The Achroma Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Dark Chamber
2x $0.10
Aeolian Dark
2x $0.12
Naval Shred Camo
2x $0.13
Gum Wall Camo
1x $0.14
Robin's Egg
1x $0.15
Rose Nacre
1x $0.17
↓
Possible Outputs
Mint Fan
12.0% $3.33
Royal Baroque
12.0% $2.64
The Daily Deagle
10.0% $2.24
Reef Grief
12.0% $2.10
Yeti Camo
12.0% $1.79
Cobalt Paisley
12.0% $1.14
Max Win
$3.33 (+129.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.79 (+23.5%)
Win %
58.0%
Volatility
+59.3%
Cost
$1.45
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.45
Ask Price EV $1.79 (+23.5%)
Bid Price EV $1.71 (+17.8%)
Ask Profit $0.34 (+23.5%)
Bid Profit $0.26 (+17.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.08 (+5.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.34
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.26
Risk
Win Probability 58.0%
Loss Probability 42.0%
Best Case $3.33 (+129.7%)
Worst Case $0.71 (-50.7%)
Volatility +59.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$0.98
Avg Loss -$0.54
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.71 (-50.7%)
Std Dev $0.86
Avg Norm Float 0.1155
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 4h 31m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Aeolian Dark
—
Minimal Wear
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Aeolian Dark
—
Minimal Wear
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 22M 34S //TOTAL COST $1.45 //ASK PRICE EV $1.79 //BID PRICE EV $1.71 //ASK PROFIT $0.34 (+23.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.26 (+17.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 58.0% //BEST CASE $3.33 //VOLATILITY +59.3% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$3.33
+$1.88
+129.7%
$3.30
+$1.85
+127.6%
$0.03
0.9%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$2.64
+$1.19
+82.3%
$2.62
+$1.17
+80.7%
$0.02
0.9%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$2.24
+$0.79
+54.8%
$2.19
+$0.74
+51.0%
$0.05
2.4%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$2.10
+$0.65
+44.6%
$1.99
+$0.54
+37.2%
$0.11
5.1%
—
WIN
12.0%
$1.79
+$0.34
+23.4%
$1.62
+$0.17
+11.7%
$0.17
9.4%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$1.14
-$0.31
-21.3%
$1.04
-$0.41
-28.3%
$0.10
8.9%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$0.93
-$0.52
-36.1%
$0.83
-$0.62
-42.8%
$0.10
10.5%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.82
-$0.63
-43.2%
$0.71
-$0.74
-51.0%
$0.11
13.8%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.71
-$0.74
-50.7%
$0.66
-$0.79
-54.5%
$0.05
7.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.069288,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"realistic_value": 3.331,
"optimistic_value": 3.31,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"conservative_value": 3.3,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:50.421341Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.08083599999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"realistic_value": 1.789,
"optimistic_value": 1.74,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:00:14.550967Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.075062,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"realistic_value": 1.141,
"optimistic_value": 1.12,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:02:53.037696Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.069288,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"realistic_value": 2.6435,
"optimistic_value": 2.64,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:16.632396Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.069288,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"realistic_value": 2.096,
"optimistic_value": 2.04,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"conservative_value": 1.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:05.326116Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.09238400000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"realistic_value": 0.927,
"optimistic_value": 0.92,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Creep",
"conservative_value": 0.83,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:10.017177Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0669784,
"output_skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"realistic_value": 2.2439999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 2.23,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"conservative_value": 2.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:11.570947Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.08660999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"realistic_value": 0.8234999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.82,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"conservative_value": 0.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:45.491893Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.075062,
"output_skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"realistic_value": 0.7144999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.69,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:19.243545Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8dfa6c5fc7d6f6ea97f44dba",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "493850543431724080",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:10:12.497181Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-9449a702cb3c",
"listing_id": "519746241188513996",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9449a702cb3c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:09:03.321684Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-9449a702cb3c",
"listing_id": "517493591332850710",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9449a702cb3c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:09:03.321684Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "494976443341720338",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:10:12.497181Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"listing_id": "497228243054721557",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:53.703142Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"listing_id": "505109542379577332",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:16.376066Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"listing_id": "507361237008872437",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:30:34.464793Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"listing_id": "491597893797568694",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:53.703142Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "516368488724892626",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:30:06.298113Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "527627322006965552",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:32:26.133327Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:4+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Achroma Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Yeti Camo 12.0% $1.79 Cobalt Paisley 12.0% $1.14 Mint Fan 12.0% $1.05 Royal Baroque 12.0% $1.04 Reef Grief 12.0% $0.98 The Daily Deagle 10.0% $0.88 | $1.79 +120.9% | $0.96 +18.0% | 70.0% | +37.0% | $0.81 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Achroma Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 10.0% $3.33 Royal Baroque 10.0% $2.64 The Daily Deagle 12.5% $2.24 Reef Grief 10.0% $2.10 Yeti Camo 10.0% $1.79 Cobalt Paisley 10.0% $1.14 | $3.33 +139.6% | $1.69 +21.5% | 52.5% | +48.1% | $1.39 | — |
The Achroma Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 8.0% $3.28 Royal Baroque 8.0% $2.64 The Daily Deagle 15.0% $2.24 Reef Grief 8.0% $2.09 Yeti Camo 8.0% $1.79 Cobalt Paisley 8.0% $1.14 | $3.28 +144.6% | $1.58 +17.6% | 47.0% | +49.0% | $1.34 | — |
The Achroma Collection ×7+The Ascent Collection ×3 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 6.0% $3.33 Royal Baroque 6.0% $2.64 The Daily Deagle 17.5% $2.24 Reef Grief 6.0% $2.10 Yeti Camo 6.0% $1.79 Cobalt Paisley 6.0% $1.14 | $3.33 +154.3% | $1.48 +12.9% | 41.5% | +49.7% | $1.31 | — |