The Fever Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified FT 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested
Inputs
Wave Breaker
2x $0.72
Amberline
5x $1.03
Urban Sovereign
3x $1.31
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $35.39
Kintsugi
26.7% $9.44
Deathgaze
26.7% $9.16
Shinobu
6.7% $7.54
Searing Rage
6.7% $7.19
K.O. Factory
6.7% $6.99
Max Win
$35.39 (+176.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$15.84 (+24.0%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+92.4%
Cost
$12.78
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $12.78
Ask Price EV $15.84 (+24.0%)
Bid Price EV $14.79 (+15.7%)
Ask Profit $3.06 (+24.0%)
Bid Profit $2.01 (+15.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.06 (+8.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$3.06
Bid Slippage Buffer +$2.01
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $35.39 (+176.9%)
Worst Case $6.99 (-45.3%)
Volatility +92.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 73.3%
Avg Win +$22.61
Avg Loss -$4.04
Bottom 5% Outcome $6.99 (-45.3%)
Std Dev $11.81
Avg Norm Float 0.3742
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 16m
Oldest Output Price 154h 16m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Wave Breaker
—
Field-Tested
$0.72 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Wave Breaker
—
Field-Tested
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.03 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.16 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Well-Worn
$1.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$1.32 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Well-Worn
$1.45 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$1.62 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$1.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$1.75 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 51M 47S //TOTAL COST $12.78 //ASK PRICE EV $15.84 //BID PRICE EV $14.79 //ASK PROFIT $3.06 (+24.0%) //BID PROFIT $2.01 (+15.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $35.39 //VOLATILITY +92.4% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
26.7%
$35.39
+$22.61
+176.9%
$32.98
+$20.20
+158.1%
$2.41
6.8%
—
LOSS
26.7%
$9.44
-$3.34
-26.1%
$8.77
-$4.01
-31.4%
$0.67
7.1%
—
LOSS
26.7%
$9.16
-$3.62
-28.4%
$8.71
-$4.07
-31.8%
$0.45
4.9%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$7.54
-$5.24
-41.0%
$6.92
-$5.86
-45.9%
$0.62
8.2%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$7.19
-$5.59
-43.7%
$6.68
-$6.10
-47.7%
$0.51
7.1%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$6.99
-$5.79
-45.3%
$6.34
-$6.44
-50.4%
$0.65
9.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.37419,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 35.3885,
"optimistic_value": 35,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 32.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:07:39.352821Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.37419,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 9.44,
"optimistic_value": 9.23,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 8.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:12.180502Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.37419,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 9.1565,
"optimistic_value": 9.09,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 8.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:55:25.665144Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.37419,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4c2e3face5fd",
"realistic_value": 7.1905,
"optimistic_value": 7.04,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Searing Rage",
"conservative_value": 6.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:31:34.648660Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c2e3face5fd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.37419,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a7838b4ba71f",
"realistic_value": 7.537,
"optimistic_value": 7.53,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Shinobu",
"conservative_value": 6.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:20:25.026777Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a7838b4ba71f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.37419,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"realistic_value": 6.99,
"optimistic_value": 6.99,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"conservative_value": 6.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:55:34.025758Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_78fed3d345a4b06fb718bf6e",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.72,
"skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"listing_id": "529879340432778132",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:08:07.935714Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"listing_id": "497228137696117301",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:08:07.935714Z"
},
{
"price": 1.03,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109542380679076",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:15.360914Z"
},
{
"price": 1.16,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "503983642533511351",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:15.360914Z"
},
{
"price": 1.31,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "491598743581035170",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:11:01.563636Z"
},
{
"price": 1.32,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "528753440605891665",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:43.988472Z"
},
{
"price": 1.45,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "497228243055885293",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:11:01.563636Z"
},
{
"price": 1.62,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109437005486308",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:43.988472Z"
},
{
"price": 1.64,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "523123835628086230",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:43.988472Z"
},
{
"price": 1.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "505109542380731132",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:31.318879Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-35:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Crane Flight 26.7% $60.44 Deathgaze 26.7% $16.65 Kintsugi 26.7% $16.50 Shinobu 6.7% $13.66 Searing Rage 6.7% $11.22 K.O. Factory 6.7% $10.15 | $60.44 +151.7% | $27.29 +13.7% | 26.7% | +83.7% | $24.01 | — |
The Fever Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Well-Worn | Crane Flight 26.7% $28.87 Kintsugi 26.7% $8.03 Deathgaze 26.7% $8.03 Shinobu 6.7% $6.65 Searing Rage 6.7% $6.61 K.O. Factory 6.7% $5.90 | $28.87 +130.9% | $13.26 +6.1% | 26.7% | +75.5% | $12.50 | — |
The Fever Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Crane Flight 26.7% $150.19 Searing Rage 6.7% $50.67 Shinobu 6.7% $49.36 Deathgaze 26.7% $40.59 Kintsugi 26.7% $38.82 K.O. Factory 6.7% $34.29 | $150.19 +125.4% | $70.18 +5.3% | 26.7% | +72.6% | $66.63 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight 16.7% $35.39 Deathgaze 16.7% $9.41 Kintsugi 16.7% $8.98 Shinobu 16.7% $7.54 Searing Rage 16.7% $7.47 K.O. Factory 16.7% $6.88 | $35.39 +257.5% | $12.61 +27.4% | 16.7% | +103.3% | $9.90 | — |
The Fever Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight 20.0% $35.39 Deathgaze 20.0% $9.41 Kintsugi 20.0% $8.98 Shinobu 13.3% $7.54 Searing Rage 13.3% $7.47 K.O. Factory 13.3% $6.88 | $35.39 +228.9% | $13.67 +27.1% | 20.0% | +101.2% | $10.76 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight 23.3% $35.39 Deathgaze 23.3% $9.41 Kintsugi 23.3% $8.98 Shinobu 10.0% $7.54 Searing Rage 10.0% $7.47 K.O. Factory 10.0% $6.88 | $35.39 +203.5% | $14.74 +26.4% | 23.3% | +98.0% | $11.66 | — |
The Fever Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight 10.0% $35.39 Deathgaze 10.0% $9.14 Kintsugi 10.0% $8.98 Shinobu 23.3% $7.54 Searing Rage 23.3% $7.47 K.O. Factory 23.3% $6.93 | $35.39 +324.8% | $10.47 +25.7% | 30.0% | +100.1% | $8.33 | — |
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight 13.3% $35.39 Kintsugi 13.3% $9.23 Deathgaze 13.3% $9.14 Shinobu 20.0% $7.54 Searing Rage 20.0% $7.47 K.O. Factory 20.0% $6.93 | $35.39 +284.2% | $11.56 +25.5% | 26.7% | +101.9% | $9.21 | — |
The Fever Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight 6.7% $35.39 Kintsugi 6.7% $9.23 Deathgaze 6.7% $9.14 Shinobu 26.7% $7.54 Searing Rage 26.7% $7.47 K.O. Factory 26.7% $6.93 | $35.39 +347.4% | $9.43 +19.3% | 20.0% | +88.1% | $7.91 | — |
The Fever Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight 30.0% $35.39 Deathgaze 30.0% $9.41 Kintsugi 30.0% $8.98 Shinobu 3.3% $7.54 Searing Rage 3.3% $7.47 K.O. Factory 3.3% $6.88 | $35.39 +150.1% | $16.86 +19.2% | 30.0% | +85.8% | $14.15 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Electrum  18.0% $19.50 Firebreathing  18.0% $12.97 Galigator  18.0% $11.06 Amberline 18.0% $10.23 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $10.00 Rising Sun  2.0% $9.18 | $19.50 +76.1% | $12.16 +9.9% | 36.0% | +30.9% | $11.07 | — |
The Fever Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | Queen's Gambit  30.0% $200.36 Fully Tuned  30.0% $183.83 Printstream  20.0% $117.26 Bad Trip  20.0% $82.77 | $200.36 +56.7% | $155.26 +21.5% | 60.0% | +36.6% | $127.84 | — |