The Clutch Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Urban Hazard
1x $0.29
Oxide Blaze
1x $0.34
Flame Test
1x $0.38
Grip
1x $0.39
Blush Pour
2x $0.34
Shredded
2x $0.39
↓
Possible Outputs
Mulberry
20.0% $15.94
Glitched Paint
20.0% $6.66
Bleeding Edge
20.0% $5.49
Moonrise
8.0% $2.25
Lionfish
8.0% $1.29
SWAG-7
8.0% $0.81
Max Win
$15.94 (+241.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$6.08 (+30.1%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+116.2%
Cost
$4.67
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.67
Ask Price EV $6.08 (+30.1%)
Bid Price EV $5.59 (+19.7%)
Ask Profit $1.41 (+30.1%)
Bid Profit $0.92 (+19.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.49 (+10.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.41
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.92
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $15.94 (+241.4%)
Worst Case $0.68 (-85.4%)
Volatility +116.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$4.69
Avg Loss -$3.52
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.68 (-85.4%)
Std Dev $5.43
Avg Norm Float 0.2000
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 139h 31m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Urban Hazard
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Flame Test
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Minimal Wear
$0.82 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Minimal Wear
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 36M 03S //TOTAL COST $4.67 //ASK PRICE EV $6.08 //BID PRICE EV $5.59 //ASK PROFIT $1.41 (+30.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.92 (+19.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $15.94 //VOLATILITY +116.2% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$15.94
+$11.27
+241.4%
$14.54
+$9.87
+211.3%
$1.40
8.8%
—
WIN
20.0%
$6.66
+$1.99
+42.6%
$6.21
+$1.54
+33.0%
$0.45
6.7%
—
WIN
20.0%
$5.49
+$0.82
+17.7%
$5.14
+$0.47
+10.1%
$0.35
6.5%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$2.25
-$2.42
-51.9%
$2.09
-$2.58
-55.2%
$0.16
7.0%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.29
-$3.38
-72.4%
$1.04
-$3.63
-77.7%
$0.25
19.2%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.81
-$3.86
-82.6%
$0.72
-$3.95
-84.6%
$0.09
11.2%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.70
-$3.97
-84.9%
$0.64
-$4.03
-86.3%
$0.06
9.1%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.68
-$3.99
-85.4%
$0.64
-$4.03
-86.3%
$0.04
6.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.1499775,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d7d76a0b8b5",
"realistic_value": 15.9415,
"optimistic_value": 15.91,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry",
"conservative_value": 14.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:07.329445Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d7d76a0b8b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.1339799,
"output_skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"realistic_value": 6.6585,
"optimistic_value": 6.48,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"conservative_value": 6.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:46.620683Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.119982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"realistic_value": 5.4944999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 5.47,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"conservative_value": 5.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:06.459968Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.1299805,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 2.247,
"optimistic_value": 2.24,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 2.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:45.069175Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.1839724,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 0.8105,
"optimistic_value": 0.8,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 0.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:06:43.479352Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.10998350000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 1.287,
"optimistic_value": 1.28,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Lionfish (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T10:40:25.221598Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.159976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 0.681,
"optimistic_value": 0.66,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:09:08.817872Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.159976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 0.704,
"optimistic_value": 0.69,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:12:22.832346Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8b32cce80b7dea057715aa24",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-87386812a8f9",
"listing_id": "494976390476199246",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-87386812a8f9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:14:11.802243Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-ae8080ca847c",
"listing_id": "494975593208146122",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ae8080ca847c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:17.481681Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-42a677e4f00a",
"listing_id": "503982792725389555",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42a677e4f00a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:11:21.687183Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-a70d55eb979d",
"listing_id": "498354037510657507",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a70d55eb979d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:16.843695Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "496102290328799519",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:14:19.206657Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "497228190140939549",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:53.168390Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "525375688036290175",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:03.962124Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "520872088105717584",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:53.168390Z"
},
{
"price": 0.82,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "527627435179438172",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:55:43.559077Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "494976390476529618",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:09:14.999732Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-19:4+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Mulberry 20.0% $33.42 Glitched Paint 20.0% $17.43 Bleeding Edge 20.0% $16.98 Moonrise 8.0% $5.39 Lionfish 8.0% $3.74 SWAG-7 8.0% $1.77 | $33.42 +136.5% | $14.68 +3.9% | 60.0% | +71.7% | $14.13 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 16.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 16.7% $7.02 Bleeding Edge 16.7% $5.50 Moonrise 10.0% $2.25 Lionfish 10.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 10.0% $0.83 | $15.94 +303.6% | $5.32 +34.7% | 50.0% | +123.7% | $3.95 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 23.3% $15.94 Glitched Paint 23.3% $6.66 Bleeding Edge 23.3% $5.50 Moonrise 6.0% $2.25 Lionfish 6.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 6.0% $0.81 | $15.94 +196.3% | $6.90 +28.3% | 70.0% | +92.9% | $5.38 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 26.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 26.7% $6.66 Bleeding Edge 26.7% $5.49 Moonrise 4.0% $2.25 Lionfish 4.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 4.0% $0.81 | $15.94 +158.4% | $7.72 +25.1% | 53.3% | +80.1% | $6.17 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 30.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 30.0% $7.02 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $5.48 Moonrise 2.0% $2.25 Lionfish 2.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 2.0% $0.83 | $15.94 +129.0% | $8.65 +24.3% | 60.0% | +68.7% | $6.96 | — |