The Revolution Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Cyberforce
2x $2.18
Rebel
1x $3.30
Late Night Transit
2x $2.83
Run Run Run
1x $3.18
2A2F
2x $4.19
Green Line
2x $5.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Whiteout
23.3% $64.86
Charged Up
23.3% $63.69
Derailment
23.3% $42.56
Banana Cannon
6.0% $9.06
Emphorosaur-S
6.0% $5.73
Umbral Rabbit
6.0% $4.30
Max Win
$64.86 (+68.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$41.35 (+7.4%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+66.2%
Cost
$38.50
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $38.50
Ask Price EV $41.35 (+7.4%)
Bid Price EV $38.80 (+0.8%)
Ask Profit $2.85 (+7.4%)
Bid Profit $0.30 (+0.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.54 (+6.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$2.85
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.30
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $64.86 (+68.5%)
Worst Case $1.42 (-96.3%)
Volatility +66.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$18.54
Avg Loss -$33.76
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.42 (-96.3%)
Std Dev $25.50
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 150h 49m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$2.18 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$2.95 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Factory New
$3.30 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit
—
Minimal Wear
$2.83 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit
—
Minimal Wear
$3.11 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Run Run Run
—
Minimal Wear
$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | 2A2F
—
Minimal Wear
$4.19 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Green Line
—
Minimal Wear
$5.00 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | 2A2F
—
Minimal Wear
$5.23 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Green Line
—
Minimal Wear
$6.53 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 45M 52S //TOTAL COST $38.50 //ASK PRICE EV $41.35 //BID PRICE EV $38.80 //ASK PROFIT $2.85 (+7.4%) //BID PROFIT $0.30 (+0.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $64.86 //VOLATILITY +66.2% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
23.3%
$64.86
+$26.36
+68.5%
$61.61
+$23.11
+60.0%
$3.25
5.0%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$63.69
+$25.19
+65.4%
$58.44
+$19.94
+51.8%
$5.25
8.2%
—
SMALL WIN
23.3%
$42.56
+$4.06
+10.5%
$40.19
+$1.69
+4.4%
$2.37
5.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$9.06
-$29.44
-76.5%
$9.02
-$29.48
-76.6%
$0.04
0.4%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$5.73
-$32.77
-85.1%
$5.70
-$32.80
-85.2%
$0.03
0.5%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$4.30
-$34.20
-88.8%
$4.29
-$34.21
-88.9%
$0.01
0.3%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$3.17
-$35.33
-91.8%
$3.16
-$35.34
-91.8%
$0.01
0.3%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.42
-$37.08
-96.3%
$1.41
-$37.09
-96.3%
$0.01
0.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-train-2025|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.048951,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9fc289ff7b61",
"realistic_value": 42.5615,
"optimistic_value": 42.32,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Derailment",
"conservative_value": 40.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:17:58.746071Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9fc289ff7b61.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.12573420000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"realistic_value": 64.8635,
"optimistic_value": 64.79,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"conservative_value": 61.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:42:45.497220Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9446ef74272b",
"realistic_value": 63.693,
"optimistic_value": 62.72,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up",
"conservative_value": 58.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:23:08.587654Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9446ef74272b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.05244750000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 4.3035,
"optimistic_value": 4.3,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 4.29,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:21:01.356172Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.05594400000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 5.7275,
"optimistic_value": 5.71,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 5.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:47.812118Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.2505594,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.42,
"optimistic_value": 1.42,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:59.300460Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.041958,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.17,
"optimistic_value": 3.17,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:27:03.018237Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 9.06,
"optimistic_value": 9.06,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 9.02,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:50:04.959706Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_83826b7e2ac667bccc0ffab6",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.18,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "521997988016396742",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:51.556382Z"
},
{
"price": 2.95,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "511864941881728473",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:51.556382Z"
},
{
"price": 3.3,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "521997822479691330",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:22.450553Z"
},
{
"price": 2.83,
"skin_id": "skin-d5765bdffe44",
"listing_id": "519746241188631932",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Late Night Transit",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d5765bdffe44.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:46.655004Z"
},
{
"price": 3.11,
"skin_id": "skin-d5765bdffe44",
"listing_id": "500605942755577727",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Late Night Transit",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d5765bdffe44.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:46.655004Z"
},
{
"price": 3.18,
"skin_id": "skin-96a9aaa2cbe5",
"listing_id": "527627540537458508",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Run Run Run",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96a9aaa2cbe5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:16.454491Z"
},
{
"price": 4.19,
"skin_id": "skin-a57c016a2f7d",
"listing_id": "642467916639686441",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "FAMAS | 2A2F",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a57c016a2f7d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:33.850694Z"
},
{
"price": 5,
"skin_id": "skin-7976ca00d006",
"listing_id": "508487189340410930",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Green Line",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7976ca00d006.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:37.971627Z"
},
{
"price": 5.23,
"skin_id": "skin-a57c016a2f7d",
"listing_id": "528753335313592389",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "FAMAS | 2A2F",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a57c016a2f7d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:33.850694Z"
},
{
"price": 6.53,
"skin_id": "skin-7976ca00d006",
"listing_id": "507361289453385697",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Green Line",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7976ca00d006.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:37.971627Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:3+collection-set-train-2025:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Whiteout 23.3% $64.86 Derailment 23.3% $42.56 Charged Up 23.3% $22.67 Neoqueen 6.0% $3.17 Banana Cannon 6.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $1.52 | $64.86 +152.9% | $30.90 +20.4% | 46.7% | +84.2% | $25.65 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Whiteout 23.3% $9.67 Charged Up 23.3% $7.45 Derailment 23.3% $7.13 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $0.75 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $0.74 Banana Cannon 6.0% $0.69 | $9.67 +97.8% | $5.87 +20.0% | 70.0% | +61.7% | $4.89 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Whiteout 16.7% $9.67 Charged Up 16.7% $7.45 Derailment 16.7% $7.13 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $0.75 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $0.74 Banana Cannon 10.0% $0.66 | $9.67 +178.8% | $4.39 +26.4% | 50.0% | +97.8% | $3.47 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Whiteout 20.0% $9.68 Charged Up 20.0% $7.44 Derailment 20.0% $7.13 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $0.75 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $0.74 Banana Cannon 8.0% $0.69 | $9.68 +135.5% | $5.13 +24.7% | 60.0% | +79.5% | $4.11 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Whiteout 13.3% $9.67 Charged Up 13.3% $7.45 Derailment 13.3% $7.13 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $0.75 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $0.74 Banana Cannon 12.0% $0.69 | $9.67 +221.4% | $3.65 +21.2% | 40.0% | +112.5% | $3.01 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Train 2025 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Derailment 10.0% $14.72 Whiteout 10.0% $9.68 Charged Up 10.0% $7.44 Sakkaku 14.0% $1.42 Neoqueen 14.0% $1.02 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $0.75 | $14.72 +339.4% | $3.83 +14.2% | 30.0% | +133.0% | $3.35 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish  25.0% $597.10 Latte Rush  25.0% $294.44 Wicked Sick  16.7% $34.56 Wild Child  16.7% $33.67 Duality  16.7% $25.77 | $597.10 +222.9% | $238.55 +29.0% | 50.0% | +126.1% | $184.93 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Train 2025 Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | LongDog  20.0% $663.30 Temukau  40.0% $84.00 Head Shot  40.0% $79.96 | $663.30 +322.9% | $198.24 +26.4% | 20.0% | +148.3% | $156.85 | — |