The Inferno Collection ×2+The Sport & Field Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New
Inputs
Gunsmoke
2x $4.60
Wildwood
1x $0.28
Cold Cell
3x $0.41
Olive Polycam
1x $1.27
Tiger Stencil
3x $1.33
↓
Possible Outputs
Brass
10.0% $181.74
Anodized Navy
10.0% $35.31
Yorkshire
20.0% $6.64
Alpine Camo
20.0% $5.12
Zeno
20.0% $3.65
Small Game
20.0% $3.55
Max Win
$181.74 (+823.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$25.50 (+29.5%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+268.6%
Cost
$19.69
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $19.69
Ask Price EV $25.50 (+29.5%)
Bid Price EV $18.97 (-3.7%)
Ask Profit $5.81 (+29.5%)
Bid Profit $-0.72 (-3.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $6.52 (+33.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$5.81
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.72
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $181.74 (+823.0%)
Worst Case $3.55 (-82.0%)
Volatility +268.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$88.84
Avg Loss -$14.95
Bottom 5% Outcome $3.55 (-82.0%)
Std Dev $52.89
Avg Norm Float 0.0690
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 151h 9m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Field-Tested
$4.60 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Minimal Wear
$7.37 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Cold Cell
—
Factory New
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Cold Cell
—
Factory New
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Cold Cell
—
Factory New
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
AK-47 | Olive Polycam
—
Factory New
$1.27 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil
—
Factory New
$1.33 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil
—
Factory New
$1.35 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil
—
Factory New
$2.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 08M 47S //TOTAL COST $19.69 //ASK PRICE EV $25.50 //BID PRICE EV $18.97 //ASK PROFIT $5.81 (+29.5%) //BID PROFIT $-0.72 (-3.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $181.74 //VOLATILITY +268.6% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID
10.0%
$181.74
+$162.05
+823.0%
$120.00
+$100.31
+509.4%
$61.74
34.0%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$35.31
+$15.62
+79.3%
$33.55
+$13.86
+70.4%
$1.76
5.0%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$6.64
-$13.05
-66.3%
$6.41
-$13.28
-67.4%
$0.22
3.4%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$5.12
-$14.57
-74.0%
$5.08
-$14.61
-74.2%
$0.04
0.8%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$3.65
-$16.04
-81.5%
$3.31
-$16.38
-83.2%
$0.34
9.3%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$3.55
-$16.14
-82.0%
$3.28
-$16.41
-83.3%
$0.27
7.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-realism-camo|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.069,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad8878d8dfca",
"realistic_value": 6.635,
"optimistic_value": 6.6,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Yorkshire",
"conservative_value": 6.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Yorkshire (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:10.748806Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad8878d8dfca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.0483,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c97106696572",
"realistic_value": 3.549,
"optimistic_value": 3.5,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Small Game",
"conservative_value": 3.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Small Game (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:41.776969Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97106696572.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.0483,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6aaf237dc6ae",
"realistic_value": 3.6485,
"optimistic_value": 3.61,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno",
"conservative_value": 3.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:46:42.456498Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6aaf237dc6ae.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.04692000000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7d2a2ccef9f1",
"realistic_value": 5.12,
"optimistic_value": 5.12,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo",
"conservative_value": 5.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:57:59.533383Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7d2a2ccef9f1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.005520000000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc4aeda27ca",
"realistic_value": 35.3115,
"optimistic_value": 35,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy",
"conservative_value": 33.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:06:08.805854Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc4aeda27ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.069,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62fc4feb5c7c",
"realistic_value": 181.7415,
"optimistic_value": 150.91,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Brass",
"conservative_value": 120,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Brass (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:58.072873Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62fc4feb5c7c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8a830ce19364b777b3511be8",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 4.6,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "524249529996069051",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:02:37.883989Z"
},
{
"price": 7.37,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "524248990847644659",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:05:28.820141Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "516368322945843962",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:52:46.246110Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-578fd8494dd0",
"listing_id": "505109489449340372",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-578fd8494dd0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:14:27.314101Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-578fd8494dd0",
"listing_id": "499479989895985801",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-578fd8494dd0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:14:27.314101Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-578fd8494dd0",
"listing_id": "509613036859504155",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-578fd8494dd0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:14:27.314101Z"
},
{
"price": 1.27,
"skin_id": "skin-81d44fd69bbd",
"listing_id": "528753335312625213",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Factory New)",
"name": "AK-47 | Olive Polycam",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-81d44fd69bbd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:54:52.922419Z"
},
{
"price": 1.33,
"skin_id": "skin-f4f7b9b303a2",
"listing_id": "517494222851447242",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f4f7b9b303a2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:11:00.321588Z"
},
{
"price": 1.35,
"skin_id": "skin-f4f7b9b303a2",
"listing_id": "491598638254266758",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f4f7b9b303a2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:11:00.321588Z"
},
{
"price": 2.19,
"skin_id": "skin-f4f7b9b303a2",
"listing_id": "491597893797271694",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f4f7b9b303a2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:11:00.321588Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:2+collection-set-realism-camo:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×3+The Sport & Field Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 15.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 15.0% $35.31 Yorkshire 17.5% $6.70 Alpine Camo 17.5% $5.12 Small Game 17.5% $3.52 Zeno 17.5% $3.45 | $181.74 +564.0% | $35.85 +31.0% | 30.0% | +227.4% | $27.37 | — |
The Inferno Collection ×4+The Sport & Field Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 20.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 20.0% $35.31 Yorkshire 15.0% $6.70 Alpine Camo 15.0% $5.12 Small Game 15.0% $3.52 Zeno 15.0% $3.45 | $181.74 +383.9% | $46.23 +23.1% | 20.0% | +183.2% | $37.56 | — |
The Inferno Collection ×5+The Sport & Field Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 25.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 25.0% $35.31 Yorkshire 12.5% $6.64 Alpine Camo 12.5% $5.12 Zeno 12.5% $3.65 Small Game 12.5% $3.55 | $181.74 +270.1% | $56.63 +15.3% | 25.0% | +149.3% | $49.11 | — |