The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Gamma 2 Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Zubastick
3x $0.15
Bock Blocks
1x $0.21
Briefing
3x $0.30
Ventilator
3x $0.36
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
8.0% $4.11
Firebreathing
8.0% $2.79
Galigator
8.0% $2.19
Petroglyph
12.0% $2.04
Directive
12.0% $1.98
Urban Sovereign
8.0% $1.98
Max Win
$4.11 (+44.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.16 (-24.3%)
Win %
8.0%
Volatility
+22.4%
Cost
$2.85
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.85
Ask Price EV $2.16 (-24.3%)
Bid Price EV $1.87 (-34.5%)
Ask Profit $-0.69 (-24.3%)
Bid Profit $-0.98 (-34.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.29 (+10.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.69
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.98
Risk
Win Probability 8.0%
Loss Probability 92.0%
Best Case $4.11 (+44.2%)
Worst Case $1.68 (-41.1%)
Volatility +22.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 76.0%
Avg Win +$1.26
Avg Loss -$0.86
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.68 (-41.1%)
Std Dev $0.64
Avg Norm Float 0.3392
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 15m
Oldest Output Price 141h 46m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Well-Worn
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Well-Worn
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Well-Worn
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Briefing
—
Well-Worn
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Briefing
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Briefing
—
Well-Worn
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Ventilator
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Ventilator
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Ventilator
—
Minimal Wear
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 24M 12S //TOTAL COST $2.85 //ASK PRICE EV $2.16 //BID PRICE EV $1.87 //ASK PROFIT $-0.69 (-24.3%) //BID PROFIT $-0.98 (-34.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 8.0% //BEST CASE $4.11 //VOLATILITY +22.4% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN
8.0%
$4.11
+$1.26
+44.2%
$3.61
+$0.76
+26.7%
$0.50
12.2%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$2.79
-$0.06
-2.2%
$2.32
-$0.53
-18.6%
$0.47
16.8%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$2.19
-$0.66
-23.3%
$1.74
-$1.11
-38.9%
$0.45
20.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$2.04
-$0.81
-28.3%
$1.64
-$1.21
-42.5%
$0.40
19.8%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$1.98
-$0.87
-30.5%
$1.96
-$0.89
-31.2%
$0.02
1.0%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$1.98
-$0.87
-30.6%
$1.63
-$1.22
-42.8%
$0.35
17.6%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$1.89
-$0.96
-33.7%
$1.55
-$1.30
-45.6%
$0.34
18.0%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$1.83
-$1.02
-35.6%
$1.58
-$1.27
-44.6%
$0.25
13.9%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$1.75
-$1.10
-38.5%
$1.63
-$1.22
-42.8%
$0.12
7.0%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.68
-$1.17
-41.1%
$1.53
-$1.32
-46.3%
$0.15
8.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-gamma-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.37884799999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-02e5c0a4a714",
"realistic_value": 1.98,
"optimistic_value": 1.98,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Directive",
"conservative_value": 1.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:08:05.598684Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02e5c0a4a714.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.3392,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e48389f836a",
"realistic_value": 1.6800000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 1.61,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Weasel",
"conservative_value": 1.53,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Weasel (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:39:34.207871Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e48389f836a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.149248,
"output_skin_id": "skin-18a6943d8cc2",
"realistic_value": 2.0444999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 2.02,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Petroglyph",
"conservative_value": 1.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T16:18:37.190433Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-18a6943d8cc2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.3392,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9c61185e3e75",
"realistic_value": 1.89,
"optimistic_value": 1.89,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Powercore",
"conservative_value": 1.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Powercore (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T14:39:18.303704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9c61185e3e75.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.3392,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1dad3beb1452",
"realistic_value": 1.8345,
"optimistic_value": 1.81,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Triarch",
"conservative_value": 1.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Triarch (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T20:25:40.506649Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1dad3beb1452.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.3392,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 2.787,
"optimistic_value": 2.78,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 2.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:10:34.264440Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.3392,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 2.1870000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 2.18,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 1.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T21:44:11.833560Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.3392,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 4.111,
"optimistic_value": 3.95,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 3.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:22.267196Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.3392,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 1.7525,
"optimistic_value": 1.7,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 1.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:54:26.396387Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.3392,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 1.9769999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.97,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 1.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:16:27.908437Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_7d49e10bca6201af8c563924",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
