The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted BS 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred
Inputs
Tom Cat
1x $0.24
Bone Forged
2x $0.29
Yeti Camo
2x $0.23
Cobalt Paisley
2x $0.32
Royal Baroque
1x $0.37
Reef Grief
1x $0.38
↓
Possible Outputs
Midnight Laminate
35.0% $6.93
Fever Dream
6.0% $1.28
Royal Guard
35.0% $1.24
Apocalypto
6.0% $0.81
Acid Etched
6.0% $0.81
Enforcer
6.0% $0.81
Max Win
$6.93 (+120.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.13 (-0.3%)
Win %
35.0%
Volatility
+89.0%
Cost
$3.14
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.14
Ask Price EV $3.13 (-0.3%)
Bid Price EV $2.63 (-16.1%)
Ask Profit $-0.01 (-0.3%)
Bid Profit $-0.51 (-16.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.50 (+15.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.01
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.51
Risk
Win Probability 35.0%
Loss Probability 65.0%
Best Case $6.93 (+120.7%)
Worst Case $0.79 (-74.9%)
Volatility +89.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 65.0%
Avg Win +$3.79
Avg Loss -$2.05
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.79 (-74.9%)
Std Dev $2.79
Avg Norm Float 0.4946
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 15m
Oldest Output Price 152h 17m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | Yeti Camo
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | Yeti Camo
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley
—
Well-Worn
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Royal Baroque
—
Field-Tested
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Reef Grief
—
Field-Tested
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 53M 27S //TOTAL COST $3.14 //ASK PRICE EV $3.13 //BID PRICE EV $2.63 //ASK PROFIT $-0.01 (-0.3%) //BID PROFIT $-0.51 (-16.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 35.0% //BEST CASE $6.93 //VOLATILITY +89.0% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
35.0%
$6.93
+$3.79
+120.7%
$5.76
+$2.62
+83.4%
$1.17
16.9%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.28
-$1.86
-59.1%
$1.18
-$1.96
-62.4%
$0.10
8.1%
—
NUKE
35.0%
$1.24
-$1.90
-60.4%
$1.07
-$2.07
-65.9%
$0.17
14.0%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.81
-$2.33
-74.1%
$0.71
-$2.43
-77.4%
$0.10
12.7%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.81
-$2.33
-74.2%
$0.70
-$2.44
-77.7%
$0.11
13.6%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.81
-$2.33
-74.2%
$0.71
-$2.43
-77.4%
$0.10
12.3%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.79
-$2.35
-74.9%
$0.77
-$2.37
-75.5%
$0.02
2.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.37098000000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dba8faaa2d7e",
"realistic_value": 6.931,
"optimistic_value": 6.84,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Midnight Laminate",
"conservative_value": 5.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:06:18.798970Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dba8faaa2d7e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.296784,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b88bf24d8569",
"realistic_value": 1.244,
"optimistic_value": 1.23,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Royal Guard",
"conservative_value": 1.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:08:29.935723Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b88bf24d8569.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.49464,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 0.81,
"optimistic_value": 0.81,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 0.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:08:28.995374Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.49464,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 0.81,
"optimistic_value": 0.81,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 0.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:06:31.858606Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.49464,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 0.787,
"optimistic_value": 0.78,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 0.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:59.555898Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.3561408,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 1.284,
"optimistic_value": 1.27,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 1.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:15.583125Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.49464,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 0.8135,
"optimistic_value": 0.81,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 0.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T15:27:18.500898Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8cc3886560795d7aea9fd640",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "525375740885682007",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Tom Cat (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:08:05.881993Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-3c54e05cbb62",
"listing_id": "527627540537898824",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c54e05cbb62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:12.778974Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-3c54e05cbb62",
"listing_id": "507361237010235361",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c54e05cbb62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:12.778974Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"listing_id": "520872141037862616",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:13:42.420061Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"listing_id": "492724643507505009",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:13:42.420061Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"listing_id": "511864941881781933",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:10.120608Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"listing_id": "493850490550033732",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:10.120608Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"listing_id": "521998040962468770",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:20:39.052853Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"listing_id": "521998040962684266",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:31.881912Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"listing_id": "492724590627172473",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:59.693923Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-25:3+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 35.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 35.0% $5.35 Fever Dream 6.0% $2.97 Acid Etched 6.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 6.0% $1.00 Darkwing 6.0% $0.98 | $18.08 +146.3% | $8.61 +17.4% | 35.0% | +93.8% | $7.34 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate 35.0% $38.92 Royal Guard 35.0% $13.46 Fever Dream 6.0% $8.50 Acid Etched 6.0% $2.34 Darkwing 6.0% $2.29 Apocalypto 6.0% $1.93 | $38.92 +135.5% | $19.35 +17.1% | 35.0% | +86.9% | $16.53 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 25.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 25.0% $5.47 Fever Dream 10.0% $2.97 Acid Etched 10.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 10.0% $1.00 Darkwing 10.0% $0.98 | $18.08 +247.0% | $6.58 +26.3% | 50.0% | +127.3% | $5.21 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 30.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 30.0% $5.47 Fever Dream 8.0% $2.97 Acid Etched 8.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 8.0% $1.00 Darkwing 8.0% $0.98 | $18.08 +199.3% | $7.62 +26.1% | 30.0% | +112.8% | $6.04 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate 40.0% $38.92 Royal Guard 40.0% $13.46 Fever Dream 4.0% $8.50 Acid Etched 4.0% $2.34 Darkwing 4.0% $2.29 Apocalypto 4.0% $1.96 | $38.92 +125.9% | $21.63 +25.5% | 40.0% | +81.8% | $17.23 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 20.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 20.0% $5.35 Fever Dream 12.0% $2.97 Acid Etched 12.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 12.0% $1.00 Darkwing 12.0% $0.98 | $18.08 +309.9% | $5.52 +25.1% | 40.0% | +142.8% | $4.41 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate 45.0% $38.92 Royal Guard 45.0% $13.46 Fever Dream 2.0% $8.50 Acid Etched 2.0% $2.34 Darkwing 2.0% $2.29 Apocalypto 2.0% $1.93 | $38.92 +100.4% | $23.91 +23.1% | 45.0% | +69.8% | $19.42 | — |