The Inferno Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New
Inputs
Gunsmoke
3x $4.60
Wall Bang
1x $0.17
Midnight Paintover
1x $0.32
Wash me
1x $0.42
Wash me plz
4x $0.86
↓
Possible Outputs
Brass
15.0% $181.74
Anodized Navy
15.0% $35.31
Pipsqueak
17.5% $6.82
Wurst Hölle
17.5% $5.10
Metallic Squeezer
17.5% $2.32
Teal Graf
17.5% $2.18
Max Win
$181.74 (+581.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$35.43 (+32.9%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+234.2%
Cost
$26.67
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $26.67
Ask Price EV $35.43 (+32.9%)
Bid Price EV $25.82 (-3.2%)
Ask Profit $8.76 (+32.9%)
Bid Profit $-0.85 (-3.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $9.61 (+36.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$8.76
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.85
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $181.74 (+581.4%)
Worst Case $2.18 (-91.8%)
Volatility +234.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 70.0%
Avg Win +$81.86
Avg Loss -$22.56
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.18 (-91.8%)
Std Dev $62.45
Avg Norm Float 0.0682
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 11m
Oldest Output Price 142h 50m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Field-Tested
$4.60 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Minimal Wear
$7.37 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Gunsmoke
—
Minimal Wear
$9.04 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Wall Bang
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover
—
Factory New
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Wash me
—
Factory New
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
—
Factory New
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
—
Factory New
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
—
Factory New
$1.44 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
—
Factory New
$1.53 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 50M 41S //TOTAL COST $26.67 //ASK PRICE EV $35.43 //BID PRICE EV $25.82 //ASK PROFIT $8.76 (+32.9%) //BID PROFIT $-0.85 (-3.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $181.74 //VOLATILITY +234.2% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID
15.0%
$181.74
+$155.07
+581.4%
$120.00
+$93.33
+349.9%
$61.74
34.0%
—
WIN
15.0%
$35.31
+$8.64
+32.4%
$33.55
+$6.88
+25.8%
$1.76
5.0%
—
NUKE
17.5%
$6.82
-$19.85
-74.4%
$6.71
-$19.96
-74.8%
$0.11
1.7%
—
NUKE
17.5%
$5.10
-$21.57
-80.9%
$4.90
-$21.77
-81.6%
$0.20
3.9%
—
NUKE
17.5%
$2.32
-$24.35
-91.3%
$2.18
-$24.49
-91.8%
$0.14
6.2%
—
NUKE
17.5%
$2.18
-$24.49
-91.8%
$2.13
-$24.54
-92.0%
$0.05
2.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.040943999999999994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"realistic_value": 2.3235,
"optimistic_value": 2.32,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"conservative_value": 2.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:58.737078Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.03412,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"realistic_value": 2.1775,
"optimistic_value": 2.16,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"conservative_value": 2.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:55.985391Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.061416,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"realistic_value": 6.8235,
"optimistic_value": 6.82,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"conservative_value": 6.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:15:07.257918Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.06824,
"output_skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"realistic_value": 5.1000000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 5.03,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"conservative_value": 4.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:13:00.365094Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.0054592,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc4aeda27ca",
"realistic_value": 35.3115,
"optimistic_value": 35,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy",
"conservative_value": 33.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:06:08.805854Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc4aeda27ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.06824,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62fc4feb5c7c",
"realistic_value": 181.7415,
"optimistic_value": 150.91,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Brass",
"conservative_value": 120,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Brass (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:58.072873Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62fc4feb5c7c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_72dd175980dc4ca283bec9ad",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 4.6,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "524249529996069051",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:27.007710Z"
},
{
"price": 7.37,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "524248990847644659",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:41.260682Z"
},
{
"price": 9.04,
"skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"listing_id": "492723793460621925",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:41.260682Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-c5f7f8d41bc2",
"listing_id": "490472790736935195",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Wall Bang (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Wall Bang",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c5f7f8d41bc2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:17.736921Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-aec4b9b50be0",
"listing_id": "519746188258518776",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aec4b9b50be0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:38.467719Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-d26b2336552f",
"listing_id": "789960193659594614",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wash me (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Wash me",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d26b2336552f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:52:22.000254Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-85f1f4db456f",
"listing_id": "501731737286075237",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85f1f4db456f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:24.364347Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-85f1f4db456f",
"listing_id": "502857637418221228",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85f1f4db456f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:24.364347Z"
},
{
"price": 1.44,
"skin_id": "skin-85f1f4db456f",
"listing_id": "499479193128954685",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85f1f4db456f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:24.364347Z"
},
{
"price": 1.53,
"skin_id": "skin-85f1f4db456f",
"listing_id": "508486392203754098",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85f1f4db456f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:24.364347Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:3+collection-set-overpass-2024:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×2+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 10.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 10.0% $35.31 Pipsqueak 20.0% $6.82 Wurst Hölle 20.0% $5.10 Metallic Squeezer 20.0% $2.33 Teal Graf 20.0% $2.18 | $181.74 +840.7% | $24.99 +29.4% | 20.0% | +274.8% | $19.32 | — |
The Inferno Collection ×1+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 5.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 5.0% $35.31 Pipsqueak 22.5% $6.82 Wurst Hölle 22.5% $5.10 Metallic Squeezer 22.5% $2.32 Teal Graf 22.5% $2.18 | $181.74 +1374.0% | $14.55 +18.0% | 10.0% | +316.3% | $12.33 | — |
The Inferno Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass 25.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy 25.0% $35.31 Pipsqueak 12.5% $6.82 Wurst Hölle 12.5% $5.10 Metallic Squeezer 12.5% $2.33 Teal Graf 12.5% $2.18 | $181.74 +262.1% | $56.32 +12.2% | 25.0% | +146.5% | $50.19 | — |