The Genesis Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
MAGnitude
1x $1.34
Red Wing
1x $1.46
Coral Bloom
1x $1.51
Blush Pour
2x $1.67
Shredded
2x $1.84
Arsenic Spill
1x $2.30
↓
Possible Outputs
Mulberry
26.7% $32.23
Liquidation
4.0% $19.42
Glitched Paint
26.7% $16.71
Bleeding Edge
26.7% $15.06
Cat Fight
4.0% $6.52
Angel Eyes
4.0% $6.26
Max Win
$32.23 (+42.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$18.84 (-16.7%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+39.1%
Cost
$22.63
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $22.63
Ask Price EV $18.84 (-16.7%)
Bid Price EV $18.33 (-19.0%)
Ask Profit $-3.79 (-16.7%)
Bid Profit $-4.30 (-19.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.51 (+2.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$3.79
Bid Slippage Buffer -$4.30
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $32.23 (+42.4%)
Worst Case $6.09 (-73.1%)
Volatility +39.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 69.3%
Avg Win +$9.60
Avg Loss -$8.66
Bottom 5% Outcome $6.14 (-72.9%)
Std Dev $8.84
Avg Norm Float 0.0697
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 155h 11m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | MAGnitude
—
Factory New
$1.34 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Factory New
$1.46 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Coral Bloom
—
Minimal Wear
$1.51 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Minimal Wear
$1.67 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Factory New
$1.84 Float: HIDDEN
AWP | Arsenic Spill
—
Factory New
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Factory New
$2.38 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Factory New
$2.47 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Factory New
$3.35 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Red Tide
—
Factory New
$4.31 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 00M 52S //TOTAL COST $22.63 //ASK PRICE EV $18.84 //BID PRICE EV $18.33 //ASK PROFIT $-3.79 (-16.7%) //BID PROFIT $-4.30 (-19.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $32.23 //VOLATILITY +39.1% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN
26.7%
$32.23
+$9.60
+42.4%
$31.18
+$8.55
+37.8%
$1.05
3.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$19.42
-$3.21
-14.2%
$16.07
-$6.56
-29.0%
$3.35
17.2%
—
LOSS
26.7%
$16.71
-$5.92
-26.2%
$16.69
-$5.94
-26.2%
$0.02
0.1%
—
LOSS
26.7%
$15.06
-$7.57
-33.5%
$14.75
-$7.88
-34.8%
$0.31
2.0%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$6.52
-$16.11
-71.2%
$6.35
-$16.28
-71.9%
$0.17
2.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$6.26
-$16.37
-72.3%
$6.21
-$16.42
-72.6%
$0.05
0.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$6.14
-$16.49
-72.9%
$6.12
-$16.51
-73.0%
$0.02
0.3%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$6.09
-$16.54
-73.1%
$6.07
-$16.56
-73.2%
$0.02
0.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.0522675,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d7d76a0b8b5",
"realistic_value": 32.231500000000004,
"optimistic_value": 31.92,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry",
"conservative_value": 31.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:40:29.613242Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d7d76a0b8b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.046692300000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"realistic_value": 16.707,
"optimistic_value": 16.7,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"conservative_value": 16.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:44.941350Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.041814,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"realistic_value": 15.0565,
"optimistic_value": 14.99,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"conservative_value": 14.75,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:28.486410Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06969,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 6.2635,
"optimistic_value": 6.26,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 6.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:33.914468Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06969,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 19.4155,
"optimistic_value": 19.37,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 16.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:11:14.220331Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06969,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 6.52,
"optimistic_value": 6.52,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 6.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:58:47.109842Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06969,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 6.09,
"optimistic_value": 6.09,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 6.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:59:00.569442Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06969,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 6.1370000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 6.13,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 6.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:21.364934Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_852b2aa57620fb8c3db0e235",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.34,
