The Inferno Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Sand Dune
1x $2.81
Walnut
1x $4.00
Green Swirl
3x $0.03
Green Ceramic
1x $0.04
Green Cell
2x $0.08
Palm
2x $0.14
↓
Possible Outputs
Tornado
10.0% $92.65
Gunsmoke
10.0% $7.46
Tiger Tear
8.9% $0.34
Polished Malachite
8.9% $0.28
VariCamo Grey
8.9% $0.24
Garter-9
8.9% $0.21
Max Win
$92.65 (+1100.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$10.17 (+31.8%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+357.2%
Cost
$7.72
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $7.72
Ask Price EV $10.17 (+31.8%)
Bid Price EV $8.49 (+10.0%)
Ask Profit $2.45 (+31.8%)
Bid Profit $0.77 (+10.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.68 (+21.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$2.45
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.77
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $92.65 (+1100.1%)
Worst Case $0.14 (-98.2%)
Volatility +357.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$84.93
Avg Loss -$6.71
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.14 (-98.2%)
Std Dev $27.58
Avg Norm Float 0.1213
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 141h 55m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.81 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Walnut
—
Field-Tested
$4.00 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Green Swirl
—
Minimal Wear
$0.03 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Green Swirl
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Green Ceramic
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Green Cell
—
Factory New
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Green Swirl
—
Factory New
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | Palm
—
Factory New
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | Palm
—
Factory New
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Green Cell
—
Factory New
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 46M 54S //TOTAL COST $7.72 //ASK PRICE EV $10.17 //BID PRICE EV $8.49 //ASK PROFIT $2.45 (+31.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.77 (+10.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $92.65 //VOLATILITY +357.2% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$92.65
+$84.93
+1100.1%
$76.76
+$69.04
+894.3%
$15.89
17.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$7.46
-$0.26
-3.4%
$6.78
-$0.94
-12.2%
$0.68
9.1%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.34
-$7.38
-95.6%
$0.32
-$7.40
-95.9%
$0.02
6.8%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.28
-$7.44
-96.3%
$0.24
-$7.48
-96.9%
$0.04
15.3%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.24
-$7.48
-96.8%
$0.21
-$7.51
-97.3%
$0.03
13.9%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.21
-$7.51
-97.3%
$0.16
-$7.56
-97.9%
$0.05
24.0%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.9%
$0.16
-$7.56
-97.9%
$0.14
-$7.58
-98.2%
$0.02
12.5%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.16
-$7.56
-97.9%
$0.13
-$7.59
-98.3%
$0.03
18.8%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.15
-$7.57
-98.1%
$0.12
-$7.60
-98.4%
$0.03
20.0%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.14
-$7.58
-98.2%
$0.12
-$7.60
-98.4%
$0.02
14.3%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.14
-$7.58
-98.2%
$0.12
-$7.60
-98.4%
$0.02
14.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1497546,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7f6fd04e5efe",
"realistic_value": 92.646,
"optimistic_value": 90,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Tornado",
"conservative_value": 76.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Tornado (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:56.764908Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7f6fd04e5efe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1497546,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"realistic_value": 7.461,
"optimistic_value": 7.37,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"conservative_value": 6.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:41.260682Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.08149171875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cdb08bfe13d3",
"realistic_value": 0.24400000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 0.23,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | VariCamo Grey",
"conservative_value": 0.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T16:45:46.383649Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cdb08bfe13d3.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.09703200000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6467891391e9",
"realistic_value": 0.28350000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 0.28,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite",
"conservative_value": 0.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:42:04.080966Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6467891391e9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.07277399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"realistic_value": 0.14,
"optimistic_value": 0.14,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:55:02.610060Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.07034819999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1086e586f1bf",
"realistic_value": 0.16,
"optimistic_value": 0.16,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Acid Hex",
"conservative_value": 0.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:17.667115Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1086e586f1bf.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.07277399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"realistic_value": 0.16,
"optimistic_value": 0.16,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"conservative_value": 0.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:09.908970Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.0764127,
"output_skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"realistic_value": 0.14,
"optimistic_value": 0.14,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T17:31:42.425590Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.07895736419999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"realistic_value": 0.15,
"optimistic_value": 0.15,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:13:29.399368Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.0667095,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"realistic_value": 0.3435,
"optimistic_value": 0.34,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"conservative_value": 0.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T20:54:57.421210Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.08490299999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a493194726cd",
"realistic_value": 0.21050000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 0.2,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9",
"conservative_value": 0.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:54:27.747754Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a493194726cd.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_76978c4ab4d86fadcb31d1e9",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.81,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "524249735517341655",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:19.423977Z"
},
{
"price": 4,
"skin_id": "skin-bfce85fc2e15",
"listing_id": "529879235107811232",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Walnut (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Walnut",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bfce85fc2e15.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:54:02.226729Z"
},
{
"price": 0.03,
"skin_id": "skin-66e54b85c15f",
"listing_id": "492724590626516553",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Green Swirl",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66e54b85c15f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:56:30.823795Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-66e54b85c15f",
"listing_id": "492724538181796005",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Green Swirl",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66e54b85c15f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:56:30.823795Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-06a89c7cb037",
"listing_id": "520872088106138820",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Green Ceramic (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Green Ceramic",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-06a89c7cb037.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:22.912899Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-0581556d2987",
"listing_id": "492724590626473497",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0581556d2987.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:12.668886Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-66e54b85c15f",
"listing_id": "507361289453180461",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Green Swirl",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66e54b85c15f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:49.438627Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-eb2b0b6bcfd8",
"listing_id": "512990789044466987",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Palm (Factory New)",
"name": "FAMAS | Palm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eb2b0b6bcfd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:41.040392Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-eb2b0b6bcfd8",
"listing_id": "528753387757446453",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Palm (Factory New)",
"name": "FAMAS | Palm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eb2b0b6bcfd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:41.040392Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-0581556d2987",
"listing_id": "498353924437394011",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0581556d2987.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:12.668886Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:2+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Tornado 15.0% $92.65 Gunsmoke 15.0% $7.46 Tiger Tear 7.8% $0.34 Polished Malachite 7.8% $0.28 VariCamo Grey 7.8% $0.24 Garter-9 7.8% $0.21 | $92.65 +622.7% | $15.16 +18.2% | 15.0% | +244.0% | $12.82 | — |