The Fever Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Memorial
1x $0.15
Resupply
1x $0.28
Sure Grip
2x $0.31
Teal Graf
3x $0.40
Wurst Hölle
2x $0.50
Pipsqueak
1x $0.86
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
20.0% $10.49
Sweet Little Angels
20.0% $9.75
Monster Melt
20.0% $8.45
Control
8.0% $1.67
Serpent Strike
8.0% $1.51
Tosai
8.0% $1.31
Max Win
$10.49 (+115.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$6.22 (+27.5%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+85.2%
Cost
$4.88
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.88
Ask Price EV $6.22 (+27.5%)
Bid Price EV $6.04 (+23.9%)
Ask Profit $1.34 (+27.5%)
Bid Profit $1.16 (+23.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.18 (+3.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.34
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.16
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $10.49 (+115.0%)
Worst Case $0.72 (-85.2%)
Volatility +85.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$4.69
Avg Loss -$3.68
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.72 (-85.2%)
Std Dev $4.16
Avg Norm Float 0.1764
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 27h 1m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SSG 08 | Memorial
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Resupply
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Field-Tested
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.66 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 23M 11S //TOTAL COST $4.88 //ASK PRICE EV $6.22 //BID PRICE EV $6.04 //ASK PROFIT $1.34 (+27.5%) //BID PROFIT $1.16 (+23.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $10.49 //VOLATILITY +85.2% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$10.49
+$5.61
+115.0%
$10.42
+$5.54
+113.5%
$0.07
0.7%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.1446644
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
20.0%
$9.75
+$4.87
+99.9%
$9.47
+$4.59
+94.1%
$0.28
2.9%
—
BIG WIN
20.0%
$8.45
+$3.57
+73.2%
$8.23
+$3.35
+68.6%
$0.22
2.7%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.67
-$3.21
-65.8%
$1.35
-$3.53
-72.3%
$0.32
19.0%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.51
-$3.37
-69.0%
$1.32
-$3.56
-73.0%
$0.19
12.6%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.31
-$3.57
-73.1%
$1.18
-$3.70
-75.8%
$0.13
10.2%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.79
-$4.09
-83.8%
$0.72
-$4.16
-85.2%
$0.07
8.9%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.72
-$4.16
-85.2%
$0.69
-$4.19
-85.9%
$0.03
4.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.14995699999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 10.49,
"optimistic_value": 10.49,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 10.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:51.068698Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.1446644,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 9.7535,
"optimistic_value": 9.47,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 9.47,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:56:06.833161Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.132315,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.4545,
"optimistic_value": 8.29,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:58:55.643438Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.1005594,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4515a7cdcc74",
"realistic_value": 1.5105,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike",
"conservative_value": 1.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:37.924168Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4515a7cdcc74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14095869789999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
"realistic_value": 1.6669999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 1.66,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Control",
"conservative_value": 1.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T11:19:36.262895Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.17642,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"realistic_value": 0.7905,
"optimistic_value": 0.78,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"conservative_value": 0.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T16:22:23.659961Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.16769585458,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"realistic_value": 0.7234999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.72,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"conservative_value": 0.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:28:44.942779Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.12349399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
"realistic_value": 1.3135000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.31,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
"conservative_value": 1.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:17:58.292582Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8c954ff4308447d2f5b49cd3",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-a8cc985f8710",
"listing_id": "506235223785210480",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Memorial (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Memorial",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a8cc985f8710.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:10:05.381376Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-78ea15f33e22",
"listing_id": "526501640651295653",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Resupply",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78ea15f33e22.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:05:23.835940Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "507361342334180797",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:16:10.219610Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "506235442367948076",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:16:10.219610Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "506235442368101796",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:59:32.511260Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "524249840859548415",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:59:33.978707Z"
},
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "524249840858994195",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:59:33.978707Z"
},
{
"price": 0.66,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "505109542380535904",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:13:22.436962Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "518619491421941344",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:57:02.152003Z"
},
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "516368488726379318",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:13:22.436962Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-35:4+collection-set-overpass-2024:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $9.75 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.45 Rising Sun 8.0% $1.79 Control 8.0% $1.67 Wave Breaker 8.0% $1.57 | $10.49 +77.2% | $6.37 +7.6% | 60.0% | +58.1% | $5.92 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.28 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.45 Control 10.0% $1.67 Serpent Strike 10.0% $1.51 Tosai 10.0% $1.31 | $10.47 +150.5% | $5.47 +30.8% | 50.0% | +90.3% | $4.18 | — |
The Fever Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.28 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.45 Control 12.0% $1.67 Serpent Strike 12.0% $1.51 Tosai 12.0% $1.31 | $10.47 +194.1% | $4.62 +29.6% | 40.0% | +106.3% | $3.56 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.28 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.45 Control 6.0% $1.67 Serpent Strike 6.0% $1.51 Tosai 6.0% $1.31 | $10.49 +87.0% | $7.18 +28.0% | 70.0% | +59.1% | $5.61 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crakow!  10.0% $47.63 Dragon Snore  10.0% $33.25 Shinobu  26.7% $7.54 Searing Rage  26.7% $7.10 K.O. Factory  26.7% $6.66 | $47.63 +322.6% | $13.77 +22.2% | 20.0% | +121.8% | $11.27 | — |
The Fever Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  60.0% $1,312.69 Printstream  20.0% $117.26 Bad Trip  20.0% $82.77 | $1,312.69 +84.2% | $827.62 +16.1% | 60.0% | +83.4% | $712.79 | — |