The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Gamma 2 Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Fragment
1x $0.28
Fusion
1x $0.42
RMX
1x $0.43
Bock Blocks
1x $0.50
Ventilator
3x $0.36
Dazzle
1x $0.42
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
8.0% $7.00
Petroglyph
12.0% $6.44
Firebreathing
8.0% $5.02
Galigator
8.0% $3.28
Urban Sovereign
8.0% $3.24
Amberline
8.0% $3.21
Max Win
$7.00 (+38.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.63 (-28.0%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+33.8%
Cost
$5.04
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.04
Ask Price EV $3.63 (-28.0%)
Bid Price EV $3.36 (-33.3%)
Ask Profit $-1.41 (-28.0%)
Bid Profit $-1.68 (-33.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.27 (+5.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.41
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.68
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $7.00 (+38.8%)
Worst Case $1.98 (-60.7%)
Volatility +33.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 72.0%
Avg Win +$1.63
Avg Loss -$2.17
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.98 (-60.7%)
Std Dev $1.71
Avg Norm Float 0.1497
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 141h 44m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Minimal Wear
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Ventilator
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Ventilator
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Ventilator
—
Minimal Wear
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Dazzle
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Grim
—
Minimal Wear
$0.89 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Grim
—
Minimal Wear
$0.94 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 24M 12S //TOTAL COST $5.04 //ASK PRICE EV $3.63 //BID PRICE EV $3.36 //ASK PROFIT $-1.41 (-28.0%) //BID PROFIT $-1.68 (-33.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $7.00 //VOLATILITY +33.8% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$7.00
+$1.96
+38.8%
$5.93
+$0.89
+17.7%
$1.07
15.2%
—
WIN
12.0%
$6.44
+$1.41
+27.9%
$6.33
+$1.29
+25.6%
$0.11
1.8%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$5.02
-$0.02
-0.4%
$3.97
-$1.07
-21.2%
$1.05
20.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$3.28
-$1.76
-34.9%
$3.13
-$1.91
-37.9%
$0.15
4.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$3.24
-$1.80
-35.8%
$3.08
-$1.96
-38.9%
$0.16
4.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$3.21
-$1.83
-36.4%
$3.11
-$1.93
-38.3%
$0.10
3.0%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$2.77
-$2.27
-45.1%
$2.57
-$2.47
-49.0%
$0.20
7.1%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$2.31
-$2.73
-54.2%
$2.13
-$2.91
-57.7%
$0.18
7.7%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$2.24
-$2.80
-55.6%
$2.19
-$2.85
-56.5%
$0.05
2.2%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.98
-$3.06
-60.7%
$1.96
-$3.08
-61.1%
$0.02
1.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-gamma-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.20068039999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-02e5c0a4a714",
"realistic_value": 1.98,
"optimistic_value": 1.98,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Directive",
"conservative_value": 1.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:08:05.598684Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02e5c0a4a714.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e48389f836a",
"realistic_value": 2.767,
"optimistic_value": 2.76,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Weasel",
"conservative_value": 2.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Weasel (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:38.141586Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e48389f836a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06585039999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-18a6943d8cc2",
"realistic_value": 6.444999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 6.34,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Petroglyph",
"conservative_value": 6.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T00:43:23.645278Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-18a6943d8cc2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9c61185e3e75",
"realistic_value": 2.2385,
"optimistic_value": 2.2,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Powercore",
"conservative_value": 2.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Powercore (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:29:12.819919Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9c61185e3e75.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1dad3beb1452",
"realistic_value": 2.307,
"optimistic_value": 2.3,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Triarch",
"conservative_value": 2.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Triarch (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:00.509941Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1dad3beb1452.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 5.0200000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 4.95,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 3.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:12:02.254588Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.2815,
"optimistic_value": 3.25,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 3.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:32.908519Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 6.997,
"optimistic_value": 6.99,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 5.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:54.312286Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 3.205,
"optimistic_value": 3.17,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 3.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:42:03.824695Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 3.237,
