The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dust 2 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Rebel
3x $0.14
Fragments
1x $0.27
Re.built
1x $0.28
Damascus Steel
2x $0.25
Brass
3x $0.39
↓
Possible Outputs
Amber Fade
50.0% $6.32
Emphorosaur-S
10.0% $1.62
Banana Cannon
10.0% $1.61
Sakkaku
10.0% $1.44
Umbral Rabbit
10.0% $1.29
Neoqueen
10.0% $1.07
Max Win
$6.32 (+78.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.87 (+9.2%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+69.6%
Cost
$3.54
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $3.54
Ask Price EV $3.87 (+9.2%)
Bid Price EV $3.05 (-13.8%)
Ask Profit $0.33 (+9.2%)
Bid Profit $-0.49 (-13.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.81 (+23.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.33
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.49
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $6.32 (+78.7%)
Worst Case $1.07 (-69.8%)
Volatility +69.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$2.78
Avg Loss -$2.13
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.07 (-69.8%)
Std Dev $2.46
Avg Norm Float 0.1497
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 26m
Oldest Output Price 90h 14m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Damascus Steel
—
Field-Tested
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Damascus Steel
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear
$0.71 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 22M 07S //TOTAL COST $3.54 //ASK PRICE EV $3.87 //BID PRICE EV $3.05 //ASK PROFIT $0.33 (+9.2%) //BID PROFIT $-0.49 (-13.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $6.32 //VOLATILITY +69.6% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
50.0%
$6.32
+$2.78
+78.7%
$4.79
+$1.25
+35.3%
$1.53
24.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.62
-$1.92
-54.2%
$1.44
-$2.10
-59.3%
$0.18
11.1%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$1.61
-$1.93
-54.4%
$1.58
-$1.96
-55.4%
$0.03
2.1%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.44
-$2.10
-59.3%
$1.42
-$2.12
-59.9%
$0.02
1.4%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.29
-$2.25
-63.7%
$1.19
-$2.35
-66.4%
$0.10
7.5%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.07
-$2.47
-69.8%
$0.93
-$2.61
-73.7%
$0.14
12.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-dust-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.5,
"output_float": 0.059868000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1faf71e7b6fe",
"realistic_value": 6.3245000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 6.23,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade",
"conservative_value": 4.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:42:33.930252Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1faf71e7b6fe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1122525,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 1.286,
"optimistic_value": 1.23,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:59.503087Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.11973600000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 1.6205,
"optimistic_value": 1.61,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 1.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:19:09.046078Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.2968086,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.44,
"optimistic_value": 1.44,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:03:09.681482Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.08980199999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.0675000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.05,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 0.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:15.256128Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14967,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 1.6135000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 1.61,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 1.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T10:05:40.697941Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8dbe08938695d2d980c80080",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "518619491429205748",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:53:43.744732Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "496102290329038163",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:10:54.616929Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "497228190141914753",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:05:28.185929Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "521997988015694670",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:53:25.114087Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "518620288314147664",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:05:28.185929Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"listing_id": "512990623223068823",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:52.074557Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"listing_id": "520872088106434668",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:52.074557Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "491597893783227446",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:08:16.264959Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "507361289453116309",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:59.757427Z"
},
{
"price": 0.71,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "496102290328432643",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:59.757427Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:5+collection-set-dust-2:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dust 2 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Amber Fade 50.0% $6.32 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $1.62 Sakkaku 10.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 10.0% $1.07 Banana Cannon 10.0% $0.69 | $6.32 +115.1% | $3.77 +28.3% | 50.0% | +87.1% | $2.94 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dust 2 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Amber Fade 40.0% $6.32 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $1.62 Sakkaku 12.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 12.0% $1.07 Banana Cannon 12.0% $0.69 | $6.32 +149.0% | $3.26 +28.4% | 40.0% | +98.9% | $2.54 | — |