The Fever Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Memorial
2x $0.14
Nexus
2x $0.30
Sure Grip
1x $0.31
Pipsqueak
2x $0.43
Metallic Squeezer
1x $0.52
Teal Graf
2x $0.72
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
16.7% $10.74
Sweet Little Angels
16.7% $10.46
Monster Melt
16.7% $8.63
Control
10.0% $1.67
Serpent Strike
10.0% $1.54
Tosai
10.0% $1.25
Max Win
$10.74 (+151.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.57 (+30.5%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+103.7%
Cost
$4.27
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.27
Ask Price EV $5.57 (+30.5%)
Bid Price EV $5.39 (+26.1%)
Ask Profit $1.30 (+30.5%)
Bid Profit $1.12 (+26.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.19 (+4.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.30
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.12
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $10.74 (+151.5%)
Worst Case $0.75 (-82.5%)
Volatility +103.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$5.67
Avg Loss -$3.07
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.75 (-82.5%)
Std Dev $4.43
Avg Norm Float 0.1764
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 14h
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SSG 08 | Memorial
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Memorial
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Nexus
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Nexus
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Field-Tested
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.72 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.74 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 56M 18S //TOTAL COST $4.27 //ASK PRICE EV $5.57 //BID PRICE EV $5.39 //ASK PROFIT $1.30 (+30.5%) //BID PROFIT $1.12 (+26.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $10.74 //VOLATILITY +103.7% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.7%
$10.74
+$6.47
+151.5%
$10.49
+$6.22
+145.7%
$0.25
2.3%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.144648
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
16.7%
$10.46
+$6.19
+145.0%
$10.40
+$6.13
+143.6%
$0.06
0.6%
—
BIG WIN
16.7%
$8.63
+$4.36
+102.0%
$8.25
+$3.98
+93.2%
$0.38
4.4%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.67
-$2.60
-61.0%
$1.35
-$2.92
-68.4%
$0.32
19.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.54
-$2.73
-63.9%
$1.33
-$2.94
-68.9%
$0.21
13.8%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.25
-$3.02
-70.8%
$1.20
-$3.07
-71.9%
$0.05
3.8%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.79
-$3.48
-81.5%
$0.72
-$3.55
-83.1%
$0.07
8.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.75
-$3.52
-82.5%
$0.69
-$3.58
-83.8%
$0.06
7.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 10.7375,
"optimistic_value": 10.72,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 10.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:07:21.406617Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.144648,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.463500000000002,
"optimistic_value": 10.46,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10.4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:07:21.764315Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1323,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.627,
"optimistic_value": 8.48,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:09:29.709197Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.100548,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4515a7cdcc74",
"realistic_value": 1.5435,
"optimistic_value": 1.54,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike",
"conservative_value": 1.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:46:05.263923Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4515a7cdcc74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.140942718,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
"realistic_value": 1.6669999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 1.66,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Control",
"conservative_value": 1.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T11:19:36.262895Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1764,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"realistic_value": 0.7905,
"optimistic_value": 0.78,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"conservative_value": 0.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T16:22:23.659961Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1676768436,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"realistic_value": 0.747,
"optimistic_value": 0.74,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"conservative_value": 0.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:57:54.026106Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.12347999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
"realistic_value": 1.2475,
"optimistic_value": 1.23,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
"conservative_value": 1.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:16:44.349732Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_87c7b9cb2f6429672991794f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-a8cc985f8710",
"listing_id": "501731789729496833",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Memorial (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Memorial",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a8cc985f8710.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:10:10.651073Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-a8cc985f8710",
"listing_id": "499479937453450165",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Memorial (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Memorial",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a8cc985f8710.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:10:10.651073Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-038541568496",
"listing_id": "494976224707817598",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Nexus",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-038541568496.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:00:27.907013Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "498354089952752431",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:02:46.095077Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-038541568496",
"listing_id": "501731789729531501",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Nexus",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-038541568496.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:00:27.907013Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "503982792739302367",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:57:47.264701Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "648097416147785180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:10:20.951904Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "509613089303435079",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:57:47.264701Z"
},
{
"price": 0.72,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "518620235868544072",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:16:36.156449Z"
},
{
"price": 0.74,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "523123835627757262",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:16:36.156449Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-35:5+collection-set-overpass-2024:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.74 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.46 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.66 Rising Sun 10.0% $1.78 Control 10.0% $1.67 Wave Breaker 10.0% $1.58 | $10.74 +103.7% | $5.76 +9.3% | 50.0% | +71.6% | $5.27 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.74 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.46 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.63 Control 12.0% $1.67 Serpent Strike 12.0% $1.54 Tosai 12.0% $1.25 | $10.74 +196.6% | $4.70 +29.7% | 40.0% | +107.3% | $3.62 | — |
The Fever Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.74 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.46 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.63 Control 8.0% $1.67 Serpent Strike 8.0% $1.54 Tosai 8.0% $1.25 | $10.74 +113.5% | $6.45 +28.2% | 60.0% | +73.8% | $5.03 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.74 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.46 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.63 Control 6.0% $1.67 Serpent Strike 6.0% $1.54 Tosai 6.0% $1.25 | $10.74 +86.1% | $7.32 +26.9% | 70.0% | +58.9% | $5.77 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Crakow!  10.0% $103.76 Dragon Snore  10.0% $78.65 Shinobu  26.7% $13.66 Searing Rage  26.7% $12.01 K.O. Factory  26.7% $9.96 | $103.76 +346.8% | $27.74 +19.5% | 20.0% | +138.9% | $23.22 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  70.0% $1,312.69 Printstream  15.0% $117.26 Bad Trip  15.0% $82.77 | $1,312.69 +62.5% | $948.89 +17.5% | 70.0% | +68.8% | $807.59 | — |