The Inferno Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Gunsmoke
3x $2.37
Midnight Paintover
2x $0.06
Wall Bang
2x $0.07
Wash me
1x $0.09
Wash me plz
2x $0.14
↓
Possible Outputs
Anodized Navy
15.0% $35.31
Brass
15.0% $9.61
Wurst Hölle
17.5% $0.50
Pipsqueak
17.5% $0.41
Teal Graf
17.5% $0.40
Metallic Squeezer
17.5% $0.39
Max Win
$35.31 (+337.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.04 (-12.9%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+152.3%
Cost
$8.08
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $8.08
Ask Price EV $7.04 (-12.9%)
Bid Price EV $6.68 (-17.4%)
Ask Profit $-1.04 (-12.9%)
Bid Profit $-1.40 (-17.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.36 (+4.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.04
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.40
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $35.31 (+337.0%)
Worst Case $0.39 (-95.1%)
Volatility +152.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 70.0%
Avg Win +$14.38
Avg Loss -$7.65
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.39 (-95.1%)
Std Dev $12.31
Avg Norm Float 0.3770
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 43h 12m
Oldest Output Price 143h 52m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.37 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.41 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.60 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover
—
Field-Tested
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Wall Bang
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Wall Bang
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Wash me
—
Minimal Wear
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 57M 20S //TOTAL COST $8.08 //ASK PRICE EV $7.04 //BID PRICE EV $6.68 //ASK PROFIT $-1.04 (-12.9%) //BID PROFIT $-1.40 (-17.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $35.31 //VOLATILITY +152.3% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
15.0%
$35.31
+$27.23
+337.0%
$33.55
+$25.47
+315.2%
$1.76
5.0%
—
WIN
15.0%
$9.61
+$1.53
+18.9%
$9.09
+$1.01
+12.5%
$0.52
5.4%
—
NUKE
17.5%
$0.50
-$7.58
-93.8%
$0.49
-$7.59
-93.9%
$0.01
2.0%
—
NUKE
17.5%
$0.41
-$7.67
-94.9%
$0.39
-$7.69
-95.2%
$0.02
5.7%
—
NUKE
17.5%
$0.40
-$7.68
-95.0%
$0.38
-$7.70
-95.3%
$0.02
5.0%
—
NUKE
17.5%
$0.39
-$7.69
-95.1%
$0.35
-$7.73
-95.7%
$0.04
11.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.22619999999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"realistic_value": 0.3935,
"optimistic_value": 0.39,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"conservative_value": 0.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:34:08.191244Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.1885,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"realistic_value": 0.4,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"conservative_value": 0.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:48:31.548951Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.3393,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"realistic_value": 0.4135,
"optimistic_value": 0.41,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"conservative_value": 0.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:45:33.468714Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.377,
"output_skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"realistic_value": 0.5,
"optimistic_value": 0.5,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"conservative_value": 0.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T14:53:19.262329Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.03016,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc4aeda27ca",
"realistic_value": 35.3115,
"optimistic_value": 35,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy",
"conservative_value": 33.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:06:08.805854Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc4aeda27ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.377,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62fc4feb5c7c",
"realistic_value": 9.607000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 9.32,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Brass",
"conservative_value": 9.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Brass (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:01:00.426921Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62fc4feb5c7c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_72dd175980dc4ca283bec9ad",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.37,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "508487023588358342",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T08:46:05.835728Z"
},
{
"price": 2.41,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "503983423967333359",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T08:46:05.835728Z"
},
{
"price": 2.6,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "500605092739474571",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T08:46:05.835728Z"
},
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-aec4b9b50be0",
"listing_id": "524249735516174463",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aec4b9b50be0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:37:05.787018Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-c5f7f8d41bc2",
"listing_id": "493850438105537140",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Negev | Wall Bang",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c5f7f8d41bc2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:42:32.096845Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-c5f7f8d41bc2",
"listing_id": "524249735517159423",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Negev | Wall Bang",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c5f7f8d41bc2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:42:32.096845Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-d26b2336552f",
"listing_id": "526501587737539097",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wash me (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Wash me",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d26b2336552f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:37:36.290421Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-aec4b9b50be0",
"listing_id": "526501422105979913",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aec4b9b50be0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:37:54.329486Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-85f1f4db456f",
"listing_id": "499479989896841845",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85f1f4db456f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:48:31.914469Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-85f1f4db456f",
"listing_id": "519746135814609704",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85f1f4db456f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:48:31.914469Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:3+collection-set-overpass-2024:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 15.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 15.0% $35.31 Pipsqueak 17.5% $6.82 Wurst Hölle 17.5% $5.10 Metallic Squeezer 17.5% $2.33 Teal Graf 17.5% $2.18 | $181.74 +573.4% | $35.43 +31.3% | 30.0% | +231.4% | $26.99 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×2+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 10.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 10.0% $35.31 Pipsqueak 20.0% $6.82 Wurst Hölle 20.0% $5.10 Metallic Squeezer 20.0% $2.33 Teal Graf 20.0% $2.18 | $181.74 +840.7% | $24.99 +29.4% | 20.0% | +274.8% | $19.32 | — |
The Inferno Collection ×1+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 5.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 5.0% $35.31 Pipsqueak 22.5% $6.82 Wurst Hölle 22.5% $5.10 Metallic Squeezer 22.5% $2.33 Teal Graf 22.5% $2.18 | $181.74 +1370.4% | $14.55 +17.7% | 10.0% | +315.5% | $12.36 | — |
The Inferno Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 25.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 25.0% $35.31 Pipsqueak 12.5% $6.82 Wurst Hölle 12.5% $5.10 Metallic Squeezer 12.5% $2.34 Teal Graf 12.5% $2.18 | $181.74 +262.1% | $56.32 +12.2% | 25.0% | +146.5% | $50.19 | — |