"listing_id": "516368488725785318",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Well-Worn)",
"name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:45.786868Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
"listing_id": "512990789044876991",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Well-Worn)",
"name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:45.786868Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
"listing_id": "493850490549435088",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Well-Worn)",
"name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:45.786868Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "520872088106733972",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:46.399236Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-2826d766adf3",
"listing_id": "499479989896392493",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Briefing (Well-Worn)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Briefing",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2826d766adf3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:26.428919Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-2826d766adf3",
"listing_id": "521997988014594654",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Briefing (Well-Worn)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Briefing",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2826d766adf3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:26.428919Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-2826d766adf3",
"listing_id": "500605837398608951",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Briefing (Well-Worn)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Briefing",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2826d766adf3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:26.428919Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-2455f7e4f242",
"listing_id": "518620288313336188",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Ventilator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Ventilator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2455f7e4f242.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:26.940963Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-2455f7e4f242",
"listing_id": "493850490550016704",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Ventilator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Ventilator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2455f7e4f242.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:26.940963Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-2455f7e4f242",
"listing_id": "518620288313460388",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Ventilator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Ventilator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2455f7e4f242.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:26.940963Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-37:4+collection-set-gamma-2:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Gamma 2 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 12.0% $64.11 Electrum 8.0% $19.50 Triarch 12.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 8.0% $12.97 Powercore 12.0% $12.89 Galigator 8.0% $11.46 | $64.11 +369.7% | $17.91 +31.2% | 32.0% | +119.6% | $13.65 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×5+The Gamma 2 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 10.0% $64.11 Electrum 10.0% $19.50 Triarch 10.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 10.0% $12.97 Powercore 10.0% $12.89 Galigator 10.0% $11.46 | $64.11 +388.6% | $17.06 +30.0% | 30.0% | +115.5% | $13.12 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Gamma 2 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 8.0% $64.11 Electrum 12.0% $19.50 Triarch 8.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 12.0% $12.97 Powercore 8.0% $12.89 Galigator 12.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +404.4% | $16.17 +27.2% | 48.0% | +108.7% | $12.71 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×3+The Gamma 2 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 14.0% $64.11 Electrum 6.0% $19.50 Triarch 14.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 6.0% $12.97 Powercore 14.0% $12.89 Galigator 6.0% $11.46 | $64.11 +328.0% | $18.76 +25.2% | 20.0% | +115.9% | $14.98 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Gamma 2 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 6.0% $64.11 Electrum 14.0% $19.50 Triarch 6.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 14.0% $12.97 Powercore 6.0% $12.89 Galigator 14.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +418.3% | $15.31 +23.8% | 46.0% | +98.7% | $12.37 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Gamma 2 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 4.0% $64.11 Electrum 16.0% $19.50 Triarch 4.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 16.0% $12.97 Powercore 4.0% $12.89 Galigator 16.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +430.7% | $14.45 +19.6% | 44.0% | +84.8% | $12.08 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×2+The Gamma 2 Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 16.0% $64.11 Electrum 4.0% $19.50 Triarch 16.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 4.0% $12.97 Powercore 16.0% $12.89 Galigator 4.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +288.5% | $19.60 +18.8% | 20.0% | +110.8% | $16.50 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Gamma 2 Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 2.0% $64.11 Electrum 18.0% $19.50 Triarch 2.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 18.0% $12.97 Powercore 2.0% $12.89 Galigator 18.0% $11.46 | $64.11 +456.0% | $13.66 +18.5% | 42.0% | +66.1% | $11.53 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×1+The Gamma 2 Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 18.0% $64.11 Electrum 2.0% $19.50 Triarch 18.0% $13.89 Firebreathing 2.0% $12.97 Powercore 18.0% $12.89 Galigator 2.0% $11.12 | $64.11 +232.7% | $20.46 +6.2% | 20.0% | +99.0% | $19.27 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Gamma 2 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight  20.0% $35.39 Airlock  13.3% $17.43 Syd Mead  13.3% $16.23 Fuel Injector  13.3% $16.05 Kintsugi  20.0% $10.25 Deathgaze  20.0% $9.15 | $35.39 +141.7% | $17.59 +20.1% | 60.0% | +64.4% | $14.64 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Gamma 2 Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested | Roll Cage  15.0% $170.88 Neon Revolution  15.0% $165.26 Fully Tuned  35.0% $106.25 Queen's Gambit  35.0% $97.96 | $170.88 +64.5% | $121.89 +17.3% | 65.0% | +29.3% | $103.88 | — |