The Achroma Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Dark Chamber
4x $0.05
Turquoise Pour
2x $0.06
Naval Shred Camo
1x $0.07
Rose Nacre
1x $0.09
Sour Grapes
1x $0.09
Gum Wall Camo
1x $0.12
↓
Possible Outputs
Yeti Camo
12.0% $1.90
Cobalt Paisley
12.0% $1.14
The Daily Deagle
10.0% $1.12
Royal Baroque
12.0% $1.07
Mint Fan
12.0% $1.04
Reef Grief
12.0% $1.01
Max Win
$1.90 (+134.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.00 (+23.9%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+53.0%
Cost
$0.81
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $0.81
Ask Price EV $1.00 (+23.9%)
Bid Price EV $0.89 (+9.6%)
Ask Profit $0.19 (+23.9%)
Bid Profit $0.08 (+9.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.12 (+14.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.19
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.08
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $1.90 (+134.2%)
Worst Case $0.34 (-57.6%)
Volatility +53.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 20.0%
Avg Win +$0.41
Avg Loss -$0.30
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.34 (-57.6%)
Std Dev $0.43
Avg Norm Float 0.2140
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 29h 57m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Field-Tested
$0.05 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Turquoise Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Turquoise Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Sour Grapes
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 03M 37S //TOTAL COST $0.81 //ASK PRICE EV $1.00 //BID PRICE EV $0.89 //ASK PROFIT $0.19 (+23.9%) //BID PROFIT $0.08 (+9.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $1.90 //VOLATILITY +53.0% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$1.90
+$1.09
+134.2%
$1.62
+$0.81
+100.0%
$0.28
14.6%
—
WIN
12.0%
$1.14
+$0.33
+40.9%
$1.04
+$0.23
+28.4%
$0.10
8.9%
—
WIN
10.0%
$1.12
+$0.31
+38.0%
$0.84
+$0.03
+3.7%
$0.28
24.8%
—
WIN
12.0%
$1.07
+$0.26
+32.1%
$1.01
+$0.20
+24.7%
$0.06
5.6%
—
WIN
12.0%
$1.04
+$0.23
+28.5%
$0.93
+$0.12
+14.8%
$0.11
10.6%
—
WIN
12.0%
$1.01
+$0.20
+24.8%
$0.95
+$0.14
+17.3%
$0.06
6.0%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$0.77
-$0.04
-4.4%
$0.66
-$0.15
-18.5%
$0.11
14.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.41
-$0.40
-49.3%
$0.40
-$0.41
-50.6%
$0.01
2.6%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.34
-$0.47
-57.6%
$0.32
-$0.49
-60.5%
$0.02
6.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.128388,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"realistic_value": 1.0405,
"optimistic_value": 1.03,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"conservative_value": 0.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:55.756507Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.149786,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"realistic_value": 1.8969999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 1.89,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:08.898556Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.13908700000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"realistic_value": 1.141,
"optimistic_value": 1.12,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:02:53.037696Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.128388,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"realistic_value": 1.07,
"optimistic_value": 1.07,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:08.568377Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.128388,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"realistic_value": 1.0110000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 0.99,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"conservative_value": 0.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:46.915856Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.171184,
"output_skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"realistic_value": 0.41050000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Creep",
"conservative_value": 0.4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T01:26:01.939519Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1241084,
"output_skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"realistic_value": 1.1175,
"optimistic_value": 1.1,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"conservative_value": 0.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:42.368133Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.160485,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"realistic_value": 0.3435,
"optimistic_value": 0.34,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"conservative_value": 0.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:47.339151Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13908700000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"realistic_value": 0.774,
"optimistic_value": 0.76,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:00:25.490911Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8dfa6c5fc7d6f6ea97f44dba",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.05,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "529879287551875896",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:46.342766Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "497228024529123485",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:46.342766Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "501731737286411441",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:46.342766Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "512990789045321231",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:50.368725Z"
},
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-d219c8f3fe3b",
"listing_id": "494976390477054930",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d219c8f3fe3b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:06:29.788399Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"listing_id": "508487136896176706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:08:57.314357Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-d219c8f3fe3b",
"listing_id": "519746188259096108",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d219c8f3fe3b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:06:29.788399Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "510738823413281230",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:08:45.397170Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-2891a487ea6c",
"listing_id": "506235389470223292",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Negev | Sour Grapes",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2891a487ea6c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:03:24.391380Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"listing_id": "514116688950363306",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:29.556698Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:4+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Achroma Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 16.0% $3.37 Royal Baroque 16.0% $2.64 The Daily Deagle 5.0% $2.32 Reef Grief 16.0% $2.25 Yeti Camo 16.0% $1.90 Cobalt Paisley 16.0% $1.14 | $3.37 +113.5% | $2.05 +29.8% | 69.0% | +44.0% | $1.58 | — |
The Achroma Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 14.0% $3.36 Royal Baroque 14.0% $2.64 The Daily Deagle 7.5% $2.32 Reef Grief 14.0% $2.25 Yeti Camo 14.0% $1.91 Cobalt Paisley 14.0% $1.14 | $3.36 +119.6% | $1.95 +27.2% | 63.5% | +44.4% | $1.53 | — |
The Achroma Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Yeti Camo 8.0% $1.90 Cobalt Paisley 8.0% $1.14 The Daily Deagle 15.0% $1.12 Royal Baroque 8.0% $1.07 Mint Fan 8.0% $1.04 Reef Grief 8.0% $1.01 | $1.90 +118.0% | $1.04 +19.3% | 70.0% | +28.4% | $0.87 | — |
The Achroma Collection ×7+The Ascent Collection ×3 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Yeti Camo 6.0% $1.90 Cobalt Paisley 6.0% $1.14 The Daily Deagle 17.5% $1.12 Royal Baroque 6.0% $1.07 Mint Fan 6.0% $1.04 Reef Grief 6.0% $1.01 | $1.90 +123.2% | $1.01 +18.3% | 65.0% | +26.6% | $0.85 | — |