The Inferno Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Sand Dune
2x $2.81
Sage Camo
1x $0.03
Green Swirl
2x $0.03
Copper Oxide
1x $0.04
Green Ceramic
1x $0.04
Green Cell
2x $0.08
↓
Possible Outputs
Tornado
10.0% $16.17
Gunsmoke
10.0% $3.31
Polished Malachite
8.9% $0.29
VariCamo Grey
8.9% $0.24
Garter-9
8.9% $0.21
Acid Hex
8.9% $0.16
Max Win
$16.17 (+160.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.09 (-66.3%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+77.2%
Cost
$6.20
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $6.20
Ask Price EV $2.09 (-66.3%)
Bid Price EV $1.91 (-69.1%)
Ask Profit $-4.11 (-66.3%)
Bid Profit $-4.29 (-69.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.18 (+2.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$4.11
Bid Slippage Buffer -$4.29
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $16.17 (+160.8%)
Worst Case $0.13 (-98.0%)
Volatility +77.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%
Avg Win +$9.97
Avg Loss -$5.67
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.13 (-98.0%)
Std Dev $4.78
Avg Norm Float 0.1673
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 142h 59m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.81 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.92 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Sage Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.03 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Green Swirl
—
Minimal Wear
$0.03 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Copper Oxide
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Green Swirl
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Green Ceramic
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Green Cell
—
Factory New
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Green Cell
—
Factory New
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | Palm
—
Factory New
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 50M 14S //TOTAL COST $6.20 //ASK PRICE EV $2.09 //BID PRICE EV $1.91 //ASK PROFIT $-4.11 (-66.3%) //BID PROFIT $-4.29 (-69.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $16.17 //VOLATILITY +77.2% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$16.17
+$9.97
+160.8%
$14.75
+$8.55
+137.9%
$1.42
8.8%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$3.31
-$2.89
-46.5%
$3.18
-$3.02
-48.7%
$0.13
4.1%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.29
-$5.91
-95.3%
$0.24
-$5.96
-96.1%
$0.05
17.2%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.24
-$5.96
-96.1%
$0.21
-$5.99
-96.6%
$0.03
13.9%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.21
-$5.99
-96.6%
$0.16
-$6.04
-97.4%
$0.05
24.0%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.16
-$6.04
-97.4%
$0.14
-$6.06
-97.7%
$0.02
12.5%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.16
-$6.04
-97.4%
$0.13
-$6.07
-97.9%
$0.03
18.8%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.14
-$6.06
-97.7%
$0.12
-$6.08
-98.1%
$0.02
16.4%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.14
-$6.06
-97.7%
$0.12
-$6.08
-98.1%
$0.02
14.3%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.14
-$6.06
-97.7%
$0.12
-$6.08
-98.1%
$0.02
14.3%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.13
-$6.07
-98.0%
$0.11
-$6.09
-98.2%
$0.02
13.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.183802,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7f6fd04e5efe",
"realistic_value": 16.1675,
"optimistic_value": 15.87,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Tornado",
"conservative_value": 14.75,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Tornado (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:18.085334Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7f6fd04e5efe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.183802,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"realistic_value": 3.3145000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 3.22,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"conservative_value": 3.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:29:06.713175Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.1124046875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cdb08bfe13d3",
"realistic_value": 0.24400000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 0.23,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | VariCamo Grey",
"conservative_value": 0.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T16:45:46.383649Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cdb08bfe13d3.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.13384000000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6467891391e9",
"realistic_value": 0.29,
"optimistic_value": 0.29,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite",
"conservative_value": 0.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:29.410707Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6467891391e9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.10038,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"realistic_value": 0.14,
"optimistic_value": 0.14,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:53:35.345165Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.097034,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1086e586f1bf",
"realistic_value": 0.16,
"optimistic_value": 0.16,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Acid Hex",
"conservative_value": 0.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:17.667115Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1086e586f1bf.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.10038,
"output_skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"realistic_value": 0.16,
"optimistic_value": 0.16,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"conservative_value": 0.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:09.908970Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.105399,
"output_skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"realistic_value": 0.14,
"optimistic_value": 0.14,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T17:31:42.425590Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.108908954,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"realistic_value": 0.14350000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 0.14,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:45:14.866291Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.09201500000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"realistic_value": 0.127,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"conservative_value": 0.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:53:45.987267Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.11710999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a493194726cd",
"realistic_value": 0.21050000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 0.2,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9",
"conservative_value": 0.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:17:22.919721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a493194726cd.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_76978c4ab4d86fadcb31d1e9",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.81,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "524249735517341655",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:20.609560Z"
},
{
"price": 2.92,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "517493591335111942",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:20.609560Z"
},
{
"price": 0.03,
"skin_id": "skin-bfdabc8fd9fa",
"listing_id": "529879287551265120",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Sage Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Sage Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bfdabc8fd9fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:42:29.923612Z"
},
{
"price": 0.03,
"skin_id": "skin-66e54b85c15f",
"listing_id": "519746188258786076",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Green Swirl",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66e54b85c15f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:43:26.406998Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-e523f734a2d9",
"listing_id": "496101493276370339",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Copper Oxide (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Copper Oxide",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e523f734a2d9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:42:27.311425Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-66e54b85c15f",
"listing_id": "492724538181796005",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Green Swirl",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66e54b85c15f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:43:26.406998Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-06a89c7cb037",
"listing_id": "503983589619663139",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Green Ceramic (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Green Ceramic",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-06a89c7cb037.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:35:38.597117Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-0581556d2987",
"listing_id": "492724590626473497",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0581556d2987.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:43.207613Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-0581556d2987",
"listing_id": "498354089952633847",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0581556d2987.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:43.207613Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-eb2b0b6bcfd8",
"listing_id": "494976390476805594",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Palm (Factory New)",
"name": "FAMAS | Palm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eb2b0b6bcfd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:50.515940Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:2+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Tornado 10.0% $92.65 Gunsmoke 10.0% $7.46 Tiger Tear 8.9% $0.34 Polished Malachite 8.9% $0.29 VariCamo Grey 8.9% $0.24 Garter-9 8.9% $0.21 | $92.65 +1095.4% | $10.17 +31.3% | 10.0% | +345.2% | $7.75 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Tornado 15.0% $92.65 Gunsmoke 15.0% $7.46 Tiger Tear 7.8% $0.34 Polished Malachite 7.8% $0.29 VariCamo Grey 7.8% $0.24 Garter-9 7.8% $0.21 | $92.65 +623.8% | $15.16 +18.4% | 15.0% | +244.4% | $12.80 | — |