The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dust 2 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Re.built
2x $0.43
Fragments
1x $0.92
Featherweight
1x $1.63
Cyberforce
1x $2.13
Brass
3x $0.69
Damascus Steel
1x $0.86
↓
Possible Outputs
Banana Cannon
10.0% $9.06
Amber Fade
50.0% $6.32
Emphorosaur-S
10.0% $5.80
Umbral Rabbit
10.0% $4.30
Neoqueen
10.0% $3.17
Sakkaku
10.0% $1.44
Max Win
$9.06 (-30.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.54 (-57.5%)
Win %
0.0%
Volatility
+15.2%
Cost
$13.04
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $13.04
Ask Price EV $5.54 (-57.5%)
Bid Price EV $4.76 (-63.5%)
Ask Profit $-7.50 (-57.5%)
Bid Profit $-8.28 (-63.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.78 (+6.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$7.50
Bid Slippage Buffer -$8.28
Risk
Win Probability 0.00%
Loss Probability 100.0%
Best Case $9.06 (-30.5%)
Worst Case $1.44 (-89.0%)
Volatility +15.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 100.0%
Avg Win —
Avg Loss -$7.50
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.44 (-89.0%)
Std Dev $1.99
Avg Norm Float 0.0697
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 36m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Re.built
—
Minimal Wear
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Factory New
$1.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Featherweight
—
Factory New
$1.63 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$2.13 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear
$0.71 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Damascus Steel
—
Minimal Wear
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear
$1.00 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | VariCamo
—
Factory New
$3.27 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 21M 17S //TOTAL COST $13.04 //ASK PRICE EV $5.54 //BID PRICE EV $4.76 //ASK PROFIT $-7.50 (-57.5%) //BID PROFIT $-8.28 (-63.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 0.0% //BEST CASE $9.06 //VOLATILITY +15.2% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$9.06
-$3.98
-30.5%
$9.05
-$3.99
-30.6%
$0.01
0.1%
—
NUKE
50.0%
$6.32
-$6.72
-51.5%
$4.79
-$8.25
-63.3%
$1.53
24.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$5.80
-$7.24
-55.5%
$5.70
-$7.34
-56.3%
$0.10
1.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$4.30
-$8.74
-67.0%
$4.29
-$8.75
-67.1%
$0.01
0.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$3.17
-$9.87
-75.7%
$3.16
-$9.88
-75.8%
$0.01
0.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.44
-$11.60
-89.0%
$1.42
-$11.62
-89.1%
$0.02
1.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-dust-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.5,
"output_float": 0.027880000000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1faf71e7b6fe",
"realistic_value": 6.3245000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 6.23,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade",
"conservative_value": 4.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:42:33.930252Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1faf71e7b6fe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.052275,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 4.3,
"optimistic_value": 4.3,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 4.29,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:10:25.142081Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.055760000000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 5.797,
"optimistic_value": 5.79,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 5.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:42.774368Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.250426,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.44,
"optimistic_value": 1.44,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:03:09.681482Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.041819999999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.17,
"optimistic_value": 3.17,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:58.834814Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0697,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 9.06,
"optimistic_value": 9.06,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 9.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:07:20.875974Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8dbe08938695d2d980c80080",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "497228137695378905",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:53:25.114087Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "508487189340038978",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:10:32.558074Z"
},
{
"price": 1.4,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "499479989895991957",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:41.242248Z"
},
{
"price": 1.63,
"skin_id": "skin-2f564d56b7ff",
"listing_id": "517494222851162194",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Featherweight (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Featherweight",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f564d56b7ff.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:12:43.091687Z"
},
{
"price": 2.13,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "509612923502423571",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:10:24.601999Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "507361289453116309",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:59.757427Z"
},
{
"price": 0.71,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "496102290328432643",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:59.757427Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"listing_id": "649221975285796405",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:46.317023Z"
},
{
"price": 1,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "507359315991156487",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:59.757427Z"
},
{
"price": 3.27,
"skin_id": "skin-2d90d1532701",
"listing_id": "660482243290627366",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A1-S | VariCamo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d90d1532701.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:07:32.809649Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:5+collection-set-dust-2:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dust 2 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Amber Fade 50.0% $6.32 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $1.62 Sakkaku 10.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 10.0% $1.07 Banana Cannon 10.0% $0.69 | $6.32 +115.1% | $3.77 +28.3% | 50.0% | +87.1% | $2.94 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dust 2 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Amber Fade 50.0% $6.32 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $1.62 Banana Cannon 10.0% $1.61 Sakkaku 10.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 10.0% $1.07 | $6.32 +78.7% | $3.87 +9.2% | 50.0% | +69.6% | $3.54 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dust 2 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Amber Fade 40.0% $6.35 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $1.62 Sakkaku 12.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 12.0% $1.10 Banana Cannon 12.0% $0.69 | $6.35 +151.0% | $3.28 +29.5% | 40.0% | +99.7% | $2.53 | — |