The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Gamma 2 Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Fragment
1x $1.58
Bock Blocks
3x $2.14
Dazzle
2x $0.42
Grim
4x $0.89
↓
Possible Outputs
Weasel
12.0% $64.11
Electrum
8.0% $19.50
Triarch
12.0% $13.89
Firebreathing
8.0% $12.97
Powercore
12.0% $12.89
Galigator
8.0% $11.12
Max Win
$64.11 (+366.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$17.88 (+30.2%)
Win %
32.0%
Volatility
+126.5%
Cost
$13.73
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $13.73
Ask Price EV $17.88 (+30.2%)
Bid Price EV $17.27 (+25.8%)
Ask Profit $4.15 (+30.2%)
Bid Profit $3.54 (+25.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.61 (+4.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$4.15
Bid Slippage Buffer +$3.54
Risk
Win Probability 32.0%
Loss Probability 68.0%
Best Case $64.11 (+366.9%)
Worst Case $6.44 (-53.1%)
Volatility +126.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$20.39
Avg Loss -$3.49
Bottom 5% Outcome $6.44 (-53.1%)
Std Dev $17.37
Avg Norm Float 0.0697
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 141h 6m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Factory New
$1.58 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.14 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.20 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.21 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Dazzle
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Grim
—
Minimal Wear
$0.89 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Grim
—
Minimal Wear
$0.95 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Dazzle
—
Field-Tested
$0.99 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Grim
—
Minimal Wear
$1.16 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Grim
—
Minimal Wear
$1.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 24M 21S //TOTAL COST $13.73 //ASK PRICE EV $17.88 //BID PRICE EV $17.27 //ASK PROFIT $4.15 (+30.2%) //BID PROFIT $3.54 (+25.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 32.0% //BEST CASE $64.11 //VOLATILITY +126.5% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$64.11
+$50.38
+366.9%
$62.73
+$49.00
+356.9%
$1.38
2.1%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$19.50
+$5.77
+42.0%
$17.32
+$3.59
+26.1%
$2.18
11.2%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$13.89
+$0.16
+1.2%
$13.41
-$0.32
-2.3%
$0.48
3.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$12.97
-$0.76
-5.6%
$11.57
-$2.16
-15.7%
$1.40
10.8%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$12.89
-$0.84
-6.1%
$12.74
-$0.99
-7.2%
$0.15
1.2%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$11.12
-$2.61
-19.0%
$10.67
-$3.06
-22.3%
$0.45
4.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$10.24
-$3.49
-25.4%
$10.09
-$3.64
-26.5%
$0.15
1.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$9.87
-$3.86
-28.1%
$9.85
-$3.88
-28.3%
$0.02
0.2%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$9.23
-$4.50
-32.8%
$9.06
-$4.67
-34.0%
$0.17
1.8%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$6.44
-$7.28
-53.1%
$6.33
-$7.40
-53.9%
$0.11
1.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-gamma-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.1254804,
"output_skin_id": "skin-02e5c0a4a714",
"realistic_value": 9.227,
"optimistic_value": 9.22,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Directive",
"conservative_value": 9.06,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Directive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:02.489793Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02e5c0a4a714.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e48389f836a",
"realistic_value": 64.108,
"optimistic_value": 63.1,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Weasel",
"conservative_value": 62.73,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:52:02.392821Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e48389f836a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.0306504,
"output_skin_id": "skin-18a6943d8cc2",
"realistic_value": 6.444999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 6.34,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Petroglyph",
"conservative_value": 6.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T00:43:23.645278Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-18a6943d8cc2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9c61185e3e75",
"realistic_value": 12.889,
"optimistic_value": 12.77,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Powercore",
"conservative_value": 12.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Powercore (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:33:41.658554Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9c61185e3e75.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1dad3beb1452",
"realistic_value": 13.8925,
"optimistic_value": 13.77,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Triarch",
"conservative_value": 13.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Triarch (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:56.911989Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1dad3beb1452.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 12.967,
"optimistic_value": 12.89,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 11.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T13:05:51.443586Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 11.117,
"optimistic_value": 10.83,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 10.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:01.043170Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 19.4975,
"optimistic_value": 19.34,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 17.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:01:57.497142Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 10.2405,
"optimistic_value": 10.23,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 10.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:07.233023Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 9.8705,
