The Genesis Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Focus
1x $0.39
Bullfrog
1x $0.40
Shredded
2x $0.37
Blush Pour
1x $0.37
Red Tide
3x $0.38
Rose Hex
2x $1.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Mulberry
26.7% $15.50
Glitched Paint
26.7% $6.84
Bleeding Edge
26.7% $5.45
Liquidation
4.0% $4.01
Cat Fight
4.0% $1.09
Ocular
4.0% $1.04
Max Win
$15.50 (+154.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.74 (+26.8%)
Win %
53.3%
Volatility
+82.6%
Cost
$6.10
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $6.10
Ask Price EV $7.74 (+26.8%)
Bid Price EV $7.20 (+18.1%)
Ask Profit $1.64 (+26.8%)
Bid Profit $1.10 (+18.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.53 (+8.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.64
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.10
Risk
Win Probability 53.3%
Loss Probability 46.7%
Best Case $15.50 (+154.1%)
Worst Case $1.02 (-83.2%)
Volatility +82.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 20.0%
Avg Win +$5.07
Avg Loss -$2.29
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.02 (-83.2%)
Std Dev $5.04
Avg Norm Float 0.1997
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 16m
Oldest Output Price 154h 9m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP5-SD | Focus
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Minimal Wear
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Field-Tested
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Red Tide
—
Field-Tested
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Red Tide
—
Field-Tested
$0.64 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Red Tide
—
Field-Tested
$0.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Minimal Wear
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Minimal Wear
$1.00 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Minimal Wear
$1.03 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 03M 27S //TOTAL COST $6.10 //ASK PRICE EV $7.74 //BID PRICE EV $7.20 //ASK PROFIT $1.64 (+26.8%) //BID PROFIT $1.10 (+18.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 53.3% //BEST CASE $15.50 //VOLATILITY +82.6% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$15.50
+$9.40
+154.1%
$14.49
+$8.39
+137.5%
$1.01
6.5%
—
SMALL WIN
26.7%
$6.84
+$0.74
+12.1%
$6.18
+$0.08
+1.3%
$0.66
9.6%
—
LOSS
26.7%
$5.45
-$0.65
-10.7%
$5.20
-$0.90
-14.8%
$0.25
4.5%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$4.01
-$2.09
-34.2%
$3.61
-$2.49
-40.8%
$0.40
10.1%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.09
-$5.01
-82.2%
$1.04
-$5.06
-83.0%
$0.05
4.4%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.04
-$5.06
-83.0%
$1.00
-$5.10
-83.6%
$0.04
3.6%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.02
-$5.08
-83.2%
$0.99
-$5.11
-83.8%
$0.03
3.3%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.02
-$5.08
-83.2%
$0.97
-$5.13
-84.1%
$0.05
5.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1497675,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d7d76a0b8b5",
"realistic_value": 15.4975,
"optimistic_value": 15.27,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry",
"conservative_value": 14.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:40:30.576620Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d7d76a0b8b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1337923,
"output_skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"realistic_value": 6.8355,
"optimistic_value": 6.72,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"conservative_value": 6.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:43.051387Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.119814,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"realistic_value": 5.4455,
"optimistic_value": 5.4,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"conservative_value": 5.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:41.111714Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.19969,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 1.024,
"optimistic_value": 1.01,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 0.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:16.864198Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.19969,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 4.0145,
"optimistic_value": 3.99,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 3.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:12.174520Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.19969,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 1.0875000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.07,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:51.579877Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.19969,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 1.037,
"optimistic_value": 1.03,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:31.504006Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.19969,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 1.024,
"optimistic_value": 1.01,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 0.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:38.750706Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_852b2aa57620fb8c3db0e235",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-e051c197f5af",
"listing_id": "493850543432056756",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Focus (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Focus",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e051c197f5af.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:08:22.899790Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "511864888985506221",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:15.256330Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "511864941882372873",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:21:07.483215Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "518620341243851032",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:21:25.258139Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-1244c7faf3ea",
"listing_id": "491598743581017674",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Red Tide",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1244c7faf3ea.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:52.857153Z"
},
{
"price": 0.64,
"skin_id": "skin-1244c7faf3ea",
"listing_id": "505109437007054864",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Red Tide",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1244c7faf3ea.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:52.857153Z"
},
{
"price": 0.72,
"skin_id": "skin-1244c7faf3ea",
"listing_id": "526501535292841697",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Red Tide",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1244c7faf3ea.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:52.857153Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "493850543433108496",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:50.489747Z"
},
{
"price": 1,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "496102290329575715",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:51.139238Z"
},
{
"price": 1.03,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "496102290329576111",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:51.139238Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:2+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Mulberry 26.7% $32.23 Glitched Paint 26.7% $16.71 Bleeding Edge 26.7% $15.06 Liquidation 4.0% $7.67 Cat Fight 4.0% $2.25 Angel Eyes 4.0% $2.11 | $32.23 +99.9% | $17.71 +9.9% | 53.3% | +56.1% | $16.12 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 16.7% $15.50 Glitched Paint 16.7% $6.84 Bleeding Edge 16.7% $5.45 Liquidation 10.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 10.0% $1.09 Ocular 10.0% $1.03 | $15.50 +275.2% | $5.45 +31.9% | 50.0% | +111.5% | $4.13 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 23.3% $15.50 Glitched Paint 23.3% $6.84 Bleeding Edge 23.3% $5.45 Liquidation 6.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 6.0% $1.09 Ocular 6.0% $1.04 | $15.50 +187.5% | $6.97 +29.4% | 70.0% | +87.5% | $5.39 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Radiant Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 13.3% $15.50 Glitched Paint 13.3% $6.78 Bleeding Edge 13.3% $5.44 Liquidation 12.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 12.0% $1.09 Ocular 12.0% $1.04 | $15.50 +328.1% | $4.68 +29.2% | 52.0% | +121.9% | $3.62 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 20.0% $15.50 Glitched Paint 20.0% $6.78 Bleeding Edge 20.0% $5.45 Liquidation 8.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 8.0% $1.09 Ocular 8.0% $1.04 | $15.50 +222.9% | $6.20 +29.2% | 60.0% | +97.9% | $4.80 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Radiant Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 10.0% $15.50 Glitched Paint 10.0% $6.63 Bleeding Edge 10.0% $5.41 Liquidation 14.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 14.0% $1.09 Ocular 14.0% $1.04 | $15.50 +395.1% | $3.90 +24.6% | 44.0% | +130.5% | $3.13 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 30.0% $15.50 Glitched Paint 30.0% $6.78 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $5.45 Liquidation 2.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 2.0% $1.09 Ocular 2.0% $1.03 | $15.50 +118.3% | $8.48 +19.5% | 30.0% | +64.5% | $7.10 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Radiant Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Mulberry 3.3% $15.50 Liquidation 18.0% $7.67 Glitched Paint 3.3% $6.84 Bleeding Edge 3.3% $5.45 Cat Fight 18.0% $2.25 Angel Eyes 18.0% $2.11 | $15.50 +345.3% | $3.83 +10.0% | 28.0% | +84.1% | $3.48 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Radiant Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Nouveau Rouge  20.0% $52.14 Ice Coaled  26.7% $24.72 Smoking Kills  26.7% $18.91 Mirror Mosaic  26.7% $16.53 | $52.14 +116.8% | $26.47 +10.1% | 46.7% | +54.9% | $24.05 | — |