The Fever Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Mockingbird
1x $0.30
Sure Grip
1x $0.31
Nexus
1x $0.34
PC-GRN
2x $0.42
Pipsqueak
3x $0.42
Teal Graf
1x $0.74
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
16.7% $10.72
Sweet Little Angels
16.7% $10.16
Monster Melt
16.7% $8.50
Rising Sun
10.0% $1.80
Control
10.0% $1.67
Wave Breaker
10.0% $1.61
Max Win
$10.72 (+103.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.69 (+8.2%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+79.1%
Cost
$5.26
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.26
Ask Price EV $5.69 (+8.2%)
Bid Price EV $5.51 (+4.8%)
Ask Profit $0.43 (+8.2%)
Bid Profit $0.25 (+4.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.18 (+3.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.43
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.25
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $10.72 (+103.9%)
Worst Case $1.39 (-73.6%)
Volatility +79.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$4.54
Avg Loss -$3.68
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.39 (-73.6%)
Std Dev $4.16
Avg Norm Float 0.1498
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 16h 1m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
XM1014 | Mockingbird
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Nexus
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | PC-GRN
—
Minimal Wear
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | PC-GRN
—
Minimal Wear
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.74 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Minimal Wear
$0.84 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 07M 08S //TOTAL COST $5.26 //ASK PRICE EV $5.69 //BID PRICE EV $5.51 //ASK PROFIT $0.43 (+8.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.25 (+4.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $10.72 //VOLATILITY +79.1% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
16.7%
$10.72
+$5.46
+103.9%
$10.49
+$5.23
+99.4%
$0.23
2.2%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.1228688
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
16.7%
$10.16
+$4.90
+93.2%
$10.00
+$4.74
+90.1%
$0.16
1.6%
—
BIG WIN
16.7%
$8.50
+$3.24
+61.5%
$8.25
+$2.99
+56.8%
$0.25
2.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$1.80
-$3.46
-65.8%
$1.76
-$3.50
-66.5%
$0.04
2.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.67
-$3.59
-68.3%
$1.35
-$3.91
-74.3%
$0.32
19.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.61
-$3.65
-69.4%
$1.56
-$3.70
-70.3%
$0.05
3.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.45
-$3.81
-72.4%
$1.33
-$3.93
-74.7%
$0.12
8.4%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.39
-$3.87
-73.6%
$1.20
-$4.06
-77.2%
$0.19
13.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.127364,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 10.724499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 10.7,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 10.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:41.402512Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1228688,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.1645,
"optimistic_value": 10,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:45.777380Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.11238000000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.497,
"optimistic_value": 8.28,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:05:57.844680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.08540879999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4515a7cdcc74",
"realistic_value": 1.4525,
"optimistic_value": 1.4,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike",
"conservative_value": 1.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:50.371775Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4515a7cdcc74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1197214108,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
"realistic_value": 1.6669999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 1.66,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Control",
"conservative_value": 1.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T11:19:36.262895Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"realistic_value": 1.8,
"optimistic_value": 1.8,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"conservative_value": 1.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:05:54.587357Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14243026216,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"realistic_value": 1.608,
"optimistic_value": 1.58,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"conservative_value": 1.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:16:44.332321Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.104888,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
"realistic_value": 1.39,
"optimistic_value": 1.39,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
"conservative_value": 1.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:01:17.850320Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_87c7b9cb2f6429672991794f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-e0eec3353ea4",
"listing_id": "521997988015702842",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Mockingbird",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e0eec3353ea4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:19:18.821752Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "498354089952752431",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:02.077939Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-038541568496",
"listing_id": "501731789729531501",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Nexus",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-038541568496.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:03.322060Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-0fbe55711fa6",
"listing_id": "510738936594008362",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | PC-GRN (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "USP-S | PC-GRN",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0fbe55711fa6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:04:10.890376Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-0fbe55711fa6",
"listing_id": "508487023589649374",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | PC-GRN (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "USP-S | PC-GRN",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0fbe55711fa6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:04:10.890376Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "517494388633440706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:39.041741Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "509613089303435079",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:39.041741Z"
},
{
"price": 0.74,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "523123835627757262",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:16:54.773492Z"
},
{
"price": 0.84,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "502857524063952856",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:57.125359Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "518619491421941344",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:39.041741Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-35:5+collection-set-overpass-2024:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.72 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.16 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.50 Control 10.0% $1.67 Serpent Strike 10.0% $1.45 Tosai 10.0% $1.39 | $10.72 +154.1% | $5.50 +30.4% | 50.0% | +90.1% | $4.22 | — |
The Fever Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $4.33 Monster Melt 16.7% $4.12 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $4.05 Serpent Strike 10.0% $0.77 Control 10.0% $0.77 Tosai 10.0% $0.72 | $4.33 +81.3% | $2.45 +2.5% | 50.0% | +64.1% | $2.39 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.42 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.68 Control 12.0% $1.67 Serpent Strike 12.0% $1.55 Tosai 12.0% $1.34 | $10.77 +200.0% | $4.71 +31.3% | 40.0% | +108.0% | $3.59 | — |
The Fever Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.42 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.68 Control 8.0% $1.67 Serpent Strike 8.0% $1.55 Tosai 8.0% $1.34 | $10.77 +116.7% | $6.46 +30.0% | 60.0% | +74.5% | $4.97 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.42 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.68 Control 6.0% $1.67 Serpent Strike 6.0% $1.55 Tosai 6.0% $1.34 | $10.77 +86.7% | $7.33 +27.1% | 70.0% | +58.8% | $5.77 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crakow!  15.0% $47.63 Dragon Snore  15.0% $33.43 Shinobu  23.3% $7.61 Searing Rage  23.3% $6.88 K.O. Factory  23.3% $6.67 | $47.63 +228.5% | $17.10 +17.9% | 30.0% | +109.2% | $14.50 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  70.0% $1,312.69 Printstream  15.0% $117.26 Bad Trip  15.0% $82.77 | $1,312.69 +61.1% | $948.89 +16.5% | 70.0% | +68.2% | $814.65 | — |