"skin_id": "skin-e8947585ba24",
"listing_id": "502857742727426752",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New)",
"name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8947585ba24.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:12:51.750786Z"
},
{
"price": 1.46,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "496102343226463967",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Red Wing (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:58:59.861779Z"
},
{
"price": 1.51,
"skin_id": "skin-79039995c554",
"listing_id": "529879121828245596",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Coral Bloom",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79039995c554.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:42.881738Z"
},
{
"price": 1.67,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "505109323870506140",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:21.809733Z"
},
{
"price": 1.84,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "511864941882786657",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:32.795046Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-bc79778fcc59",
"listing_id": "520872141038956440",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Arsenic Spill (Factory New)",
"name": "AWP | Arsenic Spill",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bc79778fcc59.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:52.958810Z"
},
{
"price": 2.38,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "520872141038842716",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:22.377548Z"
},
{
"price": 2.47,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "556898911189339489",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:56.381388Z"
},
{
"price": 3.35,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "524249840859892755",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:32.795046Z"
},
{
"price": 4.31,
"skin_id": "skin-1244c7faf3ea",
"listing_id": "507361342334533201",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Red Tide (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Red Tide",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1244c7faf3ea.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:26.089286Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:2+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 26.7% $15.50 Glitched Paint 26.7% $6.84 Bleeding Edge 26.7% $5.45 Liquidation 4.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 4.0% $1.09 Ocular 4.0% $1.04 | $15.50 +154.1% | $7.74 +26.8% | 53.3% | +76.5% | $6.10 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Mulberry 26.7% $32.23 Glitched Paint 26.7% $16.71 Bleeding Edge 26.7% $15.06 Liquidation 4.0% $7.67 Cat Fight 4.0% $2.25 Angel Eyes 4.0% $2.11 | $32.23 +99.9% | $17.71 +9.9% | 53.3% | +56.1% | $16.12 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 16.7% $15.50 Glitched Paint 16.7% $6.64 Bleeding Edge 16.7% $5.42 Liquidation 10.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 10.0% $1.09 Angel Eyes 10.0% $1.07 | $15.50 +278.0% | $5.41 +32.1% | 50.0% | +112.2% | $4.10 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 20.0% $15.50 Glitched Paint 20.0% $6.63 Bleeding Edge 20.0% $5.41 Liquidation 8.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 8.0% $1.09 Ocular 8.0% $1.04 | $15.50 +231.1% | $6.16 +31.7% | 60.0% | +100.5% | $4.68 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Radiant Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 13.3% $15.50 Glitched Paint 13.3% $6.63 Bleeding Edge 13.3% $5.41 Liquidation 12.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 12.0% $1.09 Ocular 12.0% $1.04 | $15.50 +334.1% | $4.65 +30.3% | 52.0% | +123.4% | $3.57 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 23.3% $15.50 Glitched Paint 23.3% $6.84 Bleeding Edge 23.3% $5.45 Liquidation 6.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 6.0% $1.09 Ocular 6.0% $1.04 | $15.50 +187.5% | $6.97 +29.4% | 70.0% | +87.5% | $5.39 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Radiant Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 10.0% $15.50 Glitched Paint 10.0% $6.63 Bleeding Edge 10.0% $5.41 Liquidation 14.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 14.0% $1.09 Ocular 14.0% $1.04 | $15.50 +395.1% | $3.90 +24.6% | 44.0% | +130.5% | $3.13 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 30.0% $15.50 Glitched Paint 30.0% $6.64 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $5.42 Liquidation 2.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 2.0% $1.09 Angel Eyes 2.0% $1.04 | $15.50 +121.4% | $8.43 +20.4% | 30.0% | +65.8% | $7.00 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Radiant Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Mulberry 3.3% $15.50 Liquidation 18.0% $7.67 Glitched Paint 3.3% $6.50 Bleeding Edge 3.3% $5.42 Cat Fight 18.0% $2.26 Angel Eyes 18.0% $2.11 | $15.50 +330.5% | $3.82 +6.0% | 28.0% | +81.0% | $3.60 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Radiant Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Nouveau Rouge  10.0% $21.36 Ice Coaled  30.0% $11.85 Smoking Kills  30.0% $10.53 Mirror Mosaic  30.0% $8.68 | $21.36 +106.8% | $11.45 +10.9% | 70.0% | +34.1% | $10.33 | — |