The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Distressed
1x $0.32
Desert Strike
1x $0.34
Tom Cat
1x $0.37
Cobalt Paisley
2x $0.47
Mint Fan
3x $0.52
Royal Baroque
1x $1.20
↓
Possible Outputs
Midnight Laminate
35.0% $18.08
Royal Guard
35.0% $5.35
Fever Dream
6.0% $3.05
Acid Etched
6.0% $1.01
Apocalypto
6.0% $1.00
Enforcer
6.0% $0.98
Max Win
$18.08 (+150.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$8.62 (+19.5%)
Win %
35.0%
Volatility
+99.0%
Cost
$7.21
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $7.21
Ask Price EV $8.62 (+19.5%)
Bid Price EV $7.49 (+3.9%)
Ask Profit $1.41 (+19.5%)
Bid Profit $0.28 (+3.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.13 (+15.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.41
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.28
Risk
Win Probability 35.0%
Loss Probability 65.0%
Best Case $18.08 (+150.7%)
Worst Case $0.92 (-87.2%)
Volatility +99.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 65.0%
Avg Win +$10.87
Avg Loss -$3.69
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.92 (-87.2%)
Std Dev $7.14
Avg Norm Float 0.1999
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 150h 12m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
—
Field-Tested
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley
—
Field-Tested
$0.54 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
—
Minimal Wear
$0.95 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
—
Minimal Wear
$1.19 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Royal Baroque
—
Minimal Wear
$1.20 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Reef Grief
—
Minimal Wear
$1.31 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 52M 32S //TOTAL COST $7.21 //ASK PRICE EV $8.62 //BID PRICE EV $7.49 //ASK PROFIT $1.41 (+19.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.28 (+3.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 35.0% //BEST CASE $18.08 //VOLATILITY +99.0% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
35.0%
$18.08
+$10.87
+150.7%
$15.21
+$8.00
+111.0%
$2.87
15.9%
—
LOSS
35.0%
$5.35
-$1.86
-25.8%
$5.11
-$2.10
-29.1%
$0.24
4.5%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$3.05
-$4.16
-57.6%
$2.80
-$4.41
-61.2%
$0.25
8.3%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.01
-$6.20
-86.0%
$0.87
-$6.34
-87.9%
$0.14
13.9%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.00
-$6.21
-86.1%
$0.89
-$6.32
-87.7%
$0.11
11.1%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.98
-$6.23
-86.4%
$0.85
-$6.36
-88.2%
$0.13
13.0%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.92
-$6.29
-87.2%
$0.85
-$6.36
-88.2%
$0.07
7.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.1499325,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dba8faaa2d7e",
"realistic_value": 18.0765,
"optimistic_value": 17.94,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Midnight Laminate",
"conservative_value": 15.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:20.243302Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dba8faaa2d7e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.119946,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b88bf24d8569",
"realistic_value": 5.348,
"optimistic_value": 5.32,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Royal Guard",
"conservative_value": 5.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Royal Guard (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:17:23.634650Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b88bf24d8569.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.19991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 1.01,
"optimistic_value": 1.01,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 0.87,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:36:18.459472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.19991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 0.9775,
"optimistic_value": 0.96,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 0.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:52:00.189171Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.19991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 0.9215,
"optimistic_value": 0.89,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 0.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:35.751361Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14393519999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 3.0535,
"optimistic_value": 3.05,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 2.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:52:00.124219Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.19991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 1.001,
"optimistic_value": 0.98,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 0.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:13:46.135619Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8cc3886560795d7aea9fd640",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "499480042827713809",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:52:07.958228Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "506235337026426216",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:05:45.248087Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "491598690698515994",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:56:50.874954Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"listing_id": "519746241188663252",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:24.277848Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"listing_id": "500605837397096555",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:56.943225Z"
},
{
"price": 0.54,
"skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"listing_id": "500605942755294155",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:24.277848Z"
},
{
"price": 0.95,
"skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"listing_id": "508487242222062254",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:17.698358Z"
},
{
"price": 1.19,
"skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"listing_id": "625579418032572382",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:17.698358Z"
},
{
"price": 1.2,
"skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"listing_id": "498354142899875011",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:04.070971Z"
},
{
"price": 1.31,
"skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"listing_id": "630083017718303094",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:00:00.104793Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-25:3+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate 35.0% $38.92 Royal Guard 35.0% $13.48 Fever Dream 6.0% $8.57 Acid Etched 6.0% $2.38 Darkwing 6.0% $2.29 Apocalypto 6.0% $1.93 | $38.92 +127.0% | $19.36 +12.9% | 35.0% | +83.7% | $17.15 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Midnight Laminate 35.0% $6.94 Fever Dream 6.0% $2.56 Royal Guard 35.0% $1.14 Apocalypto 6.0% $0.81 Acid Etched 6.0% $0.81 Enforcer 6.0% $0.81 | $6.94 +131.4% | $3.18 +5.9% | 35.0% | +91.0% | $3.00 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 20.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 20.0% $5.35 Fever Dream 12.0% $3.05 Acid Etched 12.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 12.0% $1.00 Enforcer 12.0% $0.98 | $18.08 +318.4% | $5.52 +27.8% | 40.0% | +145.7% | $4.32 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 25.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 25.0% $5.35 Fever Dream 10.0% $3.03 Acid Etched 10.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 10.0% $1.00 Darkwing 10.0% $0.98 | $18.08 +237.9% | $6.56 +22.5% | 25.0% | +124.1% | $5.35 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 30.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 30.0% $5.35 Fever Dream 8.0% $3.03 Acid Etched 8.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 8.0% $1.00 Enforcer 8.0% $0.98 | $18.08 +185.6% | $7.58 +19.8% | 30.0% | +107.8% | $6.33 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate 45.0% $38.92 Royal Guard 45.0% $13.48 Fever Dream 2.0% $8.57 Acid Etched 2.0% $2.38 Darkwing 2.0% $2.29 Apocalypto 2.0% $1.93 | $38.92 +91.0% | $23.92 +17.4% | 45.0% | +66.4% | $20.38 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 40.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 40.0% $5.35 Fever Dream 4.0% $2.98 Acid Etched 4.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 4.0% $1.00 Darkwing 4.0% $0.98 | $18.08 +116.2% | $9.65 +15.4% | 40.0% | +81.6% | $8.36 | — |