The Clutch Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Flame Test
1x $1.79
Night Riot
2x $2.56
Shredded
1x $1.33
Blush Pour
4x $1.42
Rose Hex
1x $1.86
Arsenic Spill
1x $2.24
↓
Possible Outputs
Mulberry
23.3% $33.42
Glitched Paint
23.3% $17.17
Bleeding Edge
23.3% $16.98
SWAG-7
6.0% $10.70
Arctic Wolf
6.0% $9.69
Wild Six
6.0% $6.05
Max Win
$33.42 (+48.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$17.90 (-20.7%)
Win %
23.3%
Volatility
+42.9%
Cost
$22.56
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $22.56
Ask Price EV $17.90 (-20.7%)
Bid Price EV $17.15 (-24.0%)
Ask Profit $-4.66 (-20.7%)
Bid Profit $-5.41 (-24.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.75 (+3.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$4.66
Bid Slippage Buffer -$5.41
Risk
Win Probability 23.3%
Loss Probability 76.7%
Best Case $33.42 (+48.1%)
Worst Case $3.74 (-83.4%)
Volatility +42.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$10.86
Avg Loss -$9.38
Bottom 5% Outcome $3.74 (-83.4%)
Std Dev $9.67
Avg Norm Float 0.0698
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 144h 38m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Five-SeveN | Flame Test
—
Factory New
$1.79 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Factory New
$2.56 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Factory New
$3.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Minimal Wear
$1.33 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Minimal Wear
$1.42 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Minimal Wear
$1.53 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Minimal Wear
$1.67 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Factory New
$1.86 Float: HIDDEN
AWP | Arsenic Spill
—
Factory New
$2.24 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Factory New
$5.08 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 56M 23S //TOTAL COST $22.56 //ASK PRICE EV $17.90 //BID PRICE EV $17.15 //ASK PROFIT $-4.66 (-20.7%) //BID PROFIT $-5.41 (-24.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 23.3% //BEST CASE $33.42 //VOLATILITY +42.9% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN
23.3%
$33.42
+$10.86
+48.1%
$31.48
+$8.92
+39.5%
$1.94
5.8%
—
LOSS
23.3%
$17.17
-$5.40
-23.9%
$16.69
-$5.87
-26.0%
$0.47
2.8%
—
LOSS
23.3%
$16.98
-$5.58
-24.7%
$16.48
-$6.08
-27.0%
$0.50
2.9%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$10.70
-$11.86
-52.6%
$10.08
-$12.48
-55.3%
$0.62
5.8%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$9.69
-$12.87
-57.1%
$9.51
-$13.05
-57.8%
$0.18
1.8%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$6.05
-$16.51
-73.2%
$5.95
-$16.61
-73.6%
$0.10
1.6%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$5.40
-$17.16
-76.0%
$5.26
-$17.30
-76.7%
$0.14
2.7%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$3.74
-$18.82
-83.4%
$3.65
-$18.91
-83.8%
$0.09
2.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.052364999999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d7d76a0b8b5",
"realistic_value": 33.418,
"optimistic_value": 33.25,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry",
"conservative_value": 31.48,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:15:33.431446Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d7d76a0b8b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.0467794,
"output_skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"realistic_value": 17.165,
"optimistic_value": 16.99,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"conservative_value": 16.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:33.626945Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.04189199999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"realistic_value": 16.977,
"optimistic_value": 16.83,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"conservative_value": 16.48,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T12:21:33.371188Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.045383,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 5.4035,
"optimistic_value": 5.4,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 5.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:32:45.318399Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.0642344,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 10.698,
"optimistic_value": 10.6,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 10.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:29:55.036426Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.038401,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 3.742,
"optimistic_value": 3.7,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Lionfish (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:42:31.060468Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.055855999999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 6.0485,
"optimistic_value": 6.01,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 5.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:43.893518Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.055855999999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 9.6875,
"optimistic_value": 9.67,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 9.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:25:38.199393Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8a37d950da00cb58809e821f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.79,
"skin_id": "skin-42a677e4f00a",
"listing_id": "523123091077526374",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42a677e4f00a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:32:30.497416Z"
},
{
"price": 2.56,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "514115891833693782",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:29.595559Z"
},
{
"price": 3.08,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "502857524062905616",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:29.595559Z"
},
{
"price": 1.33,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "649223316125024632",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:39.518304Z"
},
{
"price": 1.42,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "649222707046356376",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:53:13.496283Z"
},
{
"price": 1.53,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "502857524064946924",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:53:13.496283Z"
},
{
"price": 1.67,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "505109323870506140",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:53:13.496283Z"
},
{
"price": 1.86,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "500605889841403967",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:24.074975Z"
},
{
"price": 2.24,
"skin_id": "skin-bc79778fcc59",
"listing_id": "528753387757738845",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Arsenic Spill (Factory New)",
"name": "AWP | Arsenic Spill",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bc79778fcc59.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:42:46.333872Z"
},
{
"price": 5.08,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "502857524062682488",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:49:51.807944Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-19:3+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 23.3% $15.94 Glitched Paint 23.3% $6.74 Bleeding Edge 23.3% $5.85 Moonrise 6.0% $2.25 Lionfish 6.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 6.0% $0.80 | $15.94 +201.4% | $7.00 +32.4% | 70.0% | +93.8% | $5.29 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Mulberry 23.3% $33.42 Glitched Paint 23.3% $17.17 Bleeding Edge 23.3% $16.98 Moonrise 6.0% $5.40 Lionfish 6.0% $3.74 SWAG-7 6.0% $1.77 | $33.42 +112.4% | $16.60 +5.5% | 70.0% | +62.5% | $15.73 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 20.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 20.0% $6.74 Bleeding Edge 20.0% $5.91 Moonrise 8.0% $2.25 Lionfish 8.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 8.0% $0.83 | $15.94 +247.3% | $6.18 +34.7% | 60.0% | +108.0% | $4.59 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 16.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 16.7% $6.74 Bleeding Edge 16.7% $5.91 Moonrise 10.0% $2.25 Lionfish 10.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 10.0% $0.83 | $15.94 +295.6% | $5.35 +32.7% | 50.0% | +120.9% | $4.03 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 26.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 26.7% $6.74 Bleeding Edge 26.7% $5.91 Moonrise 4.0% $2.25 Lionfish 4.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 4.0% $0.83 | $15.94 +165.2% | $7.86 +30.8% | 53.3% | +81.0% | $6.01 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 30.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 30.0% $6.74 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $5.85 Moonrise 2.0% $2.25 Lionfish 2.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 2.0% $0.80 | $15.94 +135.5% | $8.68 +28.1% | 30.0% | +70.1% | $6.77 | — |