"optimistic_value": 9.86,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 9.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:40:49.959020Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_7d49e10bca6201af8c563924",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.58,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "502857689861616832",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:22.165243Z"
},
{
"price": 2.14,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "630083017705272354",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:43:09.336155Z"
},
{
"price": 2.2,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "525375688036676887",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:43:09.336155Z"
},
{
"price": 2.21,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "502857637418052784",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:43:09.336155Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-3470c859db1d",
"listing_id": "507360492257568697",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Negev | Dazzle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3470c859db1d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:42.736583Z"
},
{
"price": 0.89,
"skin_id": "skin-b15a3a34433b",
"listing_id": "757295869208302652",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Grim",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b15a3a34433b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:45.355680Z"
},
{
"price": 0.95,
"skin_id": "skin-b15a3a34433b",
"listing_id": "658230515412679418",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Grim",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b15a3a34433b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:45.355680Z"
},
{
"price": 0.99,
"skin_id": "skin-3470c859db1d",
"listing_id": "765182059807684452",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Negev | Dazzle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3470c859db1d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:42.736583Z"
},
{
"price": 1.16,
"skin_id": "skin-b15a3a34433b",
"listing_id": "650349216050510277",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Grim",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b15a3a34433b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:45.355680Z"
},
{
"price": 1.19,
"skin_id": "skin-b15a3a34433b",
"listing_id": "746039224851031593",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Grim",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b15a3a34433b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:45.355680Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-37:4+collection-set-gamma-2:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Gamma 2 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 8.0% $64.11 Electrum 12.0% $19.50 Triarch 8.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 12.0% $12.97 Powercore 8.0% $12.89 Galigator 12.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +413.7% | $16.17 +29.6% | 48.0% | +110.7% | $12.48 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×5+The Gamma 2 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 10.0% $64.11 Electrum 10.0% $19.50 Triarch 10.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 10.0% $12.97 Powercore 10.0% $12.89 Galigator 10.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +386.0% | $17.03 +29.1% | 30.0% | +115.0% | $13.19 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Gamma 2 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 6.0% $64.11 Electrum 14.0% $19.50 Triarch 6.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 14.0% $12.97 Powercore 6.0% $12.89 Galigator 14.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +424.6% | $15.31 +25.3% | 46.0% | +99.9% | $12.22 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×3+The Gamma 2 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 14.0% $64.11 Electrum 6.0% $19.50 Triarch 14.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 6.0% $12.97 Powercore 14.0% $12.89 Galigator 6.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +328.0% | $18.74 +25.1% | 20.0% | +116.0% | $14.98 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Gamma 2 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 4.0% $64.11 Electrum 16.0% $19.50 Triarch 4.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 16.0% $12.97 Powercore 4.0% $12.89 Galigator 16.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +439.2% | $14.46 +21.6% | 44.0% | +86.1% | $11.89 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×2+The Gamma 2 Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 16.0% $64.11 Electrum 4.0% $19.50 Triarch 16.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 4.0% $12.97 Powercore 16.0% $12.89 Galigator 4.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +288.5% | $19.60 +18.8% | 20.0% | +110.8% | $16.50 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Gamma 2 Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 2.0% $64.11 Electrum 18.0% $19.50 Triarch 2.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 18.0% $12.97 Powercore 2.0% $12.89 Galigator 18.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +445.1% | $13.60 +15.6% | 42.0% | +65.0% | $11.76 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×1+The Gamma 2 Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 18.0% $64.11 Electrum 2.0% $19.50 Triarch 18.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 2.0% $12.97 Powercore 18.0% $12.89 Galigator 2.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +232.7% | $20.46 +6.2% | 20.0% | +99.0% | $19.27 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Gamma 2 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight  20.0% $35.39 Airlock  13.3% $17.43 Fuel Injector  13.3% $16.28 Syd Mead  13.3% $16.18 Kintsugi  20.0% $10.14 Deathgaze  20.0% $8.99 | $35.39 +141.6% | $17.56 +19.8% | 60.0% | +64.7% | $14.65 | — |