%
$2.67
+$0.55
+26.1%
$2.00
-$0.12
-5.7%
$0.67
25.2%
—
PAPER WIN
16.0%
$2.31
+$0.19
+9.2%
$2.08
-$0.04
-1.9%
$0.23
10.1%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.95
-$0.17
-8.0%
$1.85
-$0.27
-12.7%
$0.10
5.2%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.56
-$0.56
-26.4%
$1.43
-$0.69
-32.5%
$0.13
8.3%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.47
-$0.65
-30.7%
$1.39
-$0.73
-34.4%
$0.08
5.4%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$1.42
-$0.70
-32.8%
$1.24
-$0.88
-41.5%
$0.18
13.0%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$1.37
-$0.75
-35.5%
$1.27
-$0.85
-40.1%
$0.10
7.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-24|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.2198,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.47,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:25:05.092408Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.147678125,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.2198,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.3139999999999996,
"optimistic_value": 2.3,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:22:13.195841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.2198,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.13602542799999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.951,
"optimistic_value": 1.93,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:13.362550Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.12089000000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-31de22ad9746",
"realistic_value": 5.2835,
"optimistic_value": 5.21,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Buddy",
"conservative_value": 4.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:45.339680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-31de22ad9746.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.16485,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ca39d6a9fe2",
"realistic_value": 1.4244999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.4,
"output_full_name": "M249 | Aztec",
"conservative_value": 1.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:24:47.292764Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ca39d6a9fe2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.2198,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4ef86547d990",
"realistic_value": 2.674,
"optimistic_value": 2.66,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Agent",
"conservative_value": 2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:26:01.420258Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4ef86547d990.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.149464,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bcef416d83b",
"realistic_value": 3.7595,
"optimistic_value": 3.7,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Inferno",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:29:23.836740Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bcef416d83b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.17584,
"output_skin_id": "skin-520d7a1ce647",
"realistic_value": 1.3675,
"optimistic_value": 1.35,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Plastique",
"conservative_value": 1.27,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:11.737988Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-520d7a1ce647.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8f2a610c423323916fa63e5f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-25cbd4e0e058",
"listing_id": "514116523133848254",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Popdog (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Popdog",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25cbd4e0e058.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:19:19.777042Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-d136bb4f23cb",
"listing_id": "517494388633386382",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Classic Crate",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d136bb4f23cb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:06.034279Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "524249840859311535",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:20:20.848375Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "500605942755366047",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:31.808197Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "507360492276906205",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:14:17.835272Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "506235389470544232",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:20:20.848375Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "496101493247435159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:31.808197Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "514116523129581066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:14:17.835272Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "518620288314777196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:10.758266Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:10.758266Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-24:2+collection-set-community-33:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 4.0% $5.44 Buddy 4.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Inferno 4.0% $3.76 Aztec 4.0% $3.57 | $5.44 +84.5% | $3.51 +18.8% | 68.0% | +23.9% | $2.95 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 6.0% $5.44 Buddy 6.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Inferno 6.0% $3.76 Aztec 6.0% $3.57 | $5.44 +79.6% | $3.60 +18.8% | 72.0% | +23.9% | $3.03 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 2.0% $5.44 Buddy 2.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Inferno 2.0% $3.76 Aztec 2.0% $3.57 | $5.44 +87.7% | $3.41 +17.6% | 64.0% | +23.4% | $2.90 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 8.0% $5.44 Buddy 8.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Inferno 8.0% $3.76 Aztec 8.0% $3.57 | $5.44 +67.5% | $3.69 +13.6% | 68.0% | +22.8% | $3.25 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 10.0% $5.44 Buddy 10.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Inferno 10.0% $3.76 Aztec 10.0% $3.57 | $5.44 +57.3% | $3.79 +9.4% | 60.0% | +21.7% | $3.46 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  23.3% $23.51 Hydra  10.0% $19.93 Jawbreaker  23.3% $14.90 Death by Puppy  10.0% $12.66 Nostalgia  10.0% $12.46 Olympus  23.3% $8.69 | $23.51 +67.6% | $15.49 +10.4% | 56.7% | +38.8% | $14.03 | — |