The Inferno Collection ×2+The Sport & Field Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Gunsmoke
2x $2.37
Wildwood
6x $0.09
Cold Cell
1x $0.13
Tiger Stencil
1x $0.14
↓
Possible Outputs
Anodized Navy
10.0% $35.31
Brass
10.0% $9.61
Alpine Camo
20.0% $0.76
Yorkshire
20.0% $0.69
Zeno
20.0% $0.65
Small Game
20.0% $0.63
Max Win
$35.31 (+481.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.04 (-17.0%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+171.9%
Cost
$6.07
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $6.07
Ask Price EV $5.04 (-17.0%)
Bid Price EV $4.77 (-21.4%)
Ask Profit $-1.03 (-17.0%)
Bid Profit $-1.30 (-21.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.26 (+4.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.03
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.30
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $35.31 (+481.7%)
Worst Case $0.63 (-89.6%)
Volatility +171.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$16.39
Avg Loss -$5.39
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.63 (-89.6%)
Std Dev $10.44
Avg Norm Float 0.2872
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 51h 37m
Oldest Output Price 152h 17m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.37 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.41 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Cold Cell
—
Minimal Wear
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 23M 48S //TOTAL COST $6.07 //ASK PRICE EV $5.04 //BID PRICE EV $4.77 //ASK PROFIT $-1.03 (-17.0%) //BID PROFIT $-1.30 (-21.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $35.31 //VOLATILITY +171.9% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$35.31
+$29.24
+481.7%
$33.55
+$27.48
+452.7%
$1.76
5.0%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$9.61
+$3.54
+58.3%
$9.09
+$3.02
+49.8%
$0.52
5.4%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$0.76
-$5.31
-87.5%
$0.65
-$5.42
-89.3%
$0.11
14.5%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$0.69
-$5.38
-88.6%
$0.66
-$5.41
-89.1%
$0.03
4.3%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$0.65
-$5.42
-89.3%
$0.62
-$5.45
-89.8%
$0.03
4.2%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$0.63
-$5.44
-89.6%
$0.62
-$5.45
-89.8%
$0.01
2.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-realism-camo|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.2872,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad8878d8dfca",
"realistic_value": 0.69,
"optimistic_value": 0.69,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Yorkshire",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Yorkshire (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:17:43.829486Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad8878d8dfca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.20104,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c97106696572",
"realistic_value": 0.6335,
"optimistic_value": 0.63,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Small Game",
"conservative_value": 0.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Small Game (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:06:33.168494Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97106696572.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.20104,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6aaf237dc6ae",
"realistic_value": 0.647,
"optimistic_value": 0.64,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno",
"conservative_value": 0.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:03:27.092445Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6aaf237dc6ae.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.19529600000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7d2a2ccef9f1",
"realistic_value": 0.76,
"optimistic_value": 0.76,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo",
"conservative_value": 0.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:27:50.228531Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7d2a2ccef9f1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.022976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc4aeda27ca",
"realistic_value": 35.3115,
"optimistic_value": 35,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy",
"conservative_value": 33.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:06:08.805854Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc4aeda27ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.2872,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62fc4feb5c7c",
"realistic_value": 9.607000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 9.32,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Brass",
"conservative_value": 9.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Brass (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:01:00.426921Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62fc4feb5c7c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8a830ce19364b777b3511be8",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.37,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "508487023588358342",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T08:46:05.835728Z"
},
{
"price": 2.41,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "503983423967333359",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T08:46:05.835728Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "494976443341611546",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:03:48.634424Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-578fd8494dd0",
"listing_id": "491598743580769886",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-578fd8494dd0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:04:10.387555Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-f4f7b9b303a2",
"listing_id": "528753440605031157",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f4f7b9b303a2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:01:28.840847Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "505109489449642124",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:29.422184Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "500605889842045379",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:29.422184Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "502857742726308376",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:29.422184Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "661608215076905164",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:29.422184Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "515241791630705473",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:29.422184Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:2+collection-set-realism-camo:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×2+The Sport & Field Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 10.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 10.0% $35.31 Yorkshire 20.0% $6.64 Alpine Camo 20.0% $5.11 Small Game 20.0% $3.63 Zeno 20.0% $3.57 | $181.74 +834.9% | $25.50 +31.2% | 20.0% | +272.0% | $19.44 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×3+The Sport & Field Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 15.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 15.0% $35.31 Yorkshire 17.5% $6.64 Alpine Camo 17.5% $5.11 Small Game 17.5% $3.63 Zeno 17.5% $3.57 | $181.74 +564.0% | $35.87 +31.1% | 30.0% | +227.3% | $27.37 | — |
The Inferno Collection ×4+The Sport & Field Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 20.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 20.0% $35.31 Yorkshire 15.0% $6.64 Alpine Camo 15.0% $5.11 Zeno 15.0% $3.65 Small Game 15.0% $3.55 | $181.74 +383.9% | $46.25 +23.1% | 20.0% | +183.1% | $37.56 | — |
The Inferno Collection ×5+The Sport & Field Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 25.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 25.0% $35.31 Yorkshire 12.5% $6.64 Alpine Camo 12.5% $5.11 Small Game 12.5% $3.63 Zeno 12.5% $3.57 | $181.74 +281.7% | $56.63 +19.0% | 25.0% | +154.0% | $47.61 | — |