"optimistic_value": 3.23,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:38:49.579662Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_7d49e10bca6201af8c563924",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "512990789044719455",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:56.719720Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "500605889841391331",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:38:41.147340Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "512990789045011631",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:56:10.449353Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "520872088106734692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:01.798639Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-2455f7e4f242",
"listing_id": "518620288313336188",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Ventilator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Ventilator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2455f7e4f242.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:26.940963Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-2455f7e4f242",
"listing_id": "493850490550016704",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Ventilator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Ventilator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2455f7e4f242.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:26.940963Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-2455f7e4f242",
"listing_id": "518620288313460388",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Ventilator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Ventilator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2455f7e4f242.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:26.940963Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-3470c859db1d",
"listing_id": "507360492257568697",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Negev | Dazzle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3470c859db1d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:25.154895Z"
},
{
"price": 0.89,
"skin_id": "skin-b15a3a34433b",
"listing_id": "757295869208302652",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Grim",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b15a3a34433b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:56:42.546862Z"
},
{
"price": 0.94,
"skin_id": "skin-b15a3a34433b",
"listing_id": "798962227700352838",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Grim",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b15a3a34433b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:56:42.546862Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-37:4+collection-set-gamma-2:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Gamma 2 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 12.0% $64.11 Electrum 8.0% $19.50 Triarch 12.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 8.0% $12.97 Powercore 12.0% $12.89 Galigator 8.0% $11.46 | $64.11 +369.7% | $17.91 +31.2% | 32.0% | +119.6% | $13.65 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×5+The Gamma 2 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 10.0% $64.11 Electrum 10.0% $19.50 Triarch 10.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 10.0% $12.97 Powercore 10.0% $12.89 Galigator 10.0% $11.46 | $64.11 +388.6% | $17.06 +30.0% | 30.0% | +115.5% | $13.12 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Gamma 2 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 8.0% $64.11 Electrum 12.0% $19.50 Triarch 8.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 12.0% $12.97 Powercore 8.0% $12.89 Galigator 12.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +404.4% | $16.17 +27.2% | 48.0% | +108.7% | $12.71 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×3+The Gamma 2 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 14.0% $64.11 Electrum 6.0% $19.50 Triarch 14.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 6.0% $12.97 Powercore 14.0% $12.89 Galigator 6.0% $11.46 | $64.11 +328.0% | $18.76 +25.2% | 20.0% | +115.9% | $14.98 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Gamma 2 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 6.0% $64.11 Electrum 14.0% $19.50 Triarch 6.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 14.0% $12.97 Powercore 6.0% $12.89 Galigator 14.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +418.3% | $15.31 +23.8% | 46.0% | +98.7% | $12.37 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Gamma 2 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 4.0% $64.11 Electrum 16.0% $19.50 Triarch 4.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 16.0% $12.97 Powercore 4.0% $12.89 Galigator 16.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +430.7% | $14.45 +19.6% | 44.0% | +84.8% | $12.08 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×2+The Gamma 2 Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 16.0% $64.11 Electrum 4.0% $19.50 Triarch 16.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 4.0% $12.97 Powercore 16.0% $12.89 Galigator 4.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +288.5% | $19.60 +18.8% | 20.0% | +110.8% | $16.50 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Gamma 2 Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 2.0% $64.11 Electrum 18.0% $19.50 Triarch 2.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 18.0% $12.97 Powercore 2.0% $12.89 Galigator 18.0% $11.46 | $64.11 +456.0% | $13.66 +18.5% | 42.0% | +66.1% | $11.53 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×1+The Gamma 2 Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 18.0% $64.11 Electrum 2.0% $19.50 Triarch 18.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 2.0% $12.97 Powercore 18.0% $12.89 Galigator 2.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +232.7% | $20.46 +6.2% | 20.0% | +99.0% | $19.27 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Gamma 2 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight  20.0% $35.39 Airlock  13.3% $17.43 Syd Mead  13.3% $16.23 Fuel Injector  13.3% $16.05 Kintsugi  20.0% $10.25 Deathgaze  20.0% $9.15 | $35.39 +141.7% | $17.59 +20.1% | 60.0% | +64.4% | $14.64 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Gamma 2 Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested | Roll Cage  15.0% $170.88 Neon Revolution  15.0% $165.26 Fully Tuned  35.0% $106.25 Queen's Gambit  35.0% $97.96 | $170.88 +64.5% | $121.89 +17.3% | 65.0% | +29.3% | $103.88 | — |