The Inferno Collection ×2+The Sport & Field Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Gunsmoke
2x $3.49
Wildwood
6x $0.15
Cold Cell
2x $0.41
↓
Possible Outputs
Brass
10.0% $40.55
Anodized Navy
10.0% $35.31
Yorkshire
20.0% $1.54
Alpine Camo
20.0% $1.47
Zeno
20.0% $1.18
Small Game
20.0% $1.12
Max Win
$40.55 (+335.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$8.65 (-7.2%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+157.6%
Cost
$9.32
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $9.32
Ask Price EV $8.65 (-7.2%)
Bid Price EV $7.26 (-22.1%)
Ask Profit $-0.67 (-7.2%)
Bid Profit $-2.06 (-22.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.39 (+14.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.67
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.06
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $40.55 (+335.1%)
Worst Case $1.12 (-88.0%)
Volatility +157.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$28.61
Avg Loss -$7.99
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.12 (-88.0%)
Std Dev $14.69
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 152h 17m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Field-Tested
$3.49 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Field-Tested
$3.68 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Cold Cell
—
Factory New
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Cold Cell
—
Factory New
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 23M 46S //TOTAL COST $9.32 //ASK PRICE EV $8.65 //BID PRICE EV $7.26 //ASK PROFIT $-0.67 (-7.2%) //BID PROFIT $-2.06 (-22.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $40.55 //VOLATILITY +157.6% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$40.55
+$31.23
+335.1%
$28.61
+$19.29
+207.0%
$11.94
29.5%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$35.31
+$25.99
+278.9%
$33.55
+$24.23
+260.0%
$1.76
5.0%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$1.54
-$7.78
-83.5%
$1.54
-$7.78
-83.5%
$0.00
0.0%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$1.47
-$7.85
-84.2%
$1.41
-$7.91
-84.9%
$0.06
4.1%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$1.18
-$8.14
-87.3%
$1.17
-$8.15
-87.4%
$0.01
1.1%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$1.12
-$8.20
-88.0%
$1.11
-$8.21
-88.1%
$0.01
0.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-realism-camo|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.14993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad8878d8dfca",
"realistic_value": 1.54,
"optimistic_value": 1.54,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Yorkshire",
"conservative_value": 1.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:08:31.642557Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad8878d8dfca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.104951,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c97106696572",
"realistic_value": 1.12,
"optimistic_value": 1.12,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Small Game",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:31:55.171049Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97106696572.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.104951,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6aaf237dc6ae",
"realistic_value": 1.1835,
"optimistic_value": 1.18,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno",
"conservative_value": 1.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:58:15.716623Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6aaf237dc6ae.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.10195240000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7d2a2ccef9f1",
"realistic_value": 1.4705,
"optimistic_value": 1.46,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:59:00.440177Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7d2a2ccef9f1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0119944,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc4aeda27ca",
"realistic_value": 35.3115,
"optimistic_value": 35,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy",
"conservative_value": 33.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:06:08.805854Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc4aeda27ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62fc4feb5c7c",
"realistic_value": 40.553,
"optimistic_value": 38.32,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Brass",
"conservative_value": 28.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:52.450752Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62fc4feb5c7c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8a830ce19364b777b3511be8",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.49,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "517494222854307622",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:14:18.902820Z"
},
{
"price": 3.68,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "639086339885251905",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:14:18.902820Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "505109489449642124",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:29.422184Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "500605889842045379",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:29.422184Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "502857742726308376",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:29.422184Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "661608215076905164",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:29.422184Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "516368322945843962",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:29.422184Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "696510501849044922",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:29.422184Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-578fd8494dd0",
"listing_id": "519746241188993732",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-578fd8494dd0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:00:46.165607Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-578fd8494dd0",
"listing_id": "499479989895985801",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-578fd8494dd0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:00:46.165607Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:2+collection-set-realism-camo:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×2+The Sport & Field Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 10.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 10.0% $35.31 Yorkshire 20.0% $6.64 Alpine Camo 20.0% $5.11 Small Game 20.0% $3.63 Zeno 20.0% $3.57 | $181.74 +834.9% | $25.50 +31.2% | 20.0% | +272.0% | $19.44 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×3+The Sport & Field Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 15.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 15.0% $35.31 Yorkshire 17.5% $6.64 Alpine Camo 17.5% $5.11 Small Game 17.5% $3.63 Zeno 17.5% $3.57 | $181.74 +564.0% | $35.87 +31.1% | 30.0% | +227.3% | $27.37 | — |
The Inferno Collection ×4+The Sport & Field Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 20.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 20.0% $35.31 Yorkshire 15.0% $6.64 Alpine Camo 15.0% $5.11 Zeno 15.0% $3.65 Small Game 15.0% $3.55 | $181.74 +383.9% | $46.25 +23.1% | 20.0% | +183.1% | $37.56 | — |
The Inferno Collection ×5+The Sport & Field Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 25.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 25.0% $35.31 Yorkshire 12.5% $6.64 Alpine Camo 12.5% $5.11 Small Game 12.5% $3.63 Zeno 12.5% $3.57 | $181.74 +281.7% | $56.63 +19.0% | 25.0% | +154.0% | $47.61 | — |