The Inferno Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New
Inputs
Sand Dune
1x $2.92
Walnut
1x $4.00
Palm
1x $0.12
Green Cell
5x $0.34
Sage Camo
1x $0.39
Green Swirl
1x $0.86
↓
Possible Outputs
Tornado
10.0% $92.65
Gunsmoke
10.0% $7.46
Polished Malachite
8.9% $1.69
VariCamo Grey
8.9% $1.11
Garter-9
8.9% $0.52
Acid Dart
8.9% $0.37
Max Win
$92.65 (+687.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$10.50 (-10.8%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+233.3%
Cost
$11.77
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $11.77
Ask Price EV $10.50 (-10.8%)
Bid Price EV $8.81 (-25.2%)
Ask Profit $-1.27 (-10.8%)
Bid Profit $-2.96 (-25.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.69 (+14.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.27
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.96
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $92.65 (+687.1%)
Worst Case $0.34 (-97.1%)
Volatility +233.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%
Avg Win +$80.88
Avg Loss -$10.40
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.34 (-97.1%)
Std Dev $27.46
Avg Norm Float 0.0691
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 142h 57m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.92 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Walnut
—
Field-Tested
$4.00 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | Palm
—
Factory New
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Green Cell
—
Factory New
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Sage Camo
—
Factory New
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Green Cell
—
Factory New
$0.64 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Green Cell
—
Factory New
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Green Cell
—
Factory New
$0.73 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Green Swirl
—
Factory New
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Green Cell
—
Factory New
$1.07 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 49M 54S //TOTAL COST $11.77 //ASK PRICE EV $10.50 //BID PRICE EV $8.81 //ASK PROFIT $-1.27 (-10.8%) //BID PROFIT $-2.96 (-25.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $92.65 //VOLATILITY +233.3% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$92.65
+$80.88
+687.1%
$76.76
+$64.99
+552.2%
$15.89
17.1%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$7.46
-$4.31
-36.6%
$6.82
-$4.95
-42.1%
$0.64
8.6%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$1.69
-$10.08
-85.6%
$1.51
-$10.26
-87.2%
$0.18
10.9%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$1.11
-$10.66
-90.5%
$1.03
-$10.74
-91.2%
$0.08
7.5%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.52
-$11.25
-95.6%
$0.49
-$11.28
-95.8%
$0.03
6.4%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.37
-$11.40
-96.9%
$0.35
-$11.42
-97.0%
$0.02
4.6%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.36
-$11.41
-96.9%
$0.35
-$11.42
-97.0%
$0.01
3.7%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.35
-$11.42
-97.0%
$0.34
-$11.43
-97.1%
$0.01
3.8%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.35
-$11.42
-97.0%
$0.34
-$11.43
-97.1%
$0.01
2.9%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.35
-$11.42
-97.0%
$0.34
-$11.43
-97.1%
$0.01
2.9%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.34
-$11.43
-97.1%
$0.32
-$11.45
-97.3%
$0.02
6.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.11112659999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7f6fd04e5efe",
"realistic_value": 92.646,
"optimistic_value": 90,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Tornado",
"conservative_value": 76.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Tornado (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:56.764908Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7f6fd04e5efe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.11112659999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"realistic_value": 7.461,
"optimistic_value": 7.37,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"conservative_value": 6.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:31:24.499743Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.04641984375,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cdb08bfe13d3",
"realistic_value": 1.113,
"optimistic_value": 1.05,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | VariCamo Grey",
"conservative_value": 1.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:42:44.809899Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cdb08bfe13d3.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.055272,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6467891391e9",
"realistic_value": 1.694,
"optimistic_value": 1.68,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite",
"conservative_value": 1.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T04:33:19.028273Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6467891391e9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.041454,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"realistic_value": 0.367,
"optimistic_value": 0.36,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"conservative_value": 0.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:34:31.736044Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.040072199999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1086e586f1bf",
"realistic_value": 0.35,
"optimistic_value": 0.35,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Acid Hex",
"conservative_value": 0.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T21:43:38.118047Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1086e586f1bf.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.041454,
"output_skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"realistic_value": 0.3535,
"optimistic_value": 0.35,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"conservative_value": 0.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:34:21.181473Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.0435267,
"output_skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"realistic_value": 0.35,
"optimistic_value": 0.35,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"conservative_value": 0.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:53:05.235613Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.0449762082,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"realistic_value": 0.3635,
"optimistic_value": 0.36,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"conservative_value": 0.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:47:26.857647Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.037999500000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"realistic_value": 0.3435,
"optimistic_value": 0.34,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"conservative_value": 0.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T20:54:57.421210Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.048362999999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a493194726cd",
"realistic_value": 0.5235,
"optimistic_value": 0.52,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9",
"conservative_value": 0.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:34:20.481038Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a493194726cd.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_76978c4ab4d86fadcb31d1e9",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.92,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "517493591335111942",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:20.609560Z"
},
{
"price": 4,
"skin_id": "skin-bfce85fc2e15",
"listing_id": "529879235107811232",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Walnut (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Walnut",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bfce85fc2e15.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:39:31.948220Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-eb2b0b6bcfd8",
"listing_id": "494976390476805594",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Palm (Factory New)",
"name": "FAMAS | Palm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eb2b0b6bcfd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:50.515940Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-0581556d2987",
"listing_id": "498353924437394011",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0581556d2987.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:43.207613Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-bfdabc8fd9fa",
"listing_id": "498353924437473535",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Sage Camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bfdabc8fd9fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:08.569367Z"
},
{
"price": 0.64,
"skin_id": "skin-0581556d2987",
"listing_id": "507360492277556617",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0581556d2987.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:43.207613Z"
},
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-0581556d2987",
"listing_id": "523123091076659602",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0581556d2987.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:43.207613Z"
},
{
"price": 0.73,
"skin_id": "skin-0581556d2987",
"listing_id": "644719809067996851",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0581556d2987.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:43.207613Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-66e54b85c15f",
"listing_id": "502856892584673904",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Green Swirl",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66e54b85c15f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:44:55.353964Z"
},
{
"price": 1.07,
"skin_id": "skin-0581556d2987",
"listing_id": "491598638255027402",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Green Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0581556d2987.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:43.207613Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:2+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Tornado 10.0% $92.65 Gunsmoke 10.0% $7.46 Tiger Tear 8.9% $0.34 Polished Malachite 8.9% $0.29 VariCamo Grey 8.9% $0.24 Garter-9 8.9% $0.21 | $92.65 +1095.4% | $10.17 +31.3% | 10.0% | +345.2% | $7.75 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Tornado 15.0% $92.65 Gunsmoke 15.0% $7.46 Tiger Tear 7.8% $0.34 Polished Malachite 7.8% $0.29 VariCamo Grey 7.8% $0.24 Garter-9 7.8% $0.21 | $92.65 +623.8% | $15.16 +18.4% | 15.0% | +244.4% | $12.80 | — |