The Clutch Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Black Sand
1x $0.30
Flame Test
1x $0.32
Grip
1x $0.39
Rose Hex
4x $0.34
Shredded
2x $0.47
Blush Pour
1x $0.65
↓
Possible Outputs
Mulberry
23.3% $15.94
Glitched Paint
23.3% $6.74
Bleeding Edge
23.3% $5.85
Moonrise
6.0% $2.25
Lionfish
6.0% $1.29
SWAG-7
6.0% $0.80
Max Win
$15.94 (+201.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.00 (+32.4%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+102.4%
Cost
$5.29
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.29
Ask Price EV $7.00 (+32.4%)
Bid Price EV $6.35 (+20.0%)
Ask Profit $1.71 (+32.4%)
Bid Profit $1.06 (+20.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.66 (+12.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.71
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.06
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $15.94 (+201.4%)
Worst Case $0.71 (-86.5%)
Volatility +102.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$4.22
Avg Loss -$4.13
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.71 (-86.5%)
Std Dev $5.42
Avg Norm Float 0.1995
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 143h 14m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Flame Test
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.65 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Minimal Wear
$0.71 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Minimal Wear
$0.77 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Minimal Wear
$0.94 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01M 08S //TOTAL COST $5.29 //ASK PRICE EV $7.00 //BID PRICE EV $6.35 //ASK PROFIT $1.71 (+32.4%) //BID PROFIT $1.06 (+20.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $15.94 //VOLATILITY +102.4% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$15.94
+$10.65
+201.4%
$14.54
+$9.25
+174.9%
$1.40
8.8%
—
WIN
23.3%
$6.74
+$1.45
+27.4%
$6.21
+$0.92
+17.4%
$0.53
7.9%
—
PAPER WIN
23.3%
$5.85
+$0.56
+10.6%
$5.14
-$0.15
-2.8%
$0.71
12.1%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$2.25
-$3.04
-57.5%
$2.09
-$3.20
-60.5%
$0.16
7.0%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.29
-$4.00
-75.7%
$1.04
-$4.25
-80.3%
$0.25
19.2%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.80
-$4.49
-84.9%
$0.72
-$4.57
-86.4%
$0.08
9.7%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.73
-$4.56
-86.2%
$0.64
-$4.65
-87.9%
$0.09
12.3%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.71
-$4.58
-86.5%
$0.64
-$4.65
-87.9%
$0.07
10.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.149625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d7d76a0b8b5",
"realistic_value": 15.9415,
"optimistic_value": 15.91,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry",
"conservative_value": 14.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:07.329445Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d7d76a0b8b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.133665,
"output_skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"realistic_value": 6.742,
"optimistic_value": 6.49,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"conservative_value": 6.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:47:27.799948Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.1197,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"realistic_value": 5.849,
"optimistic_value": 5.8,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"conservative_value": 5.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:34:16.134911Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.129675,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 2.247,
"optimistic_value": 2.24,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 2.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:45.069175Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.18354,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 0.7975,
"optimistic_value": 0.78,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 0.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:36:43.366648Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.10972500000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 1.287,
"optimistic_value": 1.28,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Lionfish (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T10:40:25.221598Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.15960000000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 0.7134999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.71,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:40:02.791996Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.15960000000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 0.73,
"optimistic_value": 0.73,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:44:43.440390Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8a37d950da00cb58809e821f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "502857689862544408",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:39:39.382418Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-42a677e4f00a",
"listing_id": "496102290328233347",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42a677e4f00a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:42:22.344635Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-a70d55eb979d",
"listing_id": "498354037510657507",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a70d55eb979d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:04.418909Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "516368488725524570",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:40.558638Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "525375688036290175",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:40.558638Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "520872088105717584",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:53:01.758404Z"
},
{
"price": 0.65,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "526501535293744649",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:52.000593Z"
},
{
"price": 0.71,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "512990789045079311",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:12.298766Z"
},
{
"price": 0.77,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "494976390476943150",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:50.780201Z"
},
{
"price": 0.94,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "517494388633767838",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:12.298766Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-19:3+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Mulberry 23.3% $33.42 Glitched Paint 23.3% $17.17 Bleeding Edge 23.3% $16.98 Moonrise 6.0% $5.40 Lionfish 6.0% $3.74 SWAG-7 6.0% $1.77 | $33.42 +112.4% | $16.60 +5.5% | 70.0% | +62.5% | $15.73 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 16.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 16.7% $7.23 Bleeding Edge 16.7% $5.59 Moonrise 10.0% $2.25 Lionfish 10.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 10.0% $0.80 | $15.94 +295.6% | $5.37 +33.2% | 50.0% | +121.4% | $4.03 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 26.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 26.7% $7.23 Bleeding Edge 26.7% $5.80 Moonrise 4.0% $2.25 Lionfish 4.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 4.0% $0.80 | $15.94 +165.2% | $7.96 +32.4% | 53.3% | +80.7% | $6.01 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 30.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 30.0% $7.07 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $5.59 Moonrise 2.0% $2.25 Lionfish 2.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 2.0% $0.80 | $15.94 +132.7% | $8.69 +26.9% | 60.0% | +69.4% | $6.85 | — |