The Fever Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Sure Grip
3x $0.28
PC-GRN
1x $0.42
Pipsqueak
2x $0.49
Wurst Hölle
2x $0.50
Teal Graf
2x $0.66
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
20.0% $10.59
Sweet Little Angels
20.0% $10.28
Monster Melt
20.0% $8.50
Rising Sun
8.0% $1.82
Control
8.0% $1.67
Wave Breaker
8.0% $1.56
Max Win
$10.59 (+79.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$6.50 (+10.4%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+69.4%
Cost
$5.89
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.89
Ask Price EV $6.50 (+10.4%)
Bid Price EV $6.35 (+7.9%)
Ask Profit $0.61 (+10.4%)
Bid Profit $0.46 (+7.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.15 (+2.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.61
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.46
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $10.59 (+79.8%)
Worst Case $1.31 (-77.8%)
Volatility +69.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$3.90
Avg Loss -$4.32
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.31 (-77.8%)
Std Dev $4.09
Avg Norm Float 0.1497
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 27m
Oldest Output Price 27h 58m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | PC-GRN
—
Minimal Wear
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.66 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Minimal Wear
$1.17 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 27M 43S //TOTAL COST $5.89 //ASK PRICE EV $6.50 //BID PRICE EV $6.35 //ASK PROFIT $0.61 (+10.4%) //BID PROFIT $0.46 (+7.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $10.59 //VOLATILITY +69.4% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
20.0%
$10.59
+$4.70
+79.8%
$10.42
+$4.53
+76.9%
$0.17
1.6%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.1227622
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
20.0%
$10.28
+$4.39
+74.6%
$10.25
+$4.36
+74.0%
$0.03
0.3%
—
WIN
20.0%
$8.50
+$2.61
+44.4%
$8.23
+$2.34
+39.7%
$0.27
3.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$1.82
-$4.07
-69.0%
$1.76
-$4.13
-70.1%
$0.06
3.5%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.67
-$4.22
-71.7%
$1.35
-$4.54
-77.1%
$0.32
19.0%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.56
-$4.33
-73.5%
$1.55
-$4.34
-73.7%
$0.01
0.6%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.51
-$4.38
-74.4%
$1.32
-$4.57
-77.6%
$0.19
12.6%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.31
-$4.58
-77.8%
$1.19
-$4.70
-79.8%
$0.12
9.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.1272535,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 10.588,
"optimistic_value": 10.49,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 10.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:08:15.713256Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.1227622,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.2835,
"optimistic_value": 10.28,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:31.490215Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.11228250000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.503499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 8.29,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:07.829188Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.0853347,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4515a7cdcc74",
"realistic_value": 1.5105,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike",
"conservative_value": 1.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:37.924168Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4515a7cdcc74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.11961754145,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
"realistic_value": 1.6669999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 1.66,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Control",
"conservative_value": 1.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T11:19:36.262895Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14971,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"realistic_value": 1.824,
"optimistic_value": 1.81,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"conservative_value": 1.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:11:02.796063Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14230669079,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"conservative_value": 1.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:23.743228Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.104797,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
"realistic_value": 1.307,
"optimistic_value": 1.3,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:42:12.620335Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8c954ff4308447d2f5b49cd3",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "525375740886468895",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:05:30.136102Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "507361342334180797",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:05:30.136102Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "506235442367948076",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:05:30.136102Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-0fbe55711fa6",
"listing_id": "526501587738328505",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | PC-GRN (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "USP-S | PC-GRN",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0fbe55711fa6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:50:50.939681Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "508487242222727030",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:12:50.890628Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "502857742727323396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:15:08.691011Z"
},
{
"price": 0.66,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "519746241189662288",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:03:06.436567Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "525374890942549699",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:12:50.890628Z"
},
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "516368488726379318",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:03:06.436567Z"
},
{
"price": 1.17,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "500605942755443555",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:53:49.349569Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-35:4+collection-set-overpass-2024:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.59 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.28 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.50 Control 8.0% $1.67 Serpent Strike 8.0% $1.51 Tosai 8.0% $1.31 | $10.59 +119.7% | $6.36 +31.9% | 60.0% | +75.6% | $4.82 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.28 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.45 Control 12.0% $1.67 Serpent Strike 12.0% $1.51 Tosai 12.0% $1.31 | $10.49 +202.3% | $4.62 +33.1% | 40.0% | +109.2% | $3.47 | — |
The Fever Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.28 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.45 Control 10.0% $1.67 Serpent Strike 10.0% $1.51 Tosai 10.0% $1.31 | $10.49 +153.4% | $5.47 +32.2% | 50.0% | +91.3% | $4.14 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.59 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.28 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.45 Control 6.0% $1.67 Serpent Strike 6.0% $1.51 Tosai 6.0% $1.31 | $10.59 +89.4% | $7.20 +28.9% | 70.0% | +59.7% | $5.59 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crakow!  10.0% $47.63 Dragon Snore  10.0% $33.19 Shinobu  26.7% $7.54 Searing Rage  26.7% $7.47 K.O. Factory  26.7% $6.88 | $47.63 +306.4% | $13.92 +18.8% | 20.0% | +116.3% | $11.72 | — |
The Fever Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  60.0% $1,312.69 Printstream  20.0% $117.26 Bad Trip  20.0% $82.77 | $1,312.69 +84.2% | $827.62 +16.1% | 60.0% | +83.4% | $712.79 | — |