The Achroma Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6

Industrial Grade Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Dark Chamber
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
2x $0.10
Aeolian Dark
M4A4 | Aeolian Dark
2x $0.12
Naval Shred Camo
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
2x $0.13
Gum Wall Camo
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
1x $0.14
Robin's Egg
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
1x $0.15
Rose Nacre
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
1x $0.17
Possible Outputs
Mint Fan
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
12.0% $3.33
Royal Baroque
P2000 | Royal Baroque
12.0% $2.64
The Daily Deagle
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
10.0% $2.24
Reef Grief
P90 | Reef Grief
12.0% $2.10
Yeti Camo
FAMAS | Yeti Camo
12.0% $1.79
Cobalt Paisley
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley
12.0% $1.14
Max Win
$3.33 (+129.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.79 (+23.5%)
Win %
58.0%
Volatility
+59.3%
Cost
$1.45
Age
Financials
Total Cost $1.45
Ask Price EV $1.79 (+23.5%)
Bid Price EV $1.71 (+17.8%)
Ask Profit $0.34 (+23.5%)
Bid Profit $0.26 (+17.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.08 (+5.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.34
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.26
Risk
Win Probability 58.0%
Loss Probability 42.0%
Best Case $3.33 (+129.7%)
Worst Case $0.71 (-50.7%)
Volatility +59.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$0.98
Avg Loss -$0.54
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.71 (-50.7%)
Std Dev $0.86
Avg Norm Float 0.1155
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 4h 31m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
Minimal Wear
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear)
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Aeolian Dark
Minimal Wear
M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Minimal Wear)
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Aeolian Dark
Minimal Wear
M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Minimal Wear)
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
Minimal Wear
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear)
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
Minimal Wear
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
Minimal Wear
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear)
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
Minimal Wear
Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
Minimal Wear
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
Minimal Wear
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
Minimal Wear
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 22M 34S //TOTAL COST $1.45 //ASK PRICE EV $1.79 //BID PRICE EV $1.71 //ASK PROFIT $0.34 (+23.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.26 (+17.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 58.0% //BEST CASE $3.33 //VOLATILITY +59.3% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Industrial Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 4,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Industrial Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 6,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
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      "output_float": 0.069288,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
      "realistic_value": 3.331,
      "optimistic_value": 3.31,
      "output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
      "conservative_value": 3.3,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:50.421341Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png"
    },
    {
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      "output_float": 0.08083599999999999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
      "realistic_value": 1.789,
      "optimistic_value": 1.74,
      "output_full_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
      "conservative_value": 1.62,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:00:14.550967Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png"
    },
    {
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      "output_float": 0.075062,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
      "realistic_value": 1.141,
      "optimistic_value": 1.12,
      "output_full_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
      "conservative_value": 1.04,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:02:53.037696Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png"
    },
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      "output_skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
      "realistic_value": 2.6435,
      "optimistic_value": 2.64,
      "output_full_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
      "conservative_value": 2.62,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:16.632396Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png"
    },
    {
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      "output_float": 0.069288,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
      "realistic_value": 2.096,
      "optimistic_value": 2.04,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
      "conservative_value": 1.99,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:05.326116Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png"
    },
    {
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      "output_float": 0.09238400000000001,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
      "realistic_value": 0.927,
      "optimistic_value": 0.92,
      "output_full_name": "AUG | Creep",
      "conservative_value": 0.83,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:10.017177Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.0669784,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
      "realistic_value": 2.2439999999999998,
      "optimistic_value": 2.23,
      "output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
      "conservative_value": 2.19,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:11.570947Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.08660999999999999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
      "realistic_value": 0.8234999999999999,
      "optimistic_value": 0.82,
      "output_full_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
      "conservative_value": 0.71,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:45.491893Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.075062,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
      "realistic_value": 0.7144999999999999,
      "optimistic_value": 0.69,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
      "conservative_value": 0.66,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:19.243545Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_8dfa6c5fc7d6f6ea97f44dba",
  "input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 0.1,
      "skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
      "listing_id": "493850543431724080",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:10:12.497181Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.12,
      "skin_id": "skin-9449a702cb3c",
      "listing_id": "519746241188513996",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9449a702cb3c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:09:03.321684Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.13,
      "skin_id": "skin-9449a702cb3c",
      "listing_id": "517493591332850710",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9449a702cb3c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:09:03.321684Z"
    },
    {
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      "skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
      "listing_id": "494976443341720338",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:10:12.497181Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.13,
      "skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
      "listing_id": "497228243054721557",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
      "market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:53.703142Z"
    },
    {
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      "skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
      "listing_id": "505109542379577332",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
      "market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:16.376066Z"
    },
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      "skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
      "listing_id": "507361237008872437",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
      "market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:30:34.464793Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.17,
      "skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
      "listing_id": "491597893797568694",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
      "market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:53.703142Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.17,
      "skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
      "listing_id": "516368488724892626",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
      "market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:30:06.298113Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.2,
      "skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
      "listing_id": "527627322006965552",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
      "market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:32:26.133327Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
  "stattrak_mode": false,
  "composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:4+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:6"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Achroma Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6
Industrial Grade Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Yeti Camo
FAMAS | Yeti Camo
12.0% $1.79
Cobalt Paisley
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley
12.0% $1.14
Mint Fan
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
12.0% $1.05
Royal Baroque
P2000 | Royal Baroque
12.0% $1.04
Reef Grief
P90 | Reef Grief
12.0% $0.98
The Daily Deagle
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
10.0% $0.88
$1.79
+120.9%
$0.96
+18.0%
70.0%+37.0%$0.81
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Achroma Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5
Industrial Grade Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Mint Fan
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
10.0% $3.33
Royal Baroque
P2000 | Royal Baroque
10.0% $2.64
The Daily Deagle
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
12.5% $2.24
Reef Grief
P90 | Reef Grief
10.0% $2.10
Yeti Camo
FAMAS | Yeti Camo
10.0% $1.79
Cobalt Paisley
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley
10.0% $1.14
$3.33
+139.6%
$1.69
+21.5%
52.5%+48.1%$1.39
The Achroma Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4
Industrial Grade Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Mint Fan
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
8.0% $3.28
Royal Baroque
P2000 | Royal Baroque
8.0% $2.64
The Daily Deagle
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
15.0% $2.24
Reef Grief
P90 | Reef Grief
8.0% $2.09
Yeti Camo
FAMAS | Yeti Camo
8.0% $1.79
Cobalt Paisley
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley
8.0% $1.14
$3.28
+144.6%
$1.58
+17.6%
47.0%+49.0%$1.34
The Achroma Collection ×7+The Ascent Collection ×3
Industrial Grade Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Mint Fan
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
6.0% $3.33
Royal Baroque
P2000 | Royal Baroque
6.0% $2.64
The Daily Deagle
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
17.5% $2.24
Reef Grief
P90 | Reef Grief
6.0% $2.10
Yeti Camo
FAMAS | Yeti Camo
6.0% $1.79
Cobalt Paisley
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley
6.0% $1.14
$3.33
+154.3%
$1.48
+12.9%
41.5%+49.7%$1.31
FS

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