The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dust 2 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Re.built
2x $0.14
Liquidation
2x $0.14
Rebel
1x $0.28
Damascus Steel
3x $0.25
Brass
2x $0.39
↓
Possible Outputs
Amber Fade
50.0% $6.35
Emphorosaur-S
10.0% $1.62
Sakkaku
10.0% $1.43
Umbral Rabbit
10.0% $1.29
Neoqueen
10.0% $1.10
Banana Cannon
10.0% $0.69
Max Win
$6.35 (+119.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.79 (+31.1%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+89.0%
Cost
$2.89
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.89
Ask Price EV $3.79 (+31.1%)
Bid Price EV $3.18 (+10.1%)
Ask Profit $0.90 (+31.1%)
Bid Profit $0.29 (+10.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.61 (+21.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.90
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.29
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $6.35 (+119.7%)
Worst Case $0.69 (-76.1%)
Volatility +89.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$3.46
Avg Loss -$1.66
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.69 (-76.1%)
Std Dev $2.57
Avg Norm Float 0.1742
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 13m
Oldest Output Price 1h
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Liquidation
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Liquidation
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Damascus Steel
—
Field-Tested
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Damascus Steel
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Field-Tested
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Damascus Steel
—
Field-Tested
$0.58 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 29M 50S //TOTAL COST $2.89 //ASK PRICE EV $3.79 //BID PRICE EV $3.18 //ASK PROFIT $0.90 (+31.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.29 (+10.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $6.35 //VOLATILITY +89.0% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
50.0%
$6.35
+$3.46
+119.7%
$5.24
+$2.35
+81.3%
$1.11
17.5%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.62
-$1.27
-43.9%
$1.44
-$1.45
-50.2%
$0.18
11.1%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.43
-$1.46
-50.4%
$1.42
-$1.47
-50.9%
$0.01
0.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.29
-$1.60
-55.5%
$1.19
-$1.70
-58.8%
$0.10
7.5%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.10
-$1.79
-61.9%
$0.93
-$1.96
-67.8%
$0.17
15.5%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.69
-$2.20
-76.1%
$0.64
-$2.25
-77.9%
$0.05
7.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-dust-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.5,
"output_float": 0.06968400000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1faf71e7b6fe",
"realistic_value": 6.350499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 6.27,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade",
"conservative_value": 5.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:57:04.276480Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1faf71e7b6fe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1306575,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 1.286,
"optimistic_value": 1.23,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:59.503087Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13936800000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 1.6205,
"optimistic_value": 1.61,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 1.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:19:09.046078Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.31104180000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.4335,
"optimistic_value": 1.43,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:14:02.751199Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.104526,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.1,
"optimistic_value": 1.1,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 0.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:02.749774Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17421,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.69,
"optimistic_value": 0.69,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:37.223807Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8dbe08938695d2d980c80080",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "518619491424619600",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:14.614785Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-d87f89df4191",
"listing_id": "492724538183290401",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Liquidation",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d87f89df4191.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:22.626880Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-d87f89df4191",
"listing_id": "631208917647417314",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Liquidation",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d87f89df4191.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:22.626880Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "521997988015695030",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:49.536933Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "518620288314147664",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:16:50.108658Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"listing_id": "512990623223068823",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:34.825045Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"listing_id": "520872088106434668",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:34.825045Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "491597893783227446",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:19:20.028133Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "658230515406960386",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:19:20.028133Z"
},
{
"price": 0.58,
"skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"listing_id": "500605092740867303",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:34.825045Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:5+collection-set-dust-2:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dust 2 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Amber Fade 50.0% $6.35 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $1.62 Banana Cannon 10.0% $1.61 Sakkaku 10.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 10.0% $1.10 | $6.35 +79.9% | $3.88 +9.9% | 50.0% | +70.1% | $3.53 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dust 2 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Amber Fade 40.0% $6.35 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $1.62 Sakkaku 12.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 12.0% $1.10 Banana Cannon 12.0% $0.69 | $6.35 +151.0% | $3.28 +29.5% | 40.0% | +99.7% | $2.53 | — |