The Revolution Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Rebel
1x $0.27
Insomnia
1x $0.28
Re.built
2x $0.29
Reef Grief
2x $0.41
Mint Fan
4x $0.42
↓
Possible Outputs
Midnight Laminate
30.0% $18.08
Royal Guard
30.0% $5.56
Sakkaku
8.0% $1.43
Umbral Rabbit
8.0% $1.29
Neoqueen
8.0% $0.99
Emphorosaur-S
8.0% $0.75
Max Win
$18.08 (+209.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.50 (+28.2%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+122.7%
Cost
$5.85
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.85
Ask Price EV $7.50 (+28.2%)
Bid Price EV $6.48 (+10.8%)
Ask Profit $1.65 (+28.2%)
Bid Profit $0.63 (+10.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.02 (+17.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.65
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.63
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $18.08 (+209.0%)
Worst Case $0.66 (-88.6%)
Volatility +122.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$12.23
Avg Loss -$2.88
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.66 (-88.6%)
Std Dev $7.18
Avg Norm Float 0.1996
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 152h 9m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Insomnia
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Reef Grief
—
Field-Tested
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
—
Field-Tested
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
—
Minimal Wear
$1.03 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Reef Grief
—
Minimal Wear
$1.10 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
—
Minimal Wear
$1.23 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 16M 18S //TOTAL COST $5.85 //ASK PRICE EV $7.50 //BID PRICE EV $6.48 //ASK PROFIT $1.65 (+28.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.63 (+10.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $18.08 //VOLATILITY +122.7% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$18.08
+$12.23
+209.0%
$15.21
+$9.36
+160.0%
$2.87
15.9%
—
LOSS
30.0%
$5.56
-$0.29
-4.9%
$5.11
-$0.74
-12.6%
$0.45
8.2%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.43
-$4.42
-75.6%
$1.41
-$4.44
-75.9%
$0.02
1.4%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$1.29
-$4.56
-78.0%
$1.19
-$4.66
-79.7%
$0.10
7.5%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.99
-$4.86
-83.1%
$0.93
-$4.92
-84.1%
$0.06
6.1%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.75
-$5.10
-87.2%
$0.70
-$5.15
-88.0%
$0.05
6.4%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.66
-$5.19
-88.6%
$0.62
-$5.23
-89.4%
$0.04
6.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.1497225,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dba8faaa2d7e",
"realistic_value": 18.0765,
"optimistic_value": 17.94,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Midnight Laminate",
"conservative_value": 15.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:20.243302Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dba8faaa2d7e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.119778,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b88bf24d8569",
"realistic_value": 5.5645,
"optimistic_value": 5.54,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Royal Guard",
"conservative_value": 5.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Royal Guard (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:17:03.830819Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b88bf24d8569.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.1497225,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 1.286,
"optimistic_value": 1.23,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:59.503087Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.159704,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 0.7475,
"optimistic_value": 0.73,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 0.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T18:33:49.520496Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.3257854,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.43,
"optimistic_value": 1.43,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:54:37.670184Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.119778,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 0.9904999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.98,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 0.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:47:52.321205Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.19963,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.664,
"optimistic_value": 0.65,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:30.614720Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8a364a3db19a59ddbf742fe0",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "519746188259577176",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:53:08.407895Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-e6a7543c4187",
"listing_id": "507361342334353525",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Insomnia (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Insomnia",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e6a7543c4187.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:58:32.718455Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "491598690698787182",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:01.741880Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "497228190142150949",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:01.741880Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"listing_id": "511864941882265233",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:44.019953Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"listing_id": "509613142168155963",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:56.983177Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"listing_id": "500605837397096555",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:56.983177Z"
},
{
"price": 1.03,
"skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"listing_id": "492724643507875341",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:00.207072Z"
},
{
"price": 1.1,
"skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"listing_id": "527627540538202052",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:20.885037Z"
},
{
"price": 1.23,
"skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"listing_id": "492724643507817453",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:00.207072Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:4+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate 30.0% $38.92 Royal Guard 30.0% $13.38 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $4.31 Neoqueen 8.0% $3.17 Banana Cannon 8.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $1.58 | $38.92 +191.8% | $16.66 +24.9% | 60.0% | +109.9% | $13.34 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Midnight Laminate 30.0% $6.93 Royal Guard 30.0% $1.20 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $0.75 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $0.74 Banana Cannon 8.0% $0.65 Neoqueen 8.0% $0.64 | $6.93 +196.2% | $2.71 +15.8% | 30.0% | +115.7% | $2.34 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Midnight Laminate 30.0% $6.93 Royal Guard 30.0% $1.20 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $0.75 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $0.74 Neoqueen 8.0% $0.64 Sakkaku 8.0% $0.61 | $6.93 +193.7% | $2.71 +14.7% | 30.0% | +114.8% | $2.36 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 25.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 25.0% $5.56 Sakkaku 10.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 10.0% $1.05 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $0.75 | $18.08 +279.0% | $6.43 +34.8% | 50.0% | +141.2% | $4.77 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate 45.0% $38.92 Royal Guard 45.0% $13.46 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $4.31 Neoqueen 2.0% $3.17 Banana Cannon 2.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $1.56 | $38.92 +110.2% | $23.81 +28.6% | 45.0% | +73.8% | $18.52 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate 35.0% $38.92 Royal Guard 35.0% $13.46 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $4.31 Neoqueen 6.0% $3.17 Banana Cannon 6.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $1.56 | $38.92 +159.5% | $19.06 +27.1% | 35.0% | +97.5% | $15.00 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate 40.0% $38.92 Royal Guard 40.0% $13.38 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $4.31 Neoqueen 4.0% $3.17 Banana Cannon 4.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $1.58 | $38.92 +130.6% | $21.40 +26.8% | 40.0% | +84.8% | $16.88